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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 17, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Carolina Hurricanes 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 63% of the time.

TOR winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Staal–Niederreiter–FastTrocheck–Martinook–NecasTeravainen–Aho–SvechnikovStepan–Lorentz–KotkaniemiTrocheck–Teravainen–SvechnikovMartinook–Aho–NecasNiederreiter–Fast–KotkaniemiStaal–Martinook–LorentzSkjei–PesceSlavin–BearCole–SmithSlavin–Pesce
Tavares–Bunting–Marner2:400.04–0.351:420.00–0.003:370.34–0.090:340.09–0.004:020.28–0.313:280.09–0.130:510.00–0.000:420.10–0.00
Engvall–Kampf–Mikheyev3:390.03–0.072:510.25–0.072:370.03–0.113:310.09–0.022:020.18–0.02
Kerfoot–Nylander–Kase2:560.00–0.112:350.04–0.040:300.00–0.100:450.15–0.001:450.00–0.010:510.00–0.123:570.05–0.12
Spezza–Clifford–Robertson0:380.00–0.001:380.07–0.001:150.00–0.002:170.00–0.001:130.00–0.001:230.07–0.00
Tavares–Nylander–Marner0:420.00–0.000:490.00–0.010:420.00–0.00
Clifford–Engvall–Kampf0:420.00–0.000:440.00–0.00
Spezza–Nylander–Kase0:430.00–0.090:430.00–0.09
Clifford–Tavares–Robertson0:440.09–0.06
Brodie–Holl2:530.07–0.002:370.00–0.023:300.04–0.022:120.10–0.101:410.13–0.003:240.07–0.046:260.04–0.114:560.24–0.03
Rielly–Lyubushkin4:080.00–0.352:130.07–0.002:080.29–0.012:510.11–0.101:480.32–0.000:480.00–0.007:210.19–0.083:370.18–0.403:320.19–0.010:350.10–0.00
Liljegren–Sandin1:310.03–0.143:370.00–0.361:390.05–0.031:100.09–0.000:500.00–0.000:450.00–0.004:460.12–0.152:450.05–0.272:210.00–0.110:440.00–0.00
Rielly–Sandin0:360.08–0.001:100.17–0.110:320.00–0.04
Brodie–Liljegren0:310.00–0.000:430.00–0.090:470.00–0.09
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndEngvall FKampf FMikheyev FMarner FBunting FTavares FKerfoot FKase FNylander FSpezza FClifford FRobertson FRielly DLyubushkin DHoll DBrodie DLiljegren DSandin DKallgren GStaal FNiederreiter FFast FSvechnikov FTeravainen FAho FNecas FTrocheck FMartinook FStepan FLorentz FKotkaniemi FPesce DSkjei DBear DSlavin DSmith DCole DAndersen G
TORCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

TJ BrodieTOR2724:270:541:3634
Jaccob SlavinCAR2524:000:581:3961
Justin HollTOR2723:350:521:3624
Morgan RiellyTOR2823:220:501:2142
Brett PesceCAR2521:410:521:5730
Vincent TrocheckCAR2020:301:023:0030
Mitch MarnerTOR2519:550:481:1273
Sebastian AhoCAR1819:451:063:3630
Brady SkjeiCAR2419:330:491:4430
Ilya LyubushkinTOR2719:250:431:2032
Martin NecasCAR2018:280:552:0111
Nino NiederreiterCAR2318:250:481:5110
Teuvo TeravainenCAR2018:220:551:4641
Ethan BearCAR2218:210:501:3921
William NylanderTOR2118:040:522:2743
John TavaresTOR2518:040:431:1351
David KampfTOR2117:540:511:4105
Andrei SvechnikovCAR1917:490:561:2941
Jesper FastCAR2416:280:411:2000
Jordan StaalCAR2315:470:411:2931
Pierre EngvallTOR2215:210:421:4501
Ondrej KaseTOR2115:030:431:1434
Ian ColeCAR1914:530:471:1702
Alexander KerfootTOR2414:460:371:0335
Ilya MikheyevTOR2114:210:411:1301
Rasmus SandinTOR2214:140:391:0411
Jordan MartinookCAR1613:500:521:4810
Michael BuntingTOR1613:410:511:2130
Timothy LiljegrenTOR2113:230:381:0612
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR1613:120:502:3230
Brendan SmithCAR1812:280:421:0502
Jason SpezzaTOR169:500:370:5812
Steven LorentzCAR159:450:391:1340
Kyle CliffordTOR139:250:431:1411
Nick RobertsonTOR149:100:390:5711
Derek StepanCAR117:380:421:1230