Thu, Mar 17, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Carolina Hurricanes 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 63% of the time.
28%
10%
9%
54%
TOR winsCAR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Staal–Niederreiter–Fast | Trocheck–Martinook–Necas | Teravainen–Aho–Svechnikov | Stepan–Lorentz–Kotkaniemi | Trocheck–Teravainen–Svechnikov | Martinook–Aho–Necas | Niederreiter–Fast–Kotkaniemi | Staal–Martinook–Lorentz | Skjei–Pesce | Slavin–Bear | Cole–Smith | Slavin–Pesce | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavares–Bunting–Marner | 2:400.04–0.35 | 1:420.00–0.00 | 3:370.34–0.09 | 0:340.09–0.00 | 4:020.28–0.31 | 3:280.09–0.13 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:420.10–0.00 | ||||
| Engvall–Kampf–Mikheyev | 3:390.03–0.07 | 2:510.25–0.07 | 2:370.03–0.11 | 3:310.09–0.02 | 2:020.18–0.02 | |||||||
| Kerfoot–Nylander–Kase | 2:560.00–0.11 | 2:350.04–0.04 | 0:300.00–0.10 | 0:450.15–0.00 | 1:450.00–0.01 | 0:510.00–0.12 | 3:570.05–0.12 | |||||
| Spezza–Clifford–Robertson | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:380.07–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.00 | 2:170.00–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 1:230.07–0.00 | ||||||
| Tavares–Nylander–Marner | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.01 | 0:420.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Clifford–Engvall–Kampf | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Spezza–Nylander–Kase | 0:430.00–0.09 | 0:430.00–0.09 | ||||||||||
| Clifford–Tavares–Robertson | 0:440.09–0.06 | |||||||||||
| Brodie–Holl | 2:530.07–0.00 | 2:370.00–0.02 | 3:300.04–0.02 | 2:120.10–0.10 | 1:410.13–0.00 | 3:240.07–0.04 | 6:260.04–0.11 | 4:560.24–0.03 | ||||
| Rielly–Lyubushkin | 4:080.00–0.35 | 2:130.07–0.00 | 2:080.29–0.01 | 2:510.11–0.10 | 1:480.32–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 7:210.19–0.08 | 3:370.18–0.40 | 3:320.19–0.01 | 0:350.10–0.00 | ||
| Liljegren–Sandin | 1:310.03–0.14 | 3:370.00–0.36 | 1:390.05–0.03 | 1:100.09–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 4:460.12–0.15 | 2:450.05–0.27 | 2:210.00–0.11 | 0:440.00–0.00 | ||
| Rielly–Sandin | 0:360.08–0.00 | 1:100.17–0.11 | 0:320.00–0.04 | |||||||||
| Brodie–Liljegren | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.09 | 0:470.00–0.09 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
| 27 | 24:27 | 0:54 | 1:36 | 3 | 4 | |
| 25 | 24:00 | 0:58 | 1:39 | 6 | 1 | |
| 27 | 23:35 | 0:52 | 1:36 | 2 | 4 | |
| 28 | 23:22 | 0:50 | 1:21 | 4 | 2 | |
| 25 | 21:41 | 0:52 | 1:57 | 3 | 0 | |
| 20 | 20:30 | 1:02 | 3:00 | 3 | 0 | |
| 25 | 19:55 | 0:48 | 1:12 | 7 | 3 | |
| 18 | 19:45 | 1:06 | 3:36 | 3 | 0 | |
| 24 | 19:33 | 0:49 | 1:44 | 3 | 0 | |
| 27 | 19:25 | 0:43 | 1:20 | 3 | 2 | |
| 20 | 18:28 | 0:55 | 2:01 | 1 | 1 | |
| 23 | 18:25 | 0:48 | 1:51 | 1 | 0 | |
| 20 | 18:22 | 0:55 | 1:46 | 4 | 1 | |
| 22 | 18:21 | 0:50 | 1:39 | 2 | 1 | |
| 21 | 18:04 | 0:52 | 2:27 | 4 | 3 | |
| 25 | 18:04 | 0:43 | 1:13 | 5 | 1 | |
| 21 | 17:54 | 0:51 | 1:41 | 0 | 5 | |
| 19 | 17:49 | 0:56 | 1:29 | 4 | 1 | |
| 24 | 16:28 | 0:41 | 1:20 | 0 | 0 | |
| 23 | 15:47 | 0:41 | 1:29 | 3 | 1 | |
| 22 | 15:21 | 0:42 | 1:45 | 0 | 1 | |
| 21 | 15:03 | 0:43 | 1:14 | 3 | 4 | |
| 19 | 14:53 | 0:47 | 1:17 | 0 | 2 | |
| 24 | 14:46 | 0:37 | 1:03 | 3 | 5 | |
| 21 | 14:21 | 0:41 | 1:13 | 0 | 1 | |
| 22 | 14:14 | 0:39 | 1:04 | 1 | 1 | |
| 16 | 13:50 | 0:52 | 1:48 | 1 | 0 | |
| 16 | 13:41 | 0:51 | 1:21 | 3 | 0 | |
| 21 | 13:23 | 0:38 | 1:06 | 1 | 2 | |
| 16 | 13:12 | 0:50 | 2:32 | 3 | 0 | |
| 18 | 12:28 | 0:42 | 1:05 | 0 | 2 | |
| 16 | 9:50 | 0:37 | 0:58 | 1 | 2 | |
| 15 | 9:45 | 0:39 | 1:13 | 4 | 0 | |
| 13 | 9:25 | 0:43 | 1:14 | 1 | 1 | |
| 14 | 9:10 | 0:39 | 0:57 | 1 | 1 | |
| 11 | 7:38 | 0:42 | 1:12 | 3 | 0 |