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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 18, 2022·TD Garden, Boston

Carolina Hurricanes 7, Boston Bruins 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 60% of the time.

BOS winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BOS forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Niederreiter–Trocheck–SvechnikovStepan–Martinook–KotkaniemiStaal–Fast–LorentzTeravainen–Aho–JarvisAho–Lorentz–JarvisCole–SmithSlavin–DeAngeloSkjei–PesceSkjei–DeAngelo
Haula–Hall–Pastrnak4:150.10–0.061:280.05–0.021:490.17–0.081:200.02–0.003:100.00–0.043:320.16–0.022:400.00–0.100:340.17–0.00
Blidh–Lazar–Nosek3:270.01–0.082:130.12–0.340:470.00–0.140:470.02–0.003:080.12–0.172:120.00–0.232:330.02–0.250:420.00–0.01
Bergeron–Marchand–Smith1:430.02–0.002:440.30–0.020:310.01–0.001:150.02–0.004:010.30–0.132:240.01–0.00
Coyle–DeBrusk–Steen0:530.00–0.001:430.00–0.001:580.01–0.062:040.00–0.452:380.00–0.162:510.02–0.881:560.01–0.00
Smith–Coyle–DeBrusk1:100.00–0.040:590.11–0.001:290.00–0.040:440.11–0.00
Bergeron–Marchand–Steen0:510.07–0.121:310.00–0.120:390.07–0.00
Smith–Haula–Hall0:580.00–0.031:230.00–0.03
Forbort–Clifton3:550.10–0.091:570.00–0.323:000.23–0.141:190.34–0.004:340.02–0.454:240.44–0.132:550.01–0.240:570.19–0.00
Carlo–Vaakanainen3:460.01–0.052:220.05–0.152:340.08–0.061:420.01–0.244:210.24–0.054:430.05–0.512:270.15–0.000:420.08–0.00
Grzelcyk–McAvoy0:420.00–0.002:130.00–0.001:320.00–0.084:110.05–0.173:110.00–0.124:040.07–0.374:020.01–0.10
Clifton–Vaakanainen0:410.00–0.000:440.02–0.000:360.00–0.001:150.02–0.00
Grzelcyk–Clifton0:400.00–0.010:370.00–0.000:380.00–0.000:420.00–0.01
Grzelcyk–Carlo0:330.00–0.000:310.00–0.031:100.00–0.03
McAvoy–Vaakanainen0:370.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:300.01–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndLazar FBlidh FNosek FCoyle FSteen FDeBrusk FSmith FBergeron FMarchand FHaula FHall FPastrnak FCarlo DVaakanainen DForbort DClifton DGrzelcyk DMcAvoy DRask GUllmark GTrocheck FNiederreiter FSvechnikov FStaal FFast FLorentz FJarvis FTeravainen FAho FStepan FMartinook FKotkaniemi FSlavin DDeAngelo DPesce DSkjei DSmith DCole DAndersen G
BOSCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jaccob SlavinCAR2322:300:592:1013
Brady SkjeiCAR2520:580:501:3024
Urho VaakanainenBOS2620:230:471:4743
Charlie McAvoyBOS2320:210:532:1562
Tony DeAngeloCAR2519:360:472:1020
David PastrnakBOS1919:241:012:5960
Connor CliftonBOS2519:110:461:3804
Brett PesceCAR2118:550:541:5234
Ian ColeCAR2318:520:491:4124
Taylor HallBOS2018:480:562:4460
Matt GrzelcykBOS2318:300:482:0134
Brandon CarloBOS2418:040:451:5842
Sebastian AhoCAR2217:300:481:2940
Patrice BergeronBOS1817:090:572:3363
Charlie CoyleBOS2016:540:511:4113
Brad MarchandBOS1816:440:562:3363
Derek ForbortBOS2316:440:441:1304
Vincent TrocheckCAR2116:160:462:0235
Brendan SmithCAR2316:070:421:1524
Jordan StaalCAR2415:540:401:2428
Andrei SvechnikovCAR2015:300:472:1443
Seth JarvisCAR1915:190:481:2540
Erik HaulaBOS2015:080:451:0930
Craig SmithBOS1814:450:492:0132
Teuvo TeravainenCAR2214:120:391:2940
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR2014:000:421:1832
Jesper FastCAR2113:170:381:2823
Nino NiederreiterCAR1813:130:441:1831
Tomas NosekBOS2113:030:371:2414
Steven LorentzCAR1812:550:431:2722
Jordan MartinookCAR1712:530:451:0622
Jake DeBruskBOS1512:400:511:2111
Derek StepanCAR2012:380:381:0625
Curtis LazarBOS1912:260:391:1925
Anton BlidhBOS1812:070:401:3425
Oskar SteenBOS1612:030:451:1002