Tue, Nov 15, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Dallas Stars 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 5 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 65% of the time.
58%
28%
TBL winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 4 | 28:19 | 0.26 | 41.4% | +41.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:20 | 0.03 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:04 | 0.02 | 44.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:33 | 0.01 | 44.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:30 | 0.23 | 47.0% | +17.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18:10 | 0.57 | 43.3% | +41.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 4 | 17:58 | 0.30 | 49.4% | +40.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:13 | 0.02 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:39 | 0.30 | 32.7% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:39 | 0.12 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 16:21 | 0.01 | 49.4% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:05 | 0.24 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:42 | 0.36 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:38 | 0.53 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:00 | 0.05 | 65.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:44 | 0.13 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:25 | 0.00 | 73.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:14 | 0.38 | 73.5% | +32.0 |
| O | 38 | 33 | 5 | .868 | 4.61 | −0.4 | 63:43 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 27:32 | 0.12 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 25:34 | 0.02 | 43.8% | +48.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 25:25 | 0.60 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 7 | 25:11 | 0.86 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 23:50 | 0.35 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 21:03 | 0.21 | 64.6% | +51.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 18:29 | 0.34 | 45.5% | +72.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:08 | 0.02 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 16:53 | 0.48 | 45.7% | +46.6 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 15:57 | 0.58 | 49.7% | +99.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:35 | 0.15 | 47.6% | +19.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 15:00 | 0.17 | 58.6% | +37.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 12:41 | 0.15 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:33 | 0.39 | 62.8% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:09 | 0.05 | 64.4% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:45 | 0.12 | 71.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:31 | 0.00 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:04 | 0.00 | 82.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 28 | 4 | .875 | 3.56 | −0.4 | 63:43 |