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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 22, 2022·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Carolina Hurricanes 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 70% of the time.

CAR winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Killorn–Stamkos–KucherovPalat–Point–HagelPerry–Maroon–BellemarePaul–Cirelli–ColtonPalat–Kucherov–PointKillorn–Stamkos–CirelliPalat–Point–CirelliHedman–RuttaMcDonagh–BogosianCernak–SergachevBogosian–SergachevMcDonagh–CernakHedman–SergachevSergachev–RuttaHedman–CernakMcDonagh–HedmanMcDonagh–Rutta
Trocheck–Necas–Svechnikov3:190.03–0.190:340.00–0.094:050.17–0.533:510.03–0.493:440.03–0.172:360.14–0.210:460.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Teravainen–Aho–Jarvis4:350.04–0.322:040.26–0.000:480.00–0.001:420.16–0.005:190.48–0.001:130.04–0.142:230.13–0.210:300.00–0.000:520.16–0.00
Staal–Niederreiter–Fast3:470.39–0.262:000.31–0.130:430.06–0.021:090.12–0.090:380.02–0.002:070.41–0.132:370.15–0.093:320.36–0.191:060.00–0.080:370.12–0.09
Stepan–Lorentz–Kotkaniemi0:310.00–0.004:240.06–0.190:400.00–0.072:360.38–0.120:380.00–0.000:450.06–0.000:340.02–0.00
Skjei–Pesce7:430.37–0.451:340.00–0.221:080.00–0.152:540.29–0.254:430.41–0.334:320.15–0.323:530.13–0.191:010.16–0.250:320.00–0.00
Slavin–DeAngelo5:250.05–0.322:300.23–0.001:110.02–0.111:330.13–0.120:440.36–0.005:020.47–0.112:330.30–0.142:450.13–0.211:160.06–0.001:060.00–0.080:320.00–0.090:370.26–0.00
Cole–Bear0:350.03–0.002:530.06–0.083:260.16–0.410:380.02–0.003:130.12–0.312:100.29–0.012:460.19–0.211:010.33–0.000:320.00–0.000:460.02–0.00
Slavin–Bear0:530.31–0.000:450.00–0.050:400.31–0.00
Cole–DeAngelo1:010.02–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndAho FJarvis FTeravainen FStaal FNiederreiter FFast FTrocheck FSvechnikov FNecas FStepan FLorentz FKotkaniemi FSlavin DDeAngelo DBear DCole DPesce DSkjei DAndersen GPalat FPoint FHagel FPaul FCirelli FColton FKillorn FKucherov FStamkos FPerry FMaroon FBellemare FCernak DSergachev DRutta DHedman DBogosian DMcDonagh DVasilevskiy G
CARTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2427:061:082:4127
Nikita KucherovTBL2422:040:552:1584
Jaccob SlavinCAR2621:390:501:4046
Brady SkjeiCAR2521:380:521:5754
Brett PesceCAR2421:290:542:0345
Tony DeAngeloCAR3021:230:431:3284
Sebastian AhoCAR2421:210:531:4633
Brayden PointTBL2420:550:522:1564
Vincent TrocheckCAR2320:440:541:3074
Mikhail SergachevTBL2420:290:511:5537
Alex KillornTBL2820:230:441:3466
Teuvo TeravainenCAR2520:050:481:2563
Andrei SvechnikovCAR2019:020:571:3053
Ryan McDonaghTBL2218:530:521:2324
Steven StamkosTBL2318:410:491:3165
Jan RuttaTBL1917:410:562:0726
Ondrej PalatTBL2216:300:451:1374
Erik CernakTBL2216:290:451:2227
Martin NecasCAR2015:540:482:0153
Jordan StaalCAR2415:250:391:5966
Anthony CirelliTBL2515:250:371:0558
Ian ColeCAR2215:170:421:1172
Seth JarvisCAR2014:450:441:3423
Ethan BearCAR2214:320:401:0372
Jesper FastCAR2113:530:401:3234
Zach BogosianTBL1513:410:551:3511
Nino NiederreiterCAR2012:470:381:2954
Brandon HagelTBL2012:390:381:1153
Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL1611:420:442:1524
Patrick MaroonTBL1311:160:522:3232
Corey PerryTBL1410:590:472:1133
Ross ColtonTBL1510:070:401:0134
Nick PaulTBL179:540:351:0523
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR158:140:330:5921
Derek StepanCAR148:040:351:3222
Steven LorentzCAR137:480:361:2821