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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 6, 2022·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise

Ottawa Senators 1, Vegas Golden Knights 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 55% of the time.

VGK winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

VGK forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Brown–Norris–TkachukPaul–Sanford–WhiteGaudette–Formenton–StützleWatson–Gambrell–KellyBrown–Paul–SanfordChabot–ZubHolden–ZaitsevBrown–BrannstromChabot–ZaitsevBrown–Zub
Smith–Karlsson–Marchessault2:330.27–0.062:570.00–0.474:380.37–0.190:320.00–0.056:090.26–0.203:330.33–0.432:070.27–0.16
Pacioretty–Eichel–Roy4:350.00–0.321:040.00–0.001:500.04–0.002:080.31–0.070:390.13–0.002:390.26–0.047:130.28–0.250:370.00–0.000:390.00–0.13
Stephenson–Carrier–Amadio1:280.04–0.045:130.07–0.061:340.31–0.152:350.20–0.005:390.16–0.210:590.04–0.003:090.35–0.04
Dadonov–Kolesar–Leschyshyn1:460.00–0.001:420.05–0.302:290.00–0.011:430.00–0.002:440.05–0.300:590.00–0.000:330.00–0.01
Dadonov–Stephenson–Amadio0:480.00–0.150:570.00–0.08
Theodore–Whitecloud10:020.14–0.312:280.00–0.302:080.11–0.100:390.04–0.003:190.00–0.079:370.26–0.432:230.00–0.110:340.00–0.06
Pietrangelo–Hague0:560.01–0.046:040.00–0.413:000.00–0.042:590.04–0.117:080.07–0.313:180.07–0.333:150.13–0.04
Hutton–Coghlan0:520.00–0.000:430.00–0.003:390.50–0.194:110.10–0.115:380.22–0.271:380.09–0.001:520.31–0.000:330.00–0.070:470.00–0.01
Pietrangelo–Theodore1:270.19–0.300:380.00–0.000:470.01–0.001:380.03–0.30
Pietrangelo–Hutton1:340.07–0.001:010.00–0.00
Theodore–Hague0:310.00–0.03
Coghlan–Hague0:500.26–0.000:540.26–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndEichel FRoy FPacioretty FSmith FKarlsson FMarchessault FStephenson FAmadio FCarrier FLeschyshyn FKolesar FDadonov FWhitecloud DTheodore DPietrangelo DHague DHutton DCoghlan DLehner GTkachuk FNorris FBrown FSanford FPaul FWhite FFormenton FGaudette FStützle FWatson FGambrell FKelly FHolden DZaitsev DZub DChabot DBrown DBrannstrom DForsberg G
VGKOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Thomas ChabotOTT2926:170:541:5739
Shea TheodoreVGK3025:060:501:2973
Alex PietrangeloVGK3023:220:472:0854
Nikita ZaitsevOTT2923:040:481:2524
Artem ZubOTT2622:460:532:2928
Nick HoldenOTT2921:290:441:2425
Nicolas HagueVGK2821:000:452:0743
Zach WhitecloudVGK2820:450:441:2024
Connor BrownOTT2518:320:441:2643
Chandler StephensonVGK2217:530:491:3043
Nick PaulOTT2117:500:511:2504
Brady TkachukOTT2517:430:432:0772
Josh NorrisOTT2417:080:432:0772
Max PaciorettyVGK2016:530:511:2953
Jonathan MarchessaultVGK2116:400:481:2740
Reilly SmithVGK2316:340:431:2721
Jack EichelVGK2016:310:501:2953
William KarlssonVGK2316:290:431:1822
Tim StützleOTT2316:240:431:3961
Nicolas RoyVGK2316:220:431:0346
Colin WhiteOTT2115:540:451:2035
Michael AmadioVGK1815:360:521:2642
Zachary SanfordOTT2215:290:421:2005
Ben HuttonVGK2013:500:421:2233
Dylan CoghlanVGK1813:190:441:2633
Evgenii DadonovVGK1613:140:501:0940
Adam GaudetteOTT2113:050:371:0342
Alex FormentonOTT2213:020:361:0042
William CarrierVGK1712:560:461:2642
Dylan GambrellOTT1712:510:451:2605
Erik BrannstromOTT1912:010:381:1530
Austin WatsonOTT1811:470:391:2608
Joshua BrownOTT1611:040:421:1520
Parker KellyOTT1611:000:411:2906
Keegan KolesarVGK1410:190:441:2730
Jake LeschyshynVGK149:510:420:5230