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Ice Lab

Sun, Nov 13, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Washington Capitals 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 83% of the time.

TBL winsWSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Dowd–Hathaway–ProtasOvechkin–Kuznetsov–ShearyOvechkin–Milano–StromeEller–Mantha–McMichaelEller–Johansson–McMichaelJohansson–Milano–StromeKuznetsov–Mantha–ShearyJensen–FehérváryCarlson–GustafssonIrwin–van Riemsdykvan Riemsdyk–FehérváryGustafsson–van RiemsdykGustafsson–Fehérváry
Kucherov–Point–Hagel0:320.00–0.003:080.27–0.062:000.12–0.011:510.23–0.090:510.00–0.124:030.26–0.192:300.22–0.000:350.05–0.00
Perry–Namestnikov–Colton1:580.12–0.060:350.00–0.001:490.00–0.002:580.20–0.052:310.12–0.061:160.05–0.002:520.00–0.050:420.12–0.00
Maroon–Bellemare–Koepke4:170.29–0.310:490.00–0.110:410.36–0.000:370.00–0.001:220.36–0.052:070.24–0.063:360.05–0.480:380.00–0.00
Killorn–Stamkos–Paul0:520.05–0.031:550.05–0.071:150.05–0.040:510.02–0.001:000.00–0.081:320.11–0.002:490.05–0.251:570.05–0.000:420.00–0.00
Kucherov–Bellemare–Koepke0:520.00–0.000:430.00–0.00
Cole–Hedman4:340.18–0.203:160.70–0.050:390.07–0.001:310.10–0.005:310.28–0.303:430.71–0.141:150.00–0.000:380.00–0.000:370.00–0.07
Sergachev–Perbix0:460.03–0.001:330.13–0.051:040.09–0.002:210.09–0.001:070.00–0.001:140.15–0.002:230.08–0.003:300.08–0.23
Fleury–Myers4:420.26–0.300:570.00–0.000:340.00–0.002:140.02–0.111:580.24–0.001:350.01–0.221:060.00–0.02
Hedman–Perbix0:520.01–0.030:370.00–0.000:440.00–0.090:350.05–0.001:070.01–0.03
Fleury–Perbix1:130.03–0.080:310.00–0.000:320.00–0.001:200.03–0.08
Myers–Sergachev0:390.02–0.000:400.00–0.060:350.02–0.000:320.01–0.140:400.00–0.00
Cole–Sergachev0:310.05–0.00
Fleury–Sergachev1:050.12–0.040:480.12–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPoint FHagel FKucherov FPaul FStamkos FKillorn FPerry FColton FNamestnikov FKoepke FBellemare FMaroon FCole DHedman DPerbix DSergachev DFleury DMyers DVasilevskiy GOvechkin FSheary FKuznetsov FMilano FJohansson FStrome FEller FMcMichael FMantha FProtas FDowd FHathaway FGustafsson DCarlson DFehérváry DJensen DIrwin Dvan Riemsdyk DKuemper GLindgren G
TBLWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mikhail SergachevTBL2924:200:501:5154
Victor HedmanTBL2924:170:502:0243
Alex OvechkinWSH2524:040:582:00114
Ian ColeTBL2923:390:492:0627
John CarlsonWSH3123:100:452:0763
Erik GustafssonWSH2821:090:451:4833
Evgeny KuznetsovWSH2419:400:491:4963
Martin FehérváryWSH2518:230:441:1715
Nick JensenWSH2218:200:502:1114
Trevor van RiemsdykWSH2418:050:451:1707
Alex KillornTBL2317:310:461:2135
Brandon HagelTBL2417:160:431:2552
Nikita KucherovTBL2116:500:481:3162
Conor ShearyWSH2316:340:431:2525
Marcus JohanssonWSH2116:200:471:4031
Dylan StromeWSH2216:010:441:4064
Nick PerbixTBL2715:330:351:3052
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL2115:160:441:1621
Steven StamkosTBL1915:130:481:2354
Haydn FleuryTBL2315:100:401:5011
Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL1914:520:471:1234
Nic DowdWSH1914:410:461:1014
Brayden PointTBL2114:400:421:1671
Nick PaulTBL2114:150:411:2334
Anthony ManthaWSH1713:430:481:2104
Garnet HathawayWSH1813:360:451:2124
Sonny MilanoWSH2113:180:381:2034
Corey PerryTBL1613:020:492:0221
Lars EllerWSH1912:500:411:2704
Ross ColtonTBL1612:320:471:1421
Aliaksei ProtasWSH1412:150:531:1712
Cole KoepkeTBL1812:140:411:0422
Philippe MyersTBL1611:550:451:2821
Matt IrwinWSH1911:090:350:5703
Patrick MaroonTBL139:250:431:0111
Connor McMichaelWSH139:170:431:2701