Thu, Oct 20, 2022·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Buffalo Sabres 6, Calgary Flames 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 71% of the time.
22%
64%
CGY winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
CGY forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Skinner–Tuch–Thompson | Okposo–Girgensons–Krebs | Olofsson–Asplund–Mittelstadt | Hinostroza–Cozens–Peterka | Hinostroza–Asplund–Peterka | Hinostroza–Krebs–Peterka | Hinostroza–Mittelstadt–Peterka | Samuelsson–Dahlin | Fitzgerald–Bryson | Bryson–Samuelsson | Bryson–Power | Fitzgerald–Power | Bryson–Dahlin | Samuelsson–Power | Fitzgerald–Samuelsson | Dahlin–Power | Jokiharju–Power | Fitzgerald–Dahlin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis–Backlund–Coleman | 2:540.09–0.04 | 1:170.22–0.00 | 0:450.10–0.00 | 1:390.07–0.04 | 0:430.09–0.01 | 1:200.18–0.00 | 0:340.03–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:380.01–0.00 | |||||||||
| Lucic–Ritchie–Rooney | 1:030.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.13 | 1:260.01–0.14 | 0:490.00–0.45 | 0:550.05–0.00 | 3:290.05–0.50 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.34 | 0:320.00–0.22 | |||||||||
| Kadri–Mangiapane–Dube | 1:220.21–0.17 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:360.05–0.00 | 2:100.21–0.16 | 2:060.21–0.22 | 0:330.21–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.04 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:110.05–0.00 | |||||||||
| Toffoli–Huberdeau–Lindholm | 1:340.00–0.00 | 2:040.00–0.10 | 0:450.00–0.10 | 2:330.08–0.10 | 1:020.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Kadri–Coleman–Mangiapane | 0:570.01–0.00 | 0:490.04–0.00 | 0:510.18–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.07 | 1:010.01–0.07 | 0:370.18–0.00 | 0:380.02–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Backlund–Toffoli–Huberdeau | 1:110.45–0.00 | 0:550.04–0.00 | 0:460.04–0.00 | 1:150.45–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Kadri–Toffoli–Huberdeau | 0:330.00–0.06 | 1:360.11–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Lucic–Lindholm–Dube | 1:050.00–0.19 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.06 | 0:430.00–0.07 | ||||||||||||||
| Lindholm–Mangiapane–Dube | 0:350.00–0.16 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.25 | ||||||||||||||
| Lewis–Lindholm–Dube | 1:140.10–0.00 | 0:340.07–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Tanev–Weegar | 4:510.17–0.22 | 3:370.09–0.29 | 1:470.00–0.10 | 1:270.00–0.07 | 5:230.23–0.35 | 1:350.00–0.13 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 0:370.02–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.04 | 0:330.00–0.16 | 1:090.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Zadorov–Andersson | 2:530.50–0.09 | 2:160.09–0.00 | 1:420.01–0.10 | 4:070.04–0.54 | 2:230.00–0.11 | 1:480.01–0.38 | 1:010.11–0.00 | 2:220.04–0.03 | 0:420.03–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.16 | 1:020.45–0.05 | 1:170.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.06 | |||||
| Stone–Mackey | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:200.02–0.00 | 2:010.05–0.05 | 1:200.31–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.08 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 2:010.00–0.13 | 0:430.21–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 0:500.10–0.00 | 0:510.07–0.00 | 0:430.05–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | |||||
| Stone–Weegar | 0:330.14–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Tanev–Zadorov | 0:440.00–0.14 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 1:110.09–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.06 | ||||||||||||||
| Stone–Zadorov | 0:590.07–0.00 | 0:590.26–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Andersson–Mackey | 0:510.00–0.14 | 0:400.00–0.09 | 0:540.00–0.34 | |||||||||||||||
| Weegar–Andersson | 0:430.09–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
CGYBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 35 | 25:50 | 0:44 | 1:30 | 4 | 6 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 35 | 25:47 | 0:44 | 1:21 | 4 | 5 |
 MacKenzie WeegarCGY | 37 | 23:40 | 0:38 | 1:17 | 0 | 7 |
 Rasmus AnderssonCGY | 32 | 22:59 | 0:43 | 2:10 | 4 | 5 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 33 | 21:53 | 0:40 | 1:20 | 6 | 3 |
 Chris TanevCGY | 35 | 21:35 | 0:37 | 1:22 | 0 | 6 |
 Nikita ZadorovCGY | 33 | 21:23 | 0:39 | 1:14 | 3 | 5 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 32 | 20:39 | 0:39 | 1:38 | 6 | 3 |
 Michael StoneCGY | 29 | 19:09 | 0:40 | 1:17 | 0 | 1 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 22 | 18:46 | 0:51 | 1:28 | 7 | 1 |
 Andrew MangiapaneCGY | 24 | 18:20 | 0:46 | 1:37 | 2 | 2 |
 Elias LindholmCGY | 25 | 18:14 | 0:44 | 1:39 | 3 | 6 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 24 | 18:05 | 0:45 | 1:15 | 6 | 2 |
 Nazem KadriCGY | 23 | 17:35 | 0:46 | 1:34 | 2 | 1 |
 Dillon DubeCGY | 23 | 16:59 | 0:44 | 1:20 | 0 | 3 |
 Blake ColemanCGY | 26 | 16:48 | 0:39 | 1:06 | 4 | 3 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 22 | 16:47 | 0:46 | 1:16 | 6 | 1 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 21 | 16:38 | 0:48 | 1:38 | 4 | 1 |
 Mikael BacklundCGY | 25 | 15:48 | 0:38 | 1:05 | 3 | 5 |
 Jonathan HuberdeauCGY | 23 | 15:47 | 0:41 | 1:29 | 3 | 3 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 19 | 15:46 | 0:50 | 1:23 | 4 | 1 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 22 | 15:05 | 0:41 | 1:20 | 3 | 3 |
 Casey FitzgeraldBUF | 22 | 15:04 | 0:41 | 1:33 | 0 | 2 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 18 | 14:56 | 0:50 | 1:30 | 4 | 0 |
 Tyler ToffoliCGY | 22 | 14:34 | 0:40 | 1:19 | 2 | 4 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 19 | 14:12 | 0:45 | 1:12 | 3 | 2 |
 Rasmus AsplundBUF | 21 | 14:10 | 0:40 | 1:28 | 2 | 5 |
 Vinnie HinostrozaBUF | 20 | 14:09 | 0:42 | 1:20 | 2 | 3 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 18 | 14:08 | 0:47 | 1:20 | 2 | 2 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 17 | 13:21 | 0:47 | 1:30 | 4 | 0 |
 Trevor LewisCGY | 21 | 13:12 | 0:38 | 1:01 | 1 | 3 |
 Connor MackeyCGY | 17 | 10:50 | 0:38 | 1:43 | 1 | 1 |
 Milan LucicCGY | 13 | 10:12 | 0:47 | 1:17 | 1 | 1 |
 Brett RitchieCGY | 12 | 8:08 | 0:41 | 1:12 | 0 | 1 |
 Kevin RooneyCGY | 10 | 7:02 | 0:42 | 1:09 | 0 | 1 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 4 | 2:39 | 0:40 | 0:57 | 0 | 0 |