Tue, Oct 18, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Philadelphia Flyers 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 73% of the time.
65%
20%
TBL winsPHI wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PHI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Hayes–Konecny–Farabee | Allison–Cates–Farabee | van Riemsdyk–MacEwen–Cates | Laughton–Allison–Frost | Hayes–Laughton–Konecny | Deslauriers–Laczynski–Cates | van Riemsdyk–Laczynski–Frost | van Riemsdyk–MacEwen–Frost | van Riemsdyk–MacEwen–Cates | van Riemsdyk–Hayes–Laczynski | DeAngelo–Provorov | Braun–Sanheim | Seeler–Zamula | Seeler–Sanheim | Sanheim–Zamula | Seeler–Provorov | Sanheim–DeAngelo | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kucherov–Point–Hagel | 1:550.31–0.30 | 1:400.20–0.06 | 0:330.00–0.01 | 1:030.05–0.00 | 1:350.00–0.12 | 1:030.05–0.02 | 0:340.04–0.00 | 1:200.11–0.00 | 4:420.25–0.22 | 3:060.24–0.07 | 3:120.31–0.28 | ||||||
| Killorn–Stamkos–Paul | 1:570.20–0.00 | 1:480.03–0.02 | 2:510.14–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 3:010.23–0.02 | 4:050.14–0.00 | 1:510.00–0.09 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Perry–Namestnikov–Colton | 0:420.19–0.17 | 1:180.17–0.23 | 1:560.04–0.00 | 3:230.40–0.17 | 1:360.10–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.11 | |||||||||||
| Maroon–Bellemare–Koepke | 1:030.29–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.05 | 0:310.02–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.17 | 0:400.09–0.00 | 0:590.23–0.00 | 2:120.02–0.17 | 1:400.14–0.03 | ||||||||
| Maroon–Namestnikov–Colton | 0:390.20–0.00 | 0:390.20–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Hedman–Cernak | 2:370.41–0.13 | 3:510.44–0.08 | 0:560.00–0.04 | 0:400.00–0.05 | 1:200.11–0.00 | 0:340.08–0.00 | 5:110.65–0.07 | 3:170.00–0.19 | 2:210.11–0.07 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:070.28–0.00 | ||||||
| Sergachev–Perbix | 0:430.05–0.00 | 1:310.05–0.11 | 1:310.00–0.00 | 0:350.02–0.00 | 1:430.01–0.00 | 1:350.00–0.17 | 0:400.09–0.00 | 3:270.00–0.00 | 3:470.13–0.17 | 1:370.28–0.11 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||
| Cole–Foote | 1:310.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:490.05–0.00 | 2:550.00–0.00 | 2:500.26–0.00 | 1:250.00–0.15 | |||||||||||
| Sergachev–Foote | 1:080.05–0.00 | 0:330.17–0.12 | 0:550.00–0.03 | 2:160.25–0.00 | 1:340.00–0.03 | ||||||||||||
| Cernak–Sergachev | 0:580.04–0.25 | 1:140.12–0.17 | 0:380.00–0.16 | 0:360.00–0.21 | |||||||||||||
| Cole–Cernak | 0:310.05–0.00 | 0:420.09–0.00 | 1:060.23–0.00 | 1:090.15–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Hedman–Foote | 0:420.23–0.00 | 0:410.03–0.17 | 0:330.20–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.03 | |||||||||||||
| Hedman–Perbix | 0:450.02–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Cole–Perbix | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLPHIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Victor HedmanTBL | 22 | 26:51 | 1:13 | 2:49 | 3 | 2 |
 Tony DeAngeloPHI | 31 | 24:53 | 0:48 | 1:51 | 1 | 4 |
 Travis SanheimPHI | 28 | 24:19 | 0:52 | 1:56 | 5 | 3 |
 Ivan ProvorovPHI | 33 | 23:41 | 0:43 | 1:13 | 2 | 7 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 20 | 23:02 | 1:09 | 2:48 | 4 | 0 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 19 | 22:36 | 1:11 | 2:01 | 4 | 1 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 20 | 22:06 | 1:06 | 2:47 | 4 | 0 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 25 | 21:04 | 0:51 | 1:51 | 4 | 3 |
 Joel FarabeePHI | 26 | 20:30 | 0:47 | 1:38 | 5 | 4 |
 James van RiemsdykPHI | 26 | 20:18 | 0:47 | 2:04 | 3 | 3 |
 Mikhail SergachevTBL | 24 | 20:08 | 0:50 | 1:38 | 4 | 1 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 20 | 20:06 | 1:00 | 2:42 | 4 | 2 |
 Travis KonecnyPHI | 26 | 19:37 | 0:45 | 1:51 | 4 | 7 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 20 | 19:19 | 0:58 | 1:38 | 3 | 2 |
 Kevin HayesPHI | 24 | 18:29 | 0:46 | 1:51 | 2 | 3 |
 Justin BraunPHI | 24 | 16:58 | 0:42 | 1:24 | 2 | 4 |
 Cal FooteTBL | 20 | 16:51 | 0:51 | 1:48 | 1 | 1 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 21 | 16:47 | 0:48 | 1:30 | 6 | 3 |
 Noah CatesPHI | 26 | 16:18 | 0:38 | 1:29 | 5 | 4 |
 Scott LaughtonPHI | 26 | 15:49 | 0:37 | 1:04 | 2 | 4 |
 Nick SeelerPHI | 21 | 15:16 | 0:44 | 2:04 | 1 | 2 |
 Wade AllisonPHI | 20 | 15:12 | 0:46 | 1:23 | 3 | 3 |
 Ian ColeTBL | 25 | 14:47 | 0:35 | 1:11 | 0 | 1 |
 Vladislav NamestnikovTBL | 16 | 14:29 | 0:54 | 2:01 | 6 | 0 |
 Nick PerbixTBL | 19 | 13:35 | 0:43 | 1:19 | 3 | 0 |
 Zack MacEwenPHI | 20 | 13:30 | 0:41 | 2:04 | 2 | 1 |
 Egor ZamulaPHI | 20 | 12:55 | 0:39 | 2:04 | 0 | 1 |
 Morgan FrostPHI | 18 | 12:41 | 0:42 | 1:06 | 0 | 2 |
 Corey PerryTBL | 14 | 12:13 | 0:52 | 1:46 | 3 | 0 |
 Ross ColtonTBL | 17 | 10:56 | 0:39 | 1:17 | 5 | 0 |
 Jackson CatesPHI | 14 | 10:02 | 0:43 | 2:04 | 0 | 0 |
 Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL | 13 | 9:58 | 0:46 | 1:21 | 0 | 1 |
 Tanner LaczynskiPHI | 15 | 9:13 | 0:37 | 1:36 | 1 | 0 |
 Patrick MaroonTBL | 12 | 7:50 | 0:39 | 1:01 | 1 | 0 |
 Cole KoepkeTBL | 10 | 6:29 | 0:39 | 1:05 | 0 | 0 |
 Nicolas DeslauriersPHI | 11 | 6:13 | 0:34 | 1:06 | 0 | 1 |