Wed, Nov 30, 2022·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Buffalo Sabres 5, Detroit Red Wings 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 54% of the time.
46%
8%
39%
DET winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26:49 | 0.03 | 32.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 0 | 26:24 | 0.00 | 58.8% | +21.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 25:51 | 0.10 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24:29 | 0.06 | 39.6% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 20:07 | 0.31 | 60.0% | +6.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 19:43 | 0.48 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:10 | 0.58 | 57.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:45 | 0.04 | 69.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:36 | 0.21 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 17:02 | 0.49 | 59.8% | +6.9 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 16:56 | 0.55 | 43.3% | +34.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:15 | 0.06 | 56.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:21 | 0.04 | 39.8% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:14 | 0.05 | 39.8% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:44 | 0.42 | 22.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:11 | 0.24 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:51 | 0.00 | 22.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:32 | 0.00 | 79.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 45 | 41 | 4 | .911 | 3.91 | −0.1 | 65:00 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25:51 | 0.33 | 30.3% | +4.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 24:09 | 0.07 | 47.8% | +22.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 6 | 21:55 | 0.33 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 21:29 | 0.05 | 30.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 21:05 | 0.59 | 26.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:34 | 0.02 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:25 | 0.04 | 36.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:20 | 0.45 | 58.7% | +4.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 17:30 | 0.39 | 66.5% | +50.4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 15:41 | 0.39 | 59.2% | +50.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 2 | 15:27 | 0.01 | 78.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 15:26 | 0.01 | 58.8% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 15:09 | 0.29 | 73.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 14:55 | 0.17 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:35 | 0.28 | 66.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:02 | 0.08 | 65.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:03 | 0.01 | 71.2% | +17.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10:48 | 0.42 | 68.9% | +17.6 |
| O | 34 | 30 | 4 | .882 | 3.64 | −0.4 | 65:00 |