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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 14, 2022·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle

Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Seattle Kraken 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 53% of the time.

SEA winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

SEA forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Bunting–Marner–MatthewsKase–Kampf–MikheyevTavares–Kerfoot–NylanderSpezza–Simmonds–EngvallTavares–Nylander–EngvallBrodie–RiellyLiljegren–SandinMuzzin–HollHoll–SandinMuzzin–Liljegren
Eberle–Johansson–McCann2:180.07–0.172:300.02–0.003:480.29–0.201:130.00–0.002:400.12–0.053:030.00–0.052:530.26–0.091:130.00–0.000:320.00–0.13
Jarnkrok–Gourde–Appleton6:480.26–0.000:470.00–0.000:310.08–0.091:150.00–0.004:260.13–0.001:580.05–0.002:080.04–0.090:420.08–0.000:410.04–0.00
Sheahan–Donskoi–Wennberg0:440.00–0.032:330.00–0.123:030.00–0.021:090.00–0.002:560.06–0.022:260.00–0.072:430.00–0.08
Donato–Czarnik–Geekie1:160.00–0.002:030.02–0.000:540.16–0.002:310.06–0.041:250.06–0.003:000.02–0.001:400.12–0.04
Wennberg–Donato–Czarnik1:590.00–0.001:400.00–0.000:560.00–0.000:450.00–0.00
Sheahan–Donskoi–Appleton0:450.00–0.030:540.16–0.001:370.16–0.03
Sheahan–Donskoi–Geekie1:220.11–0.000:440.11–0.00
Oleksiak–Fleury1:360.04–0.005:540.08–0.084:230.31–0.022:080.11–0.005:560.18–0.003:440.02–0.004:490.38–0.081:140.00–0.00
Giordano–Larsson7:120.21–0.171:510.02–0.001:420.04–0.092:270.00–0.001:070.23–0.006:110.13–0.005:210.24–0.082:210.09–0.111:220.04–0.00
Dunn–Lauzon3:290.04–0.102:440.00–0.042:240.00–0.073:060.06–0.043:120.06–0.073:560.04–0.123:210.00–0.111:040.00–0.00
Larsson–Dunn0:330.00–0.000:470.08–0.000:330.00–0.000:440.01–0.00
Larsson–Lauzon0:450.00–0.030:450.00–0.03
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndJarnkrok FAppleton FGourde FEberle FMcCann FJohansson FSheahan FWennberg FDonskoi FDonato FCzarnik FGeekie FGiordano DLarsson DDunn DLauzon DFleury DOleksiak DGrubauer GDriedger GMarner FMatthews FBunting FNylander FKerfoot FTavares FKase FKampf FMikheyev FSpezza FSimmonds FEngvall FRielly DBrodie DHoll DMuzzin DLiljegren DSandin DCampbell G
SEATORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Morgan RiellyTOR2823:400:511:4926
Mark GiordanoSEA2721:270:481:3044
Adam LarssonSEA2720:260:451:2034
Vince DunnSEA2320:060:521:3631
TJ BrodieTOR2619:320:451:2925
Justin HollTOR2519:090:461:2524
Rasmus SandinTOR2318:470:491:4731
Jake MuzzinTOR2518:400:451:3324
Timothy LiljegrenTOR2518:150:441:1526
Jamie OleksiakSEA2217:570:491:4121
Haydn FleurySEA2317:510:471:3841
Jordan EberleSEA2217:320:481:3490
Mitch MarnerTOR2517:210:421:1465
Alexander WennbergSEA2017:090:511:1822
Auston MatthewsTOR2316:530:441:1553
Jared McCannSEA2216:430:461:4580
Yanni GourdeSEA2116:390:481:3134
Ryan DonatoSEA1816:070:541:4732
Jeremy LauzonSEA2316:060:421:0513
Ilya MikheyevTOR2016:010:481:1525
Alexander KerfootTOR2016:000:481:2552
Calle JarnkrokSEA2215:570:441:1864
Marcus JohanssonSEA2015:500:481:5171
William NylanderTOR1815:300:521:2531
John TavaresTOR1815:300:521:2571
Ondrej KaseTOR2014:550:451:1325
David KampfTOR2114:520:421:1316
Joonas DonskoiSEA2014:470:441:1604
Austin CzarnikSEA1814:430:491:3132
Riley SheahanSEA1914:120:451:1303
Pierre EngvallTOR2013:540:421:1222
Michael BuntingTOR2013:530:421:1453
Mason AppletonSEA1913:320:431:1433
Jason SpezzaTOR1910:570:350:5843
Morgan GeekieSEA1510:560:441:1041
Wayne SimmondsTOR1610:130:381:0922