Tue, Oct 18, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Philadelphia Flyers 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 73% of the time.
65%
20%
TBL winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24:53 | 0.02 | 32.7% | +22.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:19 | 0.13 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:41 | 0.00 | 24.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20:30 | 0.35 | 32.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:18 | 0.30 | 33.3% | +22.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 19:37 | 0.39 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:29 | 0.17 | 39.8% | +22.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:58 | 0.00 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:18 | 0.13 | 21.3% | +37.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:49 | 0.23 | 74.9% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 15:16 | 0.05 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:12 | 0.08 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:30 | 0.30 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 12:55 | 0.06 | 44.9% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:41 | 0.14 | 48.0% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:02 | 0.04 | 33.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:13 | 0.00 | 11.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:13 | 0.03 | 19.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 38 | 36 | 2 | .947 | 3.92 | +1.9 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26:51 | 0.17 | 64.1% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 0 | 23:02 | 0.22 | 56.2% | +29.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:36 | 0.31 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:06 | 0.31 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:04 | 0.11 | 63.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:08 | 0.10 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 20:06 | 0.53 | 67.2% | +29.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:19 | 0.21 | 71.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:51 | 0.12 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:47 | 0.26 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:47 | 0.05 | 77.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 14:29 | 0.36 | 59.4% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:35 | 0.05 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 8 | 12:13 | 0.71 | 70.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:56 | 0.02 | 66.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:58 | 0.09 | 62.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:50 | 0.15 | 73.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:29 | 0.14 | 61.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 24 | 21 | 3 | .875 | 2.41 | −0.6 | 58:12 |