Thu, Oct 20, 2022·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Buffalo Sabres 6, Calgary Flames 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 71% of the time.
22%
64%
CGY winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 1 | 25:50 | 0.09 | 58.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 25:47 | 0.61 | 58.1% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 2 | 21:53 | 0.03 | 49.0% | +27.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 20:39 | 0.05 | 47.3% | +24.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:46 | 0.57 | 35.7% | +13.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 18:05 | 0.86 | 33.0% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:47 | 0.37 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 16:38 | 0.55 | 73.4% | +28.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:46 | 0.12 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 15:05 | 0.64 | 68.7% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:04 | 0.01 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:56 | 0.00 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:12 | 0.11 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 14:10 | 0.06 | 72.0% | +0.4 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 1 | 14:09 | 0.21 | 75.1% | +50.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:08 | 0.05 | 66.5% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:21 | 0.13 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:39 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 43 | 40 | 3 | .930 | 3.02 | 0.0 | 60:00 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:40 | 0.02 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 22:59 | 0.06 | 36.7% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:35 | 0.03 | 33.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 21:23 | 0.35 | 50.6% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 8 | 19:09 | 0.26 | 72.8% | +6.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 4 | 18:20 | 0.36 | 48.5% | +17.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:14 | 0.07 | 15.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:35 | 0.15 | 61.9% | +17.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:59 | 0.16 | 42.1% | +17.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:48 | 0.35 | 81.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15:48 | 0.39 | 91.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:47 | 0.07 | 59.7% | +6.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 14:34 | 0.37 | 68.1% | +15.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:12 | 0.31 | 94.6% | +6.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:50 | 0.01 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:12 | 0.00 | 5.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:08 | 0.00 | 4.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:02 | 0.05 | 6.7% | 0.0 |
| – | 12 | 9 | 3 | .750 | 1.43 | −1.6 | 20:00 | |
| L | 19 | 17 | 2 | .895 | 2.12 | +0.1 | 38:58 |