Thu, Mar 17, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Carolina Hurricanes 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 63% of the time.
28%
10%
9%
54%
TOR winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 24:00 | 0.15 | 66.6% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:41 | 0.03 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 20:30 | 0.61 | 64.9% | +1.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:45 | 0.00 | 15.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19:33 | 0.13 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:28 | 0.04 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:25 | 0.26 | 79.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:22 | 0.16 | 24.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 18:21 | 0.20 | 73.4% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:49 | 0.35 | 26.0% | +1.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:28 | 0.04 | 79.7% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 5 | 15:47 | 0.50 | 78.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:53 | 0.00 | 27.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:50 | 0.02 | 52.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:12 | 0.10 | 52.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:28 | 0.00 | 26.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:45 | 0.13 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:38 | 0.02 | 40.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 21 | 18 | 3 | .857 | 2.06 | −0.9 | 57:05 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 24:27 | 0.00 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23:35 | 0.00 | 60.2% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 23:22 | 0.24 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:55 | 0.35 | 59.1% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:25 | 0.00 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:04 | 0.00 | 33.5% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:04 | 0.17 | 52.3% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:54 | 0.00 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:21 | 0.13 | 78.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:03 | 0.45 | 21.1% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:46 | 0.00 | 37.7% | +14.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 14:21 | 0.38 | 74.5% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:14 | 0.03 | 31.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:41 | 0.09 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:23 | 0.00 | 22.0% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:50 | 0.07 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:25 | 0.16 | 65.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:10 | 0.00 | 44.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 36 | 34 | 2 | .944 | 2.72 | +0.7 | 60:00 |