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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 22, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Philadelphia Flyers 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 89% of the time.

TOR winsPHI wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PHI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Hayes–Laughton–AllisonKonecny–Cates–Farabeevan Riemsdyk–Tippett–FrostDeslauriers–Brown–MacEwenKonecny–Frost–FarabeeLaughton–Allison–Farabeevan Riemsdyk–Hayes–Tippettvan Riemsdyk–Tippett–CatesRistolainen–ProvorovSanheim–DeAngeloBraun–YorkSanheim–YorkDeAngelo–ProvorovBraun–RistolainenSanheim–ProvorovDeAngelo–York
Nylander–Bunting–Matthews2:280.05–0.152:590.20–0.140:390.00–0.001:050.18–0.080:320.00–0.002:290.50–0.152:450.00–0.062:000.00–0.070:530.10–0.081:020.18–0.00
Kerfoot–Engvall–Kampf3:110.10–0.000:390.01–0.001:220.21–0.001:000.00–0.000:410.01–0.082:140.06–0.080:370.00–0.003:090.21–0.000:540.10–0.000:310.00–0.080:340.01–0.00
Anderson–Aston-Reese–Holmberg2:090.18–0.000:310.00–0.003:160.03–0.082:550.02–0.081:540.05–0.000:440.16–0.000:470.13–0.000:540.00–0.09
Tavares–Jarnkrok–Marner0:380.06–0.031:030.00–0.002:440.00–0.050:520.03–0.130:450.00–0.000:300.00–0.001:050.00–0.003:250.10–0.050:470.00–0.000:350.00–0.00
Brodie–Timmins1:490.05–0.152:440.02–0.062:230.12–0.051:210.00–0.001:040.00–0.080:320.00–0.004:130.44–0.154:030.00–0.110:330.00–0.000:550.00–0.08
Benn–Liljegren3:250.08–0.030:500.20–0.001:110.00–0.001:160.00–0.081:040.18–0.080:350.01–0.080:330.00–0.000:300.00–0.002:160.21–0.150:540.06–0.004:020.03–0.000:580.00–0.111:160.18–0.000:400.00–0.00
Giordano–Holl1:070.19–0.002:480.02–0.090:570.00–0.002:040.13–0.000:360.00–0.000:300.00–0.002:180.05–0.001:560.01–0.001:240.00–0.111:350.32–0.001:190.08–0.000:330.00–0.000:430.00–0.00
Benn–Holl0:440.05–0.000:520.03–0.131:290.08–0.00
Giordano–Liljegren0:370.00–0.001:210.21–0.00
Brodie–Holl1:080.00–0.060:370.00–0.060:390.00–0.00
Giordano–Brodie0:320.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMatthews FBunting FNylander FMarner FJarnkrok FTavares FKerfoot FKampf FEngvall FAston-Reese FHolmberg FAnderson FTimmins DBrodie DBenn DLiljegren DGiordano DHoll DSamsonov GKonecny FCates FFarabee Fvan Riemsdyk FFrost FTippett FHayes FAllison FLaughton FMacEwen FBrown FDeslauriers FProvorov DRistolainen DSanheim DDeAngelo DBraun DYork DHart G
TORPHIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mitch MarnerTOR2223:271:043:2446
Travis KonecnyPHI2922:530:471:5656
Tony DeAngeloPHI2722:460:512:4245
Ivan ProvorovPHI3121:380:422:2232
Justin HollTOR2621:370:501:5626
TJ BrodieTOR2721:330:482:0517
Auston MatthewsTOR2121:221:014:0331
Travis SanheimPHI2620:580:481:4245
William NylanderTOR2219:460:543:3432
Joel FarabeePHI2819:280:421:3852
Mark GiordanoTOR2718:590:421:0622
Morgan FrostPHI2518:520:451:5062
Kevin HayesPHI2118:330:532:0330
Rasmus RistolainenPHI2618:320:432:2122
Timothy LiljegrenTOR2418:220:461:5314
Michael BuntingTOR1817:030:573:1340
James van RiemsdykPHI2316:540:441:5161
Scott LaughtonPHI2316:300:431:2222
Noah CatesPHI2316:160:422:0713
John TavaresTOR1715:430:551:5052
David KampfTOR2115:350:451:3706
Conor TimminsTOR2415:240:391:1514
Jordie BennTOR2315:180:401:1014
Owen TippettPHI2215:050:411:3942
Cam YorkPHI2214:500:401:1711
Justin BraunPHI1814:410:491:5211
Alexander KerfootTOR1914:040:441:1812
Pierre EngvallTOR1712:520:451:0902
Wade AllisonPHI1411:090:481:3400
Calle JarnkrokTOR1711:020:391:1032
Zachary Aston-ReeseTOR1510:510:431:0722
Pontus HolmbergTOR1410:010:431:1423
Patrick BrownPHI128:430:441:1711
Joey AndersonTOR138:300:390:5522
Nicolas DeslauriersPHI137:570:371:0211
Zack MacEwenPHI97:260:501:0810