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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 24, 2022·TD Garden, Boston

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Boston Bruins 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 72% of the time.

BOS winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BOS forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Perry–Maroon–BellemarePalat–Kucherov–PointKucherov–Point–CirelliPaul–Cirelli–ColtonKillorn–Stamkos–HagelKillorn–Stamkos–PalatPaul–Colton–HagelPalat–Paul–ColtonHedman–RuttaMcDonagh–CernakBogosian–SergachevHedman–SergachevSergachev–RuttaCernak–SergachevBogosian–HedmanMcDonagh–SergachevHedman–CernakMcDonagh–Bogosian
Smith–Coyle–Frederic1:310.14–0.132:270.02–0.062:090.13–0.100:580.08–0.002:400.14–0.062:140.09–0.092:350.00–0.000:380.23–0.16
Foligno–Lazar–Nosek1:260.02–0.002:040.00–0.001:300.01–0.010:310.00–0.120:360.00–0.010:340.00–0.002:160.02–0.141:430.01–0.121:550.00–0.000:460.00–0.000:330.00–0.000:460.00–0.00
Marchand–DeBrusk–Studnicka3:230.06–0.071:040.09–0.000:420.00–0.000:320.02–0.000:580.00–0.002:210.02–0.101:060.04–0.032:110.12–0.001:290.00–0.00
Haula–Hall–Pastrnak1:270.04–0.000:470.10–0.002:000.69–0.002:180.17–0.091:040.16–0.003:590.21–0.090:420.19–0.091:020.45–0.000:300.00–0.00
Grzelcyk–Carlo2:370.00–0.030:300.00–0.002:120.01–0.003:050.09–0.090:370.00–0.001:370.03–0.004:560.28–0.101:540.00–0.000:420.00–0.002:150.00–0.09
Lindholm–McAvoy4:500.33–0.144:020.71–0.060:350.10–0.000:410.01–0.013:070.24–0.001:350.14–0.022:190.11–0.060:520.00–0.000:520.45–0.000:360.10–0.131:120.02–0.000:470.00–0.02
Forbort–Clifton3:120.12–0.021:440.00–0.070:330.00–0.120:370.08–0.001:100.06–0.004:250.09–0.171:170.05–0.142:040.14–0.030:500.00–0.000:460.00–0.00
Forbort–Carlo0:480.00–0.000:310.00–0.000:530.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndFrederic FSmith FCoyle FStudnicka FMarchand FDeBrusk FFoligno FLazar FNosek FHall FPastrnak FHaula FCarlo DGrzelcyk DLindholm DMcAvoy DForbort DClifton DSwayman GPaul FCirelli FColton FPerry FMaroon FBellemare FPoint FKillorn FPalat FHagel FKucherov FStamkos FHedman DSergachev DMcDonagh DCernak DRutta DBogosian DVasilevskiy G
BOSTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2726:541:002:0823
Charlie McAvoyBOS2624:560:581:4984
Hampus LindholmBOS2623:260:541:2555
Mikhail SergachevTBL3022:450:461:5136
Nikita KucherovTBL2121:591:032:4035
Charlie CoyleBOS2521:160:511:4444
Brayden PointTBL2219:440:542:0334
Brandon CarloBOS2518:390:451:1324
David PastrnakBOS2018:370:561:55101
Jan RuttaTBL2118:350:531:2411
Matt GrzelcykBOS2318:310:481:2443
Anthony CirelliTBL2517:570:431:5338
Ryan McDonaghTBL2117:460:511:2517
Ondrej PalatTBL2317:450:461:2653
Brad MarchandBOS1916:280:521:5942
Derek ForbortBOS2716:180:361:1616
Steven StamkosTBL1916:060:511:4065
Erik CernakTBL2415:550:401:1919
Craig SmithBOS2215:500:431:1312
Alex KillornTBL2015:370:471:1945
Taylor HallBOS1814:470:491:4491
Erik HaulaBOS2114:460:421:3292
Jake DeBruskBOS1914:310:461:0833
Tomas NosekBOS2013:560:421:0418
Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL1912:130:391:1613
Nick PaulTBL1912:030:381:1422
Connor CliftonBOS1912:000:381:3003
Curtis LazarBOS1711:450:411:1516
Jack StudnickaBOS1611:420:441:1212
Nick FolignoBOS1611:350:431:0424
Brandon HagelTBL1911:140:351:1531
Zach BogosianTBL1611:000:411:3012
Trent FredericBOS1510:570:441:1301
Ross ColtonTBL1310:080:471:1410
Patrick MaroonTBL149:550:431:1711
Corey PerryTBL149:320:411:1721