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Ice Lab

Wed, Apr 6, 2022·Capital One Arena, Washington

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Washington Capitals 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 72% of the time.

WSH winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Palat–Kucherov–PointPerry–Maroon–BellemareStamkos–Paul–ColtonKillorn–Cirelli–HagelStamkos–Kucherov–PointKillorn–Paul–CirelliStamkos–Colton–HagelPaul–Bellemare–ColtonHedman–RuttaCernak–SergachevBogosian–SergachevBogosian–FooteBogosian–HedmanHedman–CernakSergachev–RuttaSergachev–FooteHedman–Foote
Backstrom–Wilson–Mantha1:080.17–0.162:320.15–0.091:550.00–0.140:500.05–0.000:400.04–0.001:090.08–0.003:440.16–0.061:060.15–0.161:050.00–0.021:540.09–0.000:450.00–0.090:350.00–0.000:580.15–0.02
Eller–Dowd–Larsson5:090.35–0.272:430.09–0.222:560.09–0.353:110.09–0.141:080.00–0.000:480.31–0.000:380.00–0.000:380.00–0.00
Oshie–Johansson–McMichael0:420.00–0.001:480.13–0.001:250.17–0.031:050.15–0.000:550.07–0.001:030.06–0.051:100.00–0.001:320.14–0.030:370.00–0.000:410.15–0.000:320.00–0.00
Ovechkin–Kuznetsov–Sheary1:060.00–0.002:480.07–0.231:130.00–0.003:070.07–0.001:300.15–0.010:510.00–0.03
Johansson–Sheary–McMichael1:010.00–0.000:390.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Orlov–Jensen4:310.36–0.351:050.00–0.021:310.07–0.222:050.00–0.271:090.08–0.005:120.16–0.383:090.15–0.251:250.08–0.001:170.31–0.180:440.00–0.000:330.00–0.06
Carlson–Fehérváry0:380.00–0.021:470.18–0.003:310.17–0.201:340.08–0.010:410.09–0.001:290.11–0.000:310.17–0.002:560.21–0.003:260.18–0.111:140.07–0.031:030.00–0.000:320.06–0.000:480.00–0.120:360.03–0.00
Schultz–van Riemsdyk1:450.15–0.072:330.06–0.081:230.00–0.050:530.00–0.000:320.00–0.030:350.00–0.003:220.10–0.081:300.15–0.041:480.06–0.060:300.01–0.000:470.00–0.050:360.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Carlson–Orlov0:430.00–0.000:370.02–0.00
Orlov–Fehérváry0:430.00–0.00
Schultz–Orlov0:330.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBackstrom FMantha FWilson FDowd FLarsson FEller FKuznetsov FSheary FOvechkin FOshie FMcMichael FJohansson FFehérváry DCarlson DJensen DOrlov Dvan Riemsdyk DSchultz DSamsonov GKillorn FPaul FCirelli FPoint FPalat FKucherov FStamkos FHagel FColton FPerry FBellemare FMaroon FRutta DHedman DCernak DSergachev DBogosian DFoote DVasilevskiy G
WSHTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2927:260:572:2836
Mikhail SergachevTBL3127:060:521:4347
John CarlsonWSH2825:020:541:5274
Nikita KucherovTBL2222:191:013:1825
Dmitry OrlovWSH2221:060:581:3822
Brayden PointTBL2321:060:552:4236
Erik CernakTBL2620:050:462:1218
Steven StamkosTBL2319:560:523:1956
Nicklas BackstromWSH2119:180:552:4162
Nick JensenWSH2218:380:511:3124
Jan RuttaTBL2417:540:451:2023
Alex OvechkinWSH1517:491:112:5230
Martin FehérváryWSH2417:460:441:1024
Evgeny KuznetsovWSH1917:170:552:0743
Alex KillornTBL2116:510:482:0846
Trevor van RiemsdykWSH2116:250:471:4823
Tom WilsonWSH1916:170:511:3045
Anthony ManthaWSH1815:540:531:3122
Lars EllerWSH2115:490:451:4044
T.J. OshieWSH2115:370:451:3672
Anthony CirelliTBL2515:330:371:1349
Johan LarssonWSH2015:190:461:4043
Nic DowdWSH2014:270:431:2062
Ondrej PalatTBL1913:560:441:4311
Justin SchultzWSH2013:310:411:5531
Nick PaulTBL1913:240:421:2635
Zach BogosianTBL1413:070:562:0811
Conor ShearyWSH1512:530:521:1512
Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL1812:190:412:2505
Marcus JohanssonWSH1712:180:431:2331
Ross ColtonTBL1811:590:401:2053
Corey PerryTBL1411:200:491:1420
Brandon HagelTBL1811:130:371:2222
Connor McMichaelWSH149:510:421:4311
Patrick MaroonTBL139:420:451:0610
Cal FooteTBL127:520:392:0710