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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 17, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Carolina Hurricanes 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

2

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 63% of the time.

TOR winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:49Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Kallgren
  3. P1 2:55Shot by Trocheck, saved by Kallgren
  4. P1 3:41Shot by Kotkaniemi, saved by Kallgren
  5. P1 4:48Shot by Teravainen, saved by Kallgren
  6. P1 4:53Shot by Skjei, saved by Kallgren
  7. P1 7:00Shot by Marner, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 7:52Shot by Lorentz, saved by Kallgren
  9. P1 8:00Shot by Pesce, saved by Kallgren
  10. P1 10:12Shot by Staal, saved by Kallgren
  11. P1 10:19Shot by Skjei, saved by Kallgren
  12. P1 10:44Shot by Lorentz, saved by Kallgren
  13. P1 10:44Lyubushkin: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander, Kase, Lyubushkin · CAR Stepan, Slavin, Bear, Lorentz, Kotkaniemi

  14. P1 10:53Shot by Teravainen, saved by Kallgren4v5
  15. P1 11:24Shot by Brodie, saved by Andersen4v5
  16. P1 12:27Shot by Bear, saved by Kallgren4v5
  17. P1 14:07Shot by Bunting, saved by Andersen
  18. P1 15:48Goal by Mikheyev (Holl)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Holl, Rielly, Engvall, Kampf, Mikheyev · CAR Stepan, Slavin, Bear, Lorentz, Kotkaniemi

  19. P1 16:45Shot by Rielly, saved by Andersen
  20. P1 17:32Bunting: Roughing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Tavares, Holl, Bunting, Marner · CAR Trocheck, Skjei, Teravainen, Pesce, Aho, Svechnikov

  21. P1 17:37Shot by Slavin, saved by Kallgren4v5
  22. P1 18:30Shot by Rielly, saved by Andersen4v5
  23. P1 19:40Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Kallgren
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:20Shot by Skjei, saved by Kallgren
  27. P2 0:44Shot by Engvall, saved by Andersen
  28. P2 2:45Shot by Trocheck, saved by Kallgren
  29. P2 4:39Goal by Marner (Tavares, Liljegren)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Bunting, Marner, Liljegren, Sandin · CAR Teravainen, Slavin, Aho, Bear, Svechnikov

  30. P2 6:29Shot by Slavin, saved by Kallgren
  31. P2 6:42Shot by Spezza, saved by Andersen
  32. P2 9:54Shot by Martinook, saved by Kallgren
  33. P2 13:27Shot by Teravainen, saved by Kallgren
  34. P2 15:39Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Andersen
  35. P2 16:16Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Andersen
  36. P2 16:35Shot by Bear, saved by Kallgren
  37. P2 17:27Shot by Staal, saved by Kallgren
  38. P2 17:39Shot by Rielly, saved by Andersen
  39. P2 19:51Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Kallgren
  40. P2 0:00Period end
  41. P3 0:00Period start
  42. P3 1:24Shot by Trocheck, saved by Kallgren
  43. P3 1:31Shot by Trocheck, saved by Kallgren
  44. P3 1:36Shot by Trocheck, saved by Kallgren
  45. P3 2:52Shot by Clifford, saved by Andersen
  46. P3 3:09Shot by Stepan, saved by Kallgren
  47. P3 4:09Goal by Bear (Fast, Slavin)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Lyubushkin · CAR Staal, Niederreiter, Fast, Slavin, Bear

  48. P3 4:19Svechnikov: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Kerfoot, Nylander, Kase, Liljegren, Sandin · CAR Trocheck, Skjei, Teravainen, Pesce, Svechnikov

  49. P3 4:39Shot by Staal, saved by Kallgren5v4
  50. P3 4:58Shot by Skjei, saved by Kallgren5v4
  51. P3 7:20Goal by Kase (Nylander, Kerfoot)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander, Kase, Lyubushkin · CAR Cole, Martinook, Pesce, Aho, Necas

  52. P3 8:01Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Andersen
  53. P3 9:11Nylander: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Engvall, Liljegren, Kampf, Sandin, Mikheyev · CAR Staal, Cole, Smith, Niederreiter, Fast

  54. P3 9:40Shot by Slavin, saved by Kallgren4v5
  55. P3 9:51Shot by Marner, saved by Andersen4v5
  56. P3 10:38Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Andersen4v5
  57. P3 10:40Shot by Kase, saved by Andersen4v5
  58. P3 11:00Shot by Bear, saved by Kallgren4v5
  59. P3 14:05Shot by Tavares, saved by Andersen
  60. P3 15:03Shot by Sandin, saved by Andersen
  61. P3 15:56Shot by Clifford, saved by Andersen
  62. P3 16:23Shot by Skjei, saved by Kallgren
  63. P3 17:44Shot by Staal, saved by Kallgren5v6
  64. P3 18:18Shot by Staal, saved by Kallgren5v6
  65. P3 19:54Shot by Slavin, saved by Kallgren5v6
  66. P3 19:56Goal by Trocheck (Svechnikov, Slavin)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Holl, Kerfoot, Kase, Kampf · CAR Staal, Trocheck, Teravainen, Slavin, Aho, Svechnikov

  67. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  68. P3 0:00Final