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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 22, 2022·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Carolina Hurricanes 3

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

2

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 70% of the time.

CAR winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:07Shot by Cernak, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 0:11Shot by Palat, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 1:53Shot by Kucherov, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 2:59Shot by Slavin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  6. P1 6:38Shot by Stamkos, saved by Andersen
  7. P1 7:09Shot by Kucherov, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 10:40Shot by Perry, saved by Andersen
  9. P1 12:06Shot by Skjei, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 12:51Shot by Rutta, saved by Andersen
  11. P1 13:57Shot by Lorentz, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 14:39Shot by Cernak, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 14:55Shot by Cirelli, saved by Andersen
  14. P1 15:42Shot by Cole, saved by Vasilevskiy
  15. P1 16:38DeAngelo: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Teravainen, Slavin, DeAngelo, Aho, Jarvis · TBL Bogosian, Hedman, Palat, Point, Hagel

  16. P1 17:39Shot by Point, saved by Andersen4v5
  17. P1 19:12Shot by Trocheck, saved by Vasilevskiy
  18. P1 19:14Shot by Jarvis, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P1 19:59Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:49Shot by Colton, saved by Andersen
  23. P2 1:39Shot by Fast, saved by Vasilevskiy
  24. P2 2:36Shot by Kotkaniemi, saved by Vasilevskiy
  25. P2 2:38Shot by Stepan, saved by Vasilevskiy
  26. P2 2:52Shot by Bear, saved by Vasilevskiy
  27. P2 3:03Shot by Hedman, saved by Andersen
  28. P2 3:47Shot by Teravainen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  29. P2 5:15Perry: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Trocheck, Skjei, Pesce, Necas, Svechnikov · TBL Palat, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Sergachev, Hagel

  30. P2 5:49Shot by Teravainen, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  31. P2 6:56Goal by Necas (Bear, Jarvis)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Niederreiter, Bear, Necas, Kotkaniemi, Jarvis · TBL Hedman, Paul, Cirelli, Sergachev

  32. P2 7:39Shot by Skjei, saved by Vasilevskiy
  33. P2 8:47Shot by Palat, saved by Andersen
  34. P2 9:06Shot by Trocheck, saved by Vasilevskiy
  35. P2 9:39Goal by Paul (Colton)+23 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Cole, Trocheck, Bear, Necas, Svechnikov · TBL Paul, Cernak, Cirelli, Sergachev, Colton

  36. P2 12:09Shot by Pesce, saved by Vasilevskiy
  37. P2 12:11Shot by Staal, saved by Vasilevskiy
  38. P2 12:39Stamkos: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Niederreiter, Fast, Skjei, Pesce, Aho · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Rutta

  39. P2 12:52Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  40. P2 12:54Shot by Teravainen, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  41. P2 13:00Shot by Teravainen, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  42. P2 13:55Goal by DeAngelo (Svechnikov, Teravainen)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Trocheck, Teravainen, DeAngelo, Aho, Svechnikov · TBL McDonagh, Paul, Bellemare, Sergachev

  43. P2 14:07Shot by Palat, saved by Andersen
  44. P2 14:36Shot by Sergachev, saved by Andersen
  45. P2 15:25Shot by Bogosian, saved by Andersen
  46. P2 15:50Shot by Bogosian, saved by Andersen
  47. P2 16:32Shot by Bear, saved by Vasilevskiy
  48. P2 17:03Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P2 18:32Shot by Teravainen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P2 18:57Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Vasilevskiy
  51. P2 19:22Shot by Cole, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P2 19:36Shot by Hedman, saved by Andersen
  53. P2 19:47Cole: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Cole, Trocheck, Bear, Necas, Svechnikov · TBL Hedman, Paul, Cirelli, Colton, Rutta

  54. P2 19:47Cirelli: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CAR Cole, Trocheck, Bear, Necas, Svechnikov · TBL Hedman, Paul, Cirelli, Colton, Rutta

  55. P2 19:47Cole: Holding (2 min)4v4

    On ice: CAR Cole, Trocheck, Bear, Necas, Svechnikov · TBL Hedman, Paul, Cirelli, Colton, Rutta

  56. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 1:01Kucherov: Holding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CAR Teravainen, Slavin, Aho, Bear · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point

  59. P3 2:32Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  60. P3 2:36Shot by Trocheck, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  61. P3 3:30Shot by Skjei, saved by Vasilevskiy
  62. P3 3:45Shot by Perry, saved by Andersen
  63. P3 4:26Shot by Aho, saved by Vasilevskiy
  64. P3 4:37Shot by Cirelli, saved by Andersen
  65. P3 5:13Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Vasilevskiy
  66. P3 5:14Shot by Fast, saved by Vasilevskiy
  67. P3 6:50Shot by McDonagh, saved by Andersen
  68. P3 7:30Shot by Fast, saved by Vasilevskiy
  69. P3 8:05Shot by Slavin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  70. P3 8:07Goal by Aho (Jarvis, Slavin)+14 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Teravainen, Slavin, DeAngelo, Aho, Jarvis · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Hagel, Rutta

  71. P3 9:21Shot by Palat, saved by Andersen
  72. P3 9:31Shot by Stamkos, saved by Andersen
  73. P3 9:57Shot by Fast, saved by Vasilevskiy
  74. P3 10:01Shot by Bear, saved by Vasilevskiy
  75. P3 11:58Shot by Colton, saved by Andersen
  76. P3 15:05Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Vasilevskiy
  77. P3 15:06Shot by Staal, saved by Vasilevskiy
  78. P3 16:58Shot by Pesce, saved by Vasilevskiy
  79. P3 17:19Sergachev: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Staal, Cole, Niederreiter, Fast, Bear · TBL Killorn, Cernak, Cirelli, Sergachev, Hagel

  80. P3 17:19Staal: Cross checking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR Staal, Cole, Niederreiter, Fast, Bear · TBL Killorn, Cernak, Cirelli, Sergachev, Hagel

  81. P3 17:44Shot by Point, saved by Andersen4v5
  82. P3 18:16Shot by Kucherov, saved by Andersen4v5
  83. P3 19:00Goal by Killorn (Hedman, Kucherov)4v5+4 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Fast, Trocheck, Skjei, Slavin · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point

  84. P3 19:24Shot by Hedman, saved by Andersen5v6
  85. P3 19:34Kucherov: Interference (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CAR Staal, Cole, Fast, Slavin, Aho · TBL Perry, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli

  86. P3 0:00Period end
  87. P3 0:00Final