Sat, Jan 29, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Vegas Golden Knights 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 70% of the time.
62%
22%
TBL winsVGK wins
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 24:55 | 0.11 | 65.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:49 | 0.05 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 24:34 | 0.17 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:34 | 0.19 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:47 | 0.30 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 18:42 | 0.42 | 52.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:04 | 0.23 | 62.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:09 | 0.08 | 46.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:40 | 0.05 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:24 | 0.00 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:18 | 0.13 | 23.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:12 | 0.00 | 19.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:57 | 0.00 | 30.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:16 | 0.00 | 15.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:00 | 0.06 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 12:02 | 0.19 | 63.6% | +27.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 9:41 | 0.17 | 78.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 9:19 | 0.39 | 81.9% | +27.5 |
| W | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 3.80 | +1.8 | 64:37 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 29:22 | 0.19 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 27:44 | 0.14 | 78.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27:30 | 0.09 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 26:08 | 0.32 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 23:44 | 0.38 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:15 | 0.21 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:08 | 0.00 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 18:44 | 0.86 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:09 | 0.05 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:58 | 0.00 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:30 | 0.24 | 43.8% | +11.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 13:47 | 0.38 | 37.2% | +55.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:03 | 0.08 | 26.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:38 | 0.00 | 29.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10:57 | 0.75 | 61.1% | +11.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:34 | 0.04 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:22 | 0.08 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 5:37 | 0.00 | 18.6% | 0.0 |
| O | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 2.52 | +0.5 | 64:50 |