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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 16, 2022·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Seattle Kraken 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 78% of the time.

SEA winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

SEA forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Killorn–Stamkos–KucherovPerry–Joseph–ColtonPalat–Point–CirelliMaroon–Bellemare–KatchoukPerry–Maroon–ColtonKillorn–Palat–PointHedman–RuttaCernak–SergachevMcDonagh–BogosianMcDonagh–CernakBogosian–SergachevBogosian–HedmanSergachev–RuttaHedman–Cernak
Eberle–Schwartz–McCann4:120.43–0.241:000.00–0.140:420.00–0.002:100.12–0.031:330.01–0.044:090.17–0.071:120.00–0.131:570.42–0.250:580.00–0.15
Blackwell–Gourde–Appleton1:500.23–0.070:510.00–0.094:310.00–0.420:560.05–0.032:560.05–0.271:460.00–0.153:510.11–0.20
Johansson–Donato–Geekie0:540.00–0.063:200.02–0.000:360.00–0.001:530.03–0.001:180.00–0.022:160.03–0.062:020.02–0.001:560.00–0.000:350.00–0.001:190.00–0.12
Sheahan–Appleton–Lind1:000.00–0.001:090.00–0.04
Eberle–Schwartz–Gourde1:040.01–0.200:400.00–0.20
Larsson–Lauzon3:260.08–0.173:160.00–0.000:310.00–0.001:340.03–0.020:430.05–0.083:580.05–0.162:330.00–0.001:470.11–0.101:060.10–0.031:010.00–0.02
Oleksiak–Soucy1:120.11–0.021:520.00–0.152:270.00–0.272:110.03–0.032:300.03–0.243:180.06–0.052:490.00–0.190:420.10–0.09
Dunn–Borgen1:410.00–0.202:500.00–0.091:060.00–0.151:440.01–0.032:540.00–0.383:010.00–0.09
Larsson–Dunn1:170.06–0.150:490.01–0.00
Oleksiak–Dunn0:320.00–0.060:380.00–0.22
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndAppleton FGourde FBlackwell FMcCann FSchwartz FGeekie FJohansson FEberle FDonato FSheahan FLind FOleksiak DSoucy DDunn DLarsson DLauzon DFleury DBorgen DGrubauer GPalat FPoint FCirelli FJoseph FBellemare FStamkos FKillorn FKucherov FColton FPerry FKatchouk FMaroon FRutta DHedman DMcDonagh DCernak DSergachev DBogosian DVasilevskiy G
SEATBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2524:230:591:5871
Adam LarssonSEA2221:350:592:1707
Carson SoucySEA2321:340:561:4213
Mikhail SergachevTBL2521:200:511:3636
Jeremy LauzonSEA2620:550:481:3229
Alex KillornTBL2420:100:501:2872
Jaden SchwartzSEA2219:140:521:1873
Erik CernakTBL2419:010:481:5936
Nikita KucherovTBL2119:000:541:2872
Vince DunnSEA2218:570:522:3023
Yanni GourdeSEA2618:370:431:4925
Steven StamkosTBL2118:360:531:2873
Jamie OleksiakSEA2318:120:471:2812
Jordan EberleSEA2018:090:541:3171
Jared McCannSEA2718:070:401:1864
Ryan McDonaghTBL2017:570:541:4713
Brayden PointTBL1816:110:541:4072
Colin BlackwellSEA2415:470:391:3345
Mason AppletonSEA2115:340:441:5026
Morgan GeekieSEA1614:510:561:3714
Jan RuttaTBL1714:450:521:3311
Marcus JohanssonSEA1614:360:551:2814
Ondrej PalatTBL2014:340:441:1844
Anthony CirelliTBL2314:170:371:1345
Corey PerryTBL1814:100:471:3622
Ross ColtonTBL1814:030:471:2821
Zach BogosianTBL1613:590:521:5821
Patrick MaroonTBL1513:450:551:4912
Ryan DonatoSEA1813:100:441:2823
Will BorgenSEA2212:490:351:4514
Riley SheahanSEA2012:480:381:2114
Mathieu JosephTBL2112:350:361:0644
Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL2012:340:381:0234
Boris KatchoukTBL1510:280:421:0021
Haydn FleurySEA117:460:421:1400
Kole LindSEA117:410:421:3200