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Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 25, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa

St. Louis Blues 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 80% of the time.

TBL winsSTL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against STL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Buchnevich–Kyrou–ThomasSchenn–Barbashev–AcciariO'Reilly–Tarasenko–SaadPitlick–Toropchenko–AlexandrovSchenn–Tarasenko–BarbashevO'Reilly–Saad–AcciariSchenn–Acciari–ToropchenkoLeddy–ParaykoFaulk–KrugBortuzzo–MikkolaFaulk–MikkolaParayko–Mikkola
Kucherov–Point–Hagel3:500.32–0.101:400.07–0.002:210.20–0.002:160.08–0.006:000.38–0.103:370.26–0.101:460.00–0.000:300.01–0.00
Killorn–Stamkos–Paul3:570.31–0.143:150.24–0.080:320.04–0.001:230.00–0.003:460.08–0.005:200.59–0.220:400.00–0.00
Perry–Namestnikov–Barré-Boulet0:460.00–0.000:410.00–0.021:080.18–0.020:350.00–0.001:380.16–0.001:000.18–0.021:450.00–0.02
Maroon–Kucherov–Colton1:360.00–0.111:030.00–0.11
Maroon–Paul–Colton0:510.00–0.000:580.02–0.00
Maroon–Colton–Barré-Boulet0:360.27–0.000:390.00–0.200:360.00–0.000:340.27–0.00
Maroon–Stamkos–Colton0:360.00–0.000:310.00–0.120:300.00–0.00
Perry–Point–Barré-Boulet1:040.00–0.000:590.00–0.00
Maroon–Colton–Hagel1:030.00–0.071:030.00–0.07
Paul–Colton–Hagel0:460.06–0.00
Kucherov–Namestnikov–Hagel
Hedman–Cernak6:230.18–0.322:060.09–0.060:520.14–0.000:370.00–0.003:270.18–0.045:060.09–0.233:180.06–0.08
Sergachev–Foote0:550.00–0.061:260.00–0.121:590.04–0.031:300.00–0.021:420.04–0.011:140.01–0.005:480.09–0.161:160.03–0.161:540.02–0.020:390.00–0.001:100.01–0.00
Cole–Bogosian3:200.17–0.072:190.19–0.080:530.00–0.001:040.00–0.000:350.00–0.001:590.17–0.003:270.19–0.082:260.02–0.000:370.00–0.20
Bogosian–Hedman0:400.05–0.000:530.00–0.000:420.00–0.000:400.16–0.001:230.00–0.00
Hedman–Foote0:440.14–0.000:370.06–0.001:100.06–0.110:400.28–0.00
Cole–Sergachev0:460.18–0.020:450.00–0.001:070.16–0.000:460.18–0.02
Bogosian–Sergachev0:570.08–0.030:360.27–0.000:370.08–0.000:560.27–0.03
Cole–Foote0:330.00–0.190:330.00–0.001:060.00–0.00
Cernak–Sergachev1:180.31–0.000:570.31–0.00
Cole–Cernak0:550.10–0.06
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKillorn FPaul FStamkos FPoint FKucherov FHagel FColton FMaroon FBalcers FPerry FBarré-Boulet FNamestnikov FFoote DSergachev DCernak DHedman DCole DBogosian DVasilevskiy GSaad FO'Reilly FTarasenko FThomas FKyrou FBuchnevich FBarbashev FAcciari FSchenn FToropchenko FAlexandrov FPitlick FLeddy DParayko DKrug DFaulk DMikkola DBortuzzo DBinnington G
TBLSTLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mikhail SergachevTBL2923:360:492:0346
Colton ParaykoSTL3223:270:441:2434
Nikita KucherovTBL2022:471:082:0720
Nick LeddySTL3022:430:451:2224
Victor HedmanTBL2622:320:522:2523
Justin FaulkSTL2720:470:461:3560
Torey KrugSTL2620:080:461:2250
Brayden PointTBL2020:061:002:2430
Steven StamkosTBL2219:350:532:0046
Erik CernakTBL2419:260:492:0133
Brayden SchennSTL2019:140:581:2950
Nick PaulTBL2319:040:501:1935
Alex KillornTBL2319:030:501:2646
Brandon HagelTBL2319:010:502:2320
Robert ThomasSTL2418:520:471:1142
Pavel BuchnevichSTL2518:360:451:1352
Ian ColeTBL2417:590:451:3203
Ryan O'ReillySTL2417:320:441:2133
Ivan BarbashevSTL1717:061:001:5430
Cal FooteTBL2017:030:511:5032
Jordan KyrouSTL2216:560:461:2541
Noel AcciariSTL1816:530:561:5400
Vladimir TarasenkoSTL2216:390:451:2170
Zach BogosianTBL2116:240:472:0002
Niko MikkolaSTL2516:240:391:1403
Brandon SaadSTL2116:190:471:2331
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL1912:320:401:1612
Robert BortuzzoSTL1812:160:411:4002
Corey PerryTBL1311:240:531:4221
Patrick MaroonTBL1611:210:431:0801
Ross ColtonTBL1611:080:421:3900
Alex Barré-BouletTBL1410:010:431:1121
Alexey ToropchenkoSTL117:370:421:1101
Tyler PitlickSTL106:520:411:0602
Nikita AlexandrovSTL96:440:451:1302
Rudolfs BalcersTBL10:230:230:2300