Skip to content
Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 25, 2022·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Buffalo Sabres 0, Ottawa Senators 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 85% of the time.

OTT winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Skinner–Tuch–ThompsonBjork–Mittelstadt–KrebsOlofsson–Asplund–CozensEakin–Jankowski–GirgensonsMittelstadt–Krebs–CozensEakin–Girgensons–BjorkJankowski–Olofsson–AsplundJokiharju–DahlinHagg–BrysonPysyk–SamuelssonBryson–DahlinHagg–JokiharjuSamuelsson–Dahlin
Ennis–Tierney–Gaudette1:120.15–0.041:240.09–0.030:330.00–0.001:140.09–0.111:210.00–0.001:590.23–0.081:270.11–0.02
Watson–Paul–Sanford1:210.14–0.020:470.00–0.000:490.00–0.001:200.06–0.132:410.06–0.020:370.00–0.131:100.00–0.00
Sanford–Norris–Tkachuk0:540.00–0.000:590.10–0.000:470.11–0.121:160.13–0.000:440.11–0.121:040.02–0.150:410.15–0.00
Watson–Paul–Gambrell1:010.04–0.000:300.06–0.020:520.02–0.001:070.10–0.02
Formenton–Tkachuk–Stützle1:450.23–0.051:060.22–0.061:110.07–0.00
Formenton–Batherson–Stützle1:330.00–0.030:380.00–0.030:560.05–0.00
Ennis–Norris–Tkachuk1:020.05–0.080:390.02–0.021:180.02–0.11
Ennis–Tkachuk–Stützle1:090.14–0.000:370.00–0.000:380.16–0.00
Norris–Tkachuk–Stützle0:460.00–0.000:540.00–0.00
Watson–Tierney–Paul0:410.01–0.000:310.18–0.000:410.01–0.00
Chabot–Thomson1:190.43–0.023:200.10–0.033:050.30–0.071:320.05–0.150:420.14–0.002:380.57–0.083:380.27–0.035:010.32–0.190:510.15–0.000:360.00–0.00
Holden–Zub5:180.05–0.151:220.02–0.001:290.07–0.020:590.11–0.005:340.13–0.131:380.06–0.042:350.15–0.000:350.00–0.11
Brown–Mete1:330.14–0.001:570.18–0.001:070.00–0.021:550.00–0.000:300.00–0.130:560.00–0.002:130.08–0.004:590.19–0.151:240.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndTkachuk FNorris FSanford FPaul FGambrell FWatson FFormenton FStützle FBatherson FGaudette FTierney FEnnis FZub DHolden DThomson DChabot DBrown DMete DMurray GSkinner FThompson FTuch FCozens FOlofsson FAsplund FKrebs FMittelstadt FBjork FGirgensons FEakin FJankowski FJokiharju DDahlin DSamuelsson DPysyk DHagg DBryson DDell G
OTTBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus DahlinBUF2924:060:502:1153
Thomas ChabotOTT2323:441:022:2761
Henri JokiharjuBUF3021:500:442:0362
Lassi ThomsonOTT2420:220:511:5342
Brady TkachukOTT2420:100:501:4022
Artem ZubOTT2919:550:411:2028
Nick HoldenOTT3019:200:391:0718
Josh NorrisOTT2519:170:461:3856
Nick PaulOTT2719:170:431:5306
Tim StützleOTT2118:560:542:0670
Alex TuchBUF2618:340:431:2172
Tyler EnnisOTT2418:250:461:5423
Peyton KrebsBUF2318:080:471:24112
Mattias SamuelssonBUF2617:480:411:2516
Jeff SkinnerBUF2417:320:441:1870
Tage ThompsonBUF2317:050:451:2470
Zachary SanfordOTT2516:520:400:5713
Casey MittelstadtBUF2116:520:481:2562
Dylan CozensBUF2216:360:451:2454
Mark PysykBUF2416:080:401:2515
Robert HaggBUF2015:540:481:2923
Rasmus AsplundBUF2015:510:481:1953
Victor MeteOTT2415:460:391:0722
Joshua BrownOTT2414:570:370:5923
Austin WatsonOTT2414:480:371:1607
Alex FormentonOTT2314:440:381:1243
Jacob BrysonBUF2114:440:421:1724
Victor OlofssonBUF1814:080:471:1252
Anders BjorkBUF1612:500:481:2142
Chris TierneyOTT1712:200:441:0122
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1811:250:381:0813
Mark JankowskiBUF1911:000:351:0107
Adam GaudetteOTT1610:380:401:0231
Cody EakinBUF1610:320:401:0414
Drake BathersonOTT75:380:482:0930
Dylan GambrellOTT43:050:461:0200