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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 20, 2022·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Buffalo Sabres 6, Calgary Flames 3

Away

Buffalo Sabres

6

Final

Home

Calgary Flames

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 71% of the time.

CGY winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:40Shot by Dahlin, saved by Markstrom
  3. P1 1:53Shot by Toffoli, saved by Comrie
  4. P1 3:32Shot by Tanev, saved by Comrie
  5. P1 4:08Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Comrie
  6. P1 4:12Shot by Kadri, saved by Comrie
  7. P1 4:21Goal by Mangiapane (Kadri, Dube)+18 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Stone, Kadri, Mangiapane, Dube, Mackey · BUF Hinostroza, Fitzgerald, Bryson, Cozens, Peterka

  8. P1 6:33Shot by Cozens, saved by Markstrom
  9. P1 6:34Goal by Cozens (Bryson, Hinostroza)+18 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Lucic, Ritchie, Zadorov, Andersson, Rooney · BUF Hinostroza, Fitzgerald, Bryson, Cozens, Peterka

  10. P1 6:57Shot by Stone, saved by Comrie
  11. P1 8:20Ritchie: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Tanev, Lindholm, Zadorov, Andersson · BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Bryson, Samuelsson, Krebs

  12. P1 8:43Shot by Weegar, saved by Comrie4v5
  13. P1 9:41Shot by Olofsson, saved by Markstrom4v5
  14. P1 10:49Goal by Dahlin (Peterka, Hinostroza)+17 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Stone, Huberdeau, Lindholm, Mangiapane, Mackey · BUF Hinostroza, Asplund, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Peterka

  15. P1 11:37Tuch: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Stone, Kadri, Ritchie, Dube, Mackey · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Fitzgerald, Power

  16. P1 12:18Shot by Toffoli, saved by Comrie5v4
  17. P1 12:48Shot by Stone, saved by Comrie5v4
  18. P1 13:10Goal by Mittelstadt (Hinostroza, Power)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Stone, Weegar, Mangiapane, Dube · BUF Hinostroza, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Power

  19. P1 13:54Shot by Lewis, saved by Comrie
  20. P1 14:35Shot by Dahlin, saved by Markstrom
  21. P1 14:45Shot by Skinner, saved by Markstrom
  22. P1 16:02Shot by Cozens, saved by Markstrom
  23. P1 16:35Shot by Stone, saved by Comrie
  24. P1 16:45Shot by Backlund, saved by Comrie
  25. P1 16:55Shot by Bryson, saved by Markstrom
  26. P1 17:15Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Comrie
  27. P1 17:37Shot by Thompson, saved by Markstrom
  28. P1 17:47Shot by Rooney, saved by Comrie
  29. P1 18:31Shot by Dube, saved by Comrie
  30. P1 19:23Shot by Backlund, saved by Comrie
  31. P1 19:31Shot by Krebs, saved by Markstrom
  32. P1 0:00Period end
  33. P2 0:00Period start
  34. P2 0:46Goal by Tuch (Power, Bryson)+9 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Zadorov, Mangiapane, Andersson, Dube · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Power

  35. P2 1:35Shot by Cozens, saved by Vladar
  36. P2 4:39Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Comrie
  37. P2 4:43Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Comrie
  38. P2 5:01Tanev: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Tanev, Lindholm, Mangiapane, Dube, Mackey · BUF Skinner, Hinostroza, Thompson, Fitzgerald, Samuelsson

  39. P2 5:58Shot by Stone, saved by Comrie4v5
  40. P2 6:54Shot by Thompson, saved by Vladar4v5
  41. P2 8:58Shot by Bryson, saved by Vladar
  42. P2 9:51Zadorov: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Zadorov, Mangiapane, Andersson, Dube · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Bryson, Power

  43. P2 11:05Shot by Coleman, saved by Comrie4v5
  44. P2 11:43Shot by Dube, saved by Comrie4v5
  45. P2 12:27Shot by Kadri, saved by Comrie
  46. P2 12:36Shot by Asplund, saved by Vladar
  47. P2 14:16Shot by Power, saved by Vladar
  48. P2 14:18Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Vladar
  49. P2 15:34Shot by Backlund, saved by Comrie
  50. P2 16:18Shot by Toffoli, saved by Comrie
  51. P2 16:28Shot by Skinner, saved by Vladar
  52. P2 17:00Shot by Thompson, saved by Vladar
  53. P2 17:35Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Vladar
  54. P2 17:42Shot by Olofsson, saved by Vladar
  55. P2 18:14Shot by Hinostroza, saved by Vladar
  56. P2 18:26Shot by Cozens, saved by Vladar
  57. P2 18:46Shot by Okposo, saved by Vladar
  58. P2 19:53Shot by Lewis, saved by Comrie
  59. P2 19:57Goal by Lewis (Huberdeau, Stone)+6 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Lewis, Backlund, Stone, Huberdeau, Weegar · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Bryson, Dahlin

  60. P2 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Period start
  62. P3 0:31Shot by Coleman, saved by Comrie
  63. P3 0:47Shot by Backlund, saved by Comrie
  64. P3 1:09Goal by Zadorov (Andersson, Toffoli)+15 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Toffoli, Huberdeau, Zadorov, Andersson · BUF Hinostroza, Bryson, Cozens, Peterka, Power

  65. P3 2:05Shot by Coleman, saved by Comrie
  66. P3 2:56Shot by Toffoli, saved by Comrie
  67. P3 3:28Shot by Andersson, saved by Comrie
  68. P3 3:31Shot by Zadorov, saved by Comrie
  69. P3 4:38Shot by Stone, saved by Comrie
  70. P3 4:49Shot by Stone, saved by Comrie
  71. P3 4:54Zadorov: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Stone, Huberdeau, Zadorov, Mangiapane · BUF Olofsson, Asplund, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Power

  72. P3 5:41Goal by Tuch (Thompson, Mittelstadt)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Weegar, Mangiapane, Andersson, Dube · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin

  73. P3 6:04Shot by Toffoli, saved by Comrie
  74. P3 6:16Shot by Okposo, saved by Vladar
  75. P3 7:25Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Vladar
  76. P3 7:46Shot by Fitzgerald, saved by Vladar
  77. P3 7:58Shot by Backlund, saved by Comrie
  78. P3 8:00Shot by Andersson, saved by Comrie
  79. P3 12:11Shot by Weegar, saved by Comrie
  80. P3 13:08Shot by Tanev, saved by Comrie
  81. P3 13:24Shot by Cozens, saved by Vladar
  82. P3 15:44Andersson: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Stone, Kadri, Huberdeau, Mangiapane, Andersson · BUF Tuch, Asplund, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin

  83. P3 16:23Shot by Coleman, saved by Comrie4v5
  84. P3 18:11Shot by Stone, saved by Comrie6v5
  85. P3 18:35Goal by Tuch (Asplund, Dahlin)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Stone, Kadri, Huberdeau, Lindholm, Mangiapane, Andersson · BUF Girgensons, Tuch, Asplund, Samuelsson, Dahlin

  86. P3 19:44Shot by Stone, saved by Comrie
  87. P3 0:00Period end
  88. P3 0:00Final