Mon, Jan 16, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Florida Panthers 4, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 65% of the time.
26%
9%
9%
56%
BUF winsFLA wins
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 24:30 | 0.06 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:52 | 0.39 | 45.8% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 22:06 | 0.07 | 49.5% | +0.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:08 | 0.01 | 46.9% | +6.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:57 | 0.12 | 38.7% | +6.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 19:54 | 0.22 | 63.1% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:12 | 0.00 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:02 | 0.43 | 44.3% | +6.5 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 17:39 | 0.41 | 69.7% | +29.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 17:08 | 0.65 | 63.1% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:38 | 0.06 | 66.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:00 | 0.24 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:41 | 0.01 | 69.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:39 | 0.00 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:49 | 0.02 | 16.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:33 | 0.01 | 65.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:52 | 0.17 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:36 | 0.25 | 48.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 28 | 1 | .966 | 2.27 | +1.3 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 27:32 | 0.08 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 22:00 | 0.02 | 43.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 20:50 | 0.07 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:00 | 0.03 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:36 | 0.23 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:19 | 0.19 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:49 | 0.00 | 69.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 4 | 16:34 | 0.19 | 36.2% | +3.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:02 | 0.09 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 15:10 | 0.38 | 50.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:08 | 0.14 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:52 | 0.20 | 63.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:16 | 0.00 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:08 | 0.02 | 50.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 12:50 | 0.09 | 23.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:12 | 0.00 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:03 | 0.08 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7:27 | 0.46 | 56.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 2.61 | −0.4 | 59:12 |