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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 18, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Philadelphia Flyers 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 73% of the time.

TBL winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:20Shot by Allison, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 0:42Shot by Paul, saved by Hart
  4. P1 1:51Shot by Point, saved by Hart
  5. P1 2:45Shot by Foote, saved by Hart
  6. P1 5:01Shot by Point, saved by Hart
  7. P1 6:04Shot by Hedman, saved by Hart
  8. P1 6:58Shot by Perbix, saved by Hart
  9. P1 8:03Shot by Farabee, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 8:30Shot by Foote, saved by Hart
  11. P1 8:54Shot by Foote, saved by Hart
  12. P1 9:04Maroon: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Cole, Maroon, Bellemare, Foote, Koepke · PHI Deslauriers, Seeler, MacEwen, Zamula, Cates

  13. P1 9:04Deslauriers: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Cole, Maroon, Bellemare, Foote, Koepke · PHI Deslauriers, Seeler, MacEwen, Zamula, Cates

  14. P1 12:05Shot by Cates, saved by Vasilevskiy
  15. P1 12:14Shot by Zamula, saved by Vasilevskiy
  16. P1 12:14Cole: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Cole, Kucherov, Namestnikov, Colton, Foote · PHI Seeler, MacEwen, Frost, Zamula, Cates

  17. P1 13:51Shot by Farabee, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  18. P1 15:10Shot by MacEwen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P1 17:22Shot by Perry, saved by Hart
  20. P1 19:53Shot by Hagel, saved by Hart
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 1:00Konecny: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Paul, Perbix · PHI Braun, Hayes, Laughton, Sanheim, Konecny

  24. P2 1:04Shot by Stamkos, saved by Hart5v4
  25. P2 1:25Goal by Stamkos (Namestnikov, Kucherov)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Namestnikov, Point · PHI Deslauriers, Hayes, DeAngelo, Provorov

  26. P2 1:40Shot by MacEwen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  27. P2 1:41Shot by Frost, saved by Vasilevskiy
  28. P2 2:23Shot by Perry, saved by Hart
  29. P2 2:31Shot by Perry, saved by Hart
  30. P2 2:31Perry: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Cole, Namestnikov, Colton, Foote · PHI Braun, van Riemsdyk, Sanheim, MacEwen, Frost

  31. P2 2:31Braun: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Perry, Cole, Namestnikov, Colton, Foote · PHI Braun, van Riemsdyk, Sanheim, MacEwen, Frost

  32. P2 2:31MacEwen: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Cole, Namestnikov, Colton, Foote · PHI Braun, van Riemsdyk, Sanheim, MacEwen, Frost

  33. P2 4:12Goal by Stamkos (Kucherov, Hedman)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Namestnikov, Point · PHI Hayes, Seeler, Sanheim, Konecny

  34. P2 5:01Shot by Paul, saved by Hart
  35. P2 6:51Shot by Cole, saved by Hart
  36. P2 7:11Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Hart
  37. P2 7:30Shot by Hedman, saved by Hart
  38. P2 10:42Shot by Zamula, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P2 10:43Goal by Laughton (Zamula, Frost)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, Namestnikov, Sergachev, Colton, Perbix · PHI Seeler, Laughton, Allison, Frost, Zamula

  40. P2 11:48Shot by Hayes, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 12:07Shot by Konecny, saved by Vasilevskiy
  42. P2 12:44Shot by Seeler, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P2 13:53Shot by Perbix, saved by Hart
  44. P2 14:16Shot by Perry, saved by Hart
  45. P2 15:32Shot by Paul, saved by Hart
  46. P2 16:03Shot by Cernak, saved by Hart
  47. P2 16:13Shot by Cernak, saved by Hart
  48. P2 16:16Shot by Hagel, saved by Hart
  49. P2 17:42Shot by Seeler, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P2 19:25Shot by Konecny, saved by Vasilevskiy
  51. P2 19:34Shot by Perry, saved by Hart
  52. P2 19:35Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Hart
  53. P2 19:54Shot by Allison, saved by Vasilevskiy
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:25Stamkos: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Cole, Stamkos, Paul, Foote · PHI van Riemsdyk, DeAngelo, Provorov, MacEwen, Cates

  57. P3 1:06Goal by van Riemsdyk (Hayes, DeAngelo)4v5+22 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Bellemare, Cernak, Hagel · PHI van Riemsdyk, Hayes, DeAngelo, Konecny, Farabee

  58. P3 1:28Shot by Sergachev, saved by Hart
  59. P3 3:19Shot by Colton, saved by Hart
  60. P3 4:00Shot by Farabee, saved by Vasilevskiy
  61. P3 5:34MacEwen: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Hagel, Foote · PHI Deslauriers, DeAngelo, Provorov, MacEwen, Cates

  62. P3 6:06Shot by Stamkos, saved by Hart5v4
  63. P3 6:39Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  64. P3 7:43Shot by Killorn, saved by Hart
  65. P3 7:59Shot by Perry, saved by Hart
  66. P3 10:23Shot by Stamkos, saved by Hart
  67. P3 10:43Shot by Farabee, saved by Vasilevskiy
  68. P3 11:01Shot by Perry, saved by Hart
  69. P3 12:32Shot by Konecny, saved by Vasilevskiy
  70. P3 12:44Goal by Cates, unassisted+37 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Sergachev, Hagel · PHI van Riemsdyk, Seeler, Konecny, Cates, Zamula

  71. P3 14:27Shot by Perbix, saved by Hart
  72. P3 15:38Shot by Sergachev, saved by Hart
  73. P3 16:22Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Hart
  74. P3 17:00Shot by MacEwen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  75. P3 17:45Shot by Laughton, saved by Vasilevskiy
  76. P3 19:58Shot by Perry, saved by Hart6v5
  77. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  78. P3 0:00Final