Thu, Dec 22, 2022·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Carolina Hurricanes 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 69% of the time.
24%
62%
PIT winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25:33 | 0.33 | 66.1% | +52.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24:31 | 0.08 | 67.3% | +52.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:45 | 0.13 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:46 | 0.30 | 77.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 18:54 | 0.48 | 76.4% | +19.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:39 | 0.16 | 61.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:35 | 0.26 | 65.5% | +34.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:17 | 0.46 | 77.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:33 | 0.07 | 54.5% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:10 | 0.06 | 66.7% | +34.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:53 | 0.22 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:38 | 0.21 | 43.8% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:18 | 0.12 | 32.0% | +52.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 13:49 | 0.31 | 69.8% | +53.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 13:01 | 0.02 | 67.5% | +19.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:28 | 0.40 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6:17 | 0.25 | 59.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:23 | 0.00 | 55.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 2.67 | −0.3 | 60:23 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 25:57 | 0.07 | 41.1% | +30.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 25:50 | 0.03 | 42.5% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:53 | 0.19 | 37.4% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:36 | 0.36 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:12 | 0.00 | 27.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:03 | 0.46 | 41.4% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:32 | 0.12 | 26.8% | +27.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:10 | 0.28 | 51.8% | +30.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:57 | 0.00 | 19.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:50 | 0.09 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:55 | 0.04 | 42.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 14:45 | 0.34 | 8.6% | +27.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:19 | 0.08 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:15 | 0.07 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:31 | 0.14 | 21.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9:57 | 0.27 | 59.9% | +27.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:08 | 0.16 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:19 | 0.00 | 77.5% | 0.0 |
| O | 36 | 32 | 4 | .889 | 3.87 | −0.1 | 60:23 |