Tue, Nov 29, 2022·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Carolina Hurricanes 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 67% of the time.
25%
8%
8%
58%
PIT winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 24:30 | 0.24 | 64.5% | +72.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 23:36 | 0.19 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 23:08 | 0.08 | 59.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 22:54 | 0.05 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 21:50 | 0.30 | 62.1% | +45.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21:47 | 0.58 | 53.5% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 18:32 | 0.54 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:28 | 0.00 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:08 | 0.13 | 49.2% | +52.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:48 | 0.48 | 52.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 17:02 | 0.22 | 46.1% | +77.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:58 | 0.09 | 40.1% | +25.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:56 | 0.00 | 30.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:39 | 0.05 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:39 | 0.02 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:53 | 0.00 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 6:59 | 0.04 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6:13 | 0.24 | 87.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 30 | 2 | .938 | 2.27 | +0.3 | 62:20 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26:03 | 0.05 | 58.3% | +49.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:42 | 0.16 | 52.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 21:18 | 0.38 | 50.3% | +66.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 20:21 | 0.46 | 47.1% | +66.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:17 | 0.04 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:21 | 0.00 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:45 | 0.12 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 18:27 | 0.15 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:21 | 0.24 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:25 | 0.00 | 41.2% | +17.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:05 | 0.04 | 66.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:49 | 0.16 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:40 | 0.13 | 70.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:37 | 0.02 | 46.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:55 | 0.14 | 69.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:28 | 0.00 | 22.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:37 | 0.18 | 23.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:22 | 0.00 | 24.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 39 | 36 | 3 | .923 | 3.23 | +0.2 | 61:47 |