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Ice Lab

Sun, Apr 3, 2022·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Florida Panthers 5, Buffalo Sabres 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 56% of the time.

BUF winsFLA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Reinhart–Marchment–LundellDuclair–Verhaeghe–BarkovGiroux–Huberdeau–BennettThornton–Lomberg–LuostarinenBarkov–Reinhart–MarchmentReinhart–Lomberg–LundellGiroux–Huberdeau–LuostarinenHagg–MontourWeegar–ForslingChiarot–GudasChiarot–WeegarGudas–ForslingMontour–ForslingChiarot–Montour
Okposo–Eakin–Girgensons6:220.10–0.380:480.00–0.001:210.00–0.000:440.12–0.003:320.12–0.041:210.01–0.105:310.10–0.260:360.00–0.00
Skinner–Tuch–Thompson3:290.08–0.353:030.04–0.400:460.02–0.000:380.04–0.000:380.02–0.005:360.12–0.241:030.04–0.001:240.00–0.110:580.00–0.25
Olofsson–Asplund–Mittelstadt0:570.00–0.071:320.33–0.014:270.01–0.166:020.42–0.181:370.00–0.000:380.00–0.010:480.00–0.07
Hinostroza–Krebs–Cozens1:200.03–0.002:360.15–0.201:410.00–0.010:450.05–0.003:160.05–0.062:100.15–0.081:520.03–0.11
Tuch–Krebs–Cozens1:100.07–0.001:000.07–0.00
Jokiharju–Dahlin4:320.14–0.284:110.04–0.652:410.04–0.251:400.02–0.080:490.00–0.002:080.12–0.008:540.06–0.592:380.05–0.151:020.00–0.181:290.00–0.250:370.02–0.00
Fitzgerald–Samuelsson2:190.00–0.073:190.20–0.232:390.04–0.001:580.01–0.001:260.21–0.000:320.05–0.005:400.22–0.034:020.29–0.143:320.14–0.141:250.00–0.00
Pysyk–Bryson2:060.00–0.281:580.42–0.001:580.07–0.003:190.00–0.164:330.33–0.101:120.01–0.004:300.14–0.280:430.00–0.09
Jokiharju–Samuelsson0:400.00–0.020:380.00–0.02
Fitzgerald–Dahlin0:380.00–0.08
Bryson–Samuelsson0:490.00–0.160:410.00–0.01
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndEakin FOkposo FGirgensons FSkinner FThompson FTuch FCozens FHinostroza FKrebs FMittelstadt FOlofsson FAsplund FSamuelsson DBryson DJokiharju DDahlin DFitzgerald DPysyk DTokarski GReinhart FLundell FMarchment FBennett FHuberdeau FGiroux FVerhaeghe FDuclair FBarkov FThornton FLuostarinen FLomberg FHagg DMontour DForsling DWeegar DGudas DChiarot DKnight G
BUFFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

MacKenzie WeegarFLA2824:240:521:2933
Rasmus DahlinBUF3324:190:441:3038
Henri JokiharjuBUF3022:400:451:3027
Gustav ForslingFLA2622:220:521:3333
Mattias SamuelssonBUF3121:390:421:3704
Aleksander BarkovFLA2120:551:001:4121
Casey FitzgeraldBUF3020:450:421:1514
Sam ReinhartFLA2120:310:591:3912
Brandon MontourFLA2319:070:501:3450
Kyle OkposoBUF2117:420:511:5212
Alex TuchBUF2117:400:501:1432
Jonathan HuberdeauFLA1917:160:552:1543
Mason MarchmentFLA2017:120:521:4001
Robert HaggFLA2017:090:511:4140
Claude GirouxFLA1917:030:542:1844
Ben ChiarotFLA2416:480:421:2623
Radko GudasFLA2416:310:411:1514
Casey MittelstadtBUF1816:140:541:2922
Tage ThompsonBUF2016:070:481:3642
Jeff SkinnerBUF1815:290:521:5232
Anton LundellFLA2015:170:461:1901
Cody EakinBUF2014:550:451:2513
Mark PysykBUF2314:520:390:5812
Dylan CozensBUF1814:500:491:3322
Jacob BrysonBUF2314:010:371:1012
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1713:470:491:2301
Rasmus AsplundBUF1513:210:531:2413
Anthony DuclairFLA1913:100:421:0721
Ryan LombergFLA1513:020:521:2230
Sam BennettFLA1612:520:481:1322
Vinnie HinostrozaBUF1612:410:481:2323
Peyton KrebsBUF1812:270:421:1622
Carter VerhaegheFLA1712:160:431:2412
Victor OlofssonBUF1511:530:481:0813
Eetu LuostarinenFLA1511:050:441:0240
Joe ThorntonFLA1611:010:411:0140