Wed, Jan 5, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Edmonton Oilers 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 74% of the time.
65%
8%
19%
TOR winsEDM wins
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 24:49 | 0.51 | 30.1% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 24:49 | 0.16 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 23:55 | 0.06 | 27.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:21 | 0.01 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:41 | 0.06 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:38 | 0.02 | 33.3% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:18 | 0.06 | 32.4% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 20:12 | 0.15 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:56 | 0.04 | 63.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:32 | 0.04 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:15 | 0.13 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:02 | 0.05 | 61.1% | +21.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:30 | 0.27 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:05 | 0.02 | 68.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:09 | 0.10 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:10 | 0.01 | 61.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:08 | 0.02 | 58.1% | +21.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 9:37 | 0.26 | 61.2% | +21.7 |
| L | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 2.71 | −0.3 | 58:40 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 23:40 | 0.13 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:22 | 0.02 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:04 | 0.32 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:37 | 0.39 | 56.2% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:32 | 0.01 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:24 | 0.01 | 51.7% | +16.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 21:13 | 0.65 | 68.8% | +21.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 21:01 | 0.49 | 78.4% | +38.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 17:22 | 0.75 | 70.1% | +24.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:22 | 0.15 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:55 | 0.02 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14:05 | 0.25 | 48.0% | +27.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:07 | 0.00 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:07 | 0.02 | 59.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:27 | 0.07 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:04 | 0.00 | 20.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 7:31 | 0.07 | 17.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:39 | 0.00 | 20.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 1.97 | 0.0 | 59:28 |