Tue, Mar 22, 2022·PNC Arena, Raleigh
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Carolina Hurricanes 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 70% of the time.
64%
24%
CAR winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27:06 | 0.08 | 44.1% | +3.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 22:04 | 0.53 | 36.5% | +3.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:55 | 0.50 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:29 | 0.02 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:23 | 0.29 | 29.0% | +3.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:53 | 0.09 | 42.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:41 | 0.22 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:41 | 0.02 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:30 | 0.51 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:29 | 0.14 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:25 | 0.09 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:41 | 0.05 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:39 | 0.00 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:42 | 0.09 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:16 | 0.05 | 28.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:59 | 0.12 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:07 | 0.31 | 72.7% | +23.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:54 | 0.26 | 71.3% | +23.1 |
| L | 41 | 38 | 3 | .927 | 4.81 | +1.8 | 57:47 |
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:39 | 0.03 | 70.8% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 21:38 | 0.17 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:29 | 0.09 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 21:23 | 0.11 | 70.4% | +22.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:21 | 0.70 | 67.3% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 20:44 | 0.43 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 20:05 | 0.58 | 61.2% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:02 | 0.24 | 31.5% | +22.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 15:54 | 0.07 | 23.2% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:25 | 0.54 | 70.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:17 | 0.06 | 65.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 14:45 | 0.33 | 73.2% | +35.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 14:32 | 0.08 | 68.7% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 13:53 | 0.61 | 70.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:47 | 0.26 | 75.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:14 | 0.16 | 58.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:04 | 0.17 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:48 | 0.19 | 59.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 3.36 | +1.4 | 60:00 |