Mon, Jan 16, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Florida Panthers 4, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 65% of the time.
26%
9%
9%
56%
BUF winsFLA wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Verhaeghe–Bennett–Tkachuk | Barkov–Reinhart–Lundell | Staal–Lomberg–Smith | Cousins–Luostarinen–Denisenko | Staal–Montour | Ekblad–Forsling | Gudas–Mahura | Montour–Forsling | Montour–Mahura | Staal–Ekblad | Gudas–Ekblad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olofsson–Jost–Mittelstadt | 3:290.09–0.08 | 2:360.00–0.11 | 1:330.00–0.02 | 1:140.00–0.00 | 3:340.05–0.08 | 3:230.04–0.03 | 1:550.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.08 | ||
| Cozens–Quinn–Peterka | 3:360.13–0.10 | 1:360.00–0.01 | 1:560.04–0.01 | 1:350.02–0.02 | 3:320.06–0.01 | 4:370.13–0.14 | |||||
| Skinner–Tuch–Thompson | 2:100.01–0.40 | 4:150.24–0.25 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:510.06–0.40 | 5:160.18–0.13 | 0:330.00–0.11 | 0:410.00–0.00 | ||||
| Okposo–Girgensons–Asplund | 0:310.04–0.04 | 0:460.11–0.00 | 1:470.25–0.37 | 1:140.12–0.00 | 2:110.27–0.00 | 1:220.25–0.31 | 0:440.00–0.14 | ||||
| Girgensons–Olofsson–Mittelstadt | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:510.07–0.00 | 0:540.07–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Okposo–Tuch–Jost | 0:430.15–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:300.15–0.00 | ||||||||
| Okposo–Girgensons–Jost | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:360.11–0.00 | ||||||||
| Olofsson–Mittelstadt–Peterka | 0:570.21–0.00 | 0:560.21–0.00 | |||||||||
| Samuelsson–Dahlin | 2:020.02–0.10 | 6:460.35–0.16 | 0:420.04–0.27 | 1:470.08–0.00 | 4:070.19–0.08 | 3:460.21–0.35 | 3:150.10–0.21 | 0:350.00–0.00 | |||
| Jokiharju–Power | 4:140.14–0.68 | 1:250.00–0.11 | 0:480.21–0.10 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 2:280.37–0.40 | 4:460.09–0.21 | 1:010.05–0.17 | 0:430.00–0.11 | 0:520.00–0.00 | ||
| Bryson–Lyubushkin | 1:220.14–0.08 | 4:230.24–0.05 | 1:570.05–0.02 | 1:380.03–0.00 | 0:440.29–0.00 | 4:230.06–0.09 | 1:010.00–0.32 | ||||
| Jokiharju–Dahlin | 2:550.04–0.00 | 2:320.15–0.09 | 1:020.07–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 3:300.07–0.02 | 4:100.20–0.08 | 0:370.00–0.02 | ||||
| Samuelsson–Power | 1:220.06–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 0:310.01–0.00 | 2:050.07–0.00 | 0:460.04–0.00 | ||||||
| Bryson–Power | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.08 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.08 | |||||
| Dahlin–Power | 0:540.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 31 | 27:32 | 0:53 | 1:18 | 10 | 2 |
 Aaron EkbladFLA | 27 | 24:30 | 0:54 | 2:37 | 8 | 5 |
 Brandon MontourFLA | 22 | 22:52 | 1:02 | 2:10 | 4 | 3 |
 Gustav ForslingFLA | 29 | 22:06 | 0:46 | 1:31 | 5 | 6 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 28 | 22:00 | 0:47 | 1:35 | 4 | 6 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 30 | 20:50 | 0:42 | 1:38 | 6 | 7 |
 Sam ReinhartFLA | 23 | 20:08 | 0:53 | 2:04 | 3 | 7 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 26 | 20:00 | 0:46 | 1:26 | 4 | 3 |
 Aleksander BarkovFLA | 23 | 19:57 | 0:52 | 2:02 | 3 | 8 |
 Sam BennettFLA | 24 | 19:54 | 0:50 | 1:41 | 4 | 2 |
 Tyson JostBUF | 23 | 19:36 | 0:51 | 1:33 | 4 | 6 |
 Marc StaalFLA | 24 | 19:12 | 0:48 | 1:24 | 3 | 5 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 20 | 18:19 | 0:55 | 2:03 | 6 | 5 |
 Anton LundellFLA | 24 | 18:02 | 0:45 | 1:11 | 2 | 8 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 20 | 17:49 | 0:53 | 1:58 | 5 | 4 |
 Matthew TkachukFLA | 23 | 17:39 | 0:46 | 1:32 | 6 | 5 |
 Carter VerhaegheFLA | 22 | 17:08 | 0:47 | 1:37 | 4 | 2 |
 Radko GudasFLA | 22 | 16:38 | 0:45 | 1:43 | 3 | 2 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 23 | 16:34 | 0:43 | 1:19 | 5 | 3 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 22 | 16:02 | 0:44 | 1:32 | 7 | 2 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 20 | 15:10 | 0:46 | 1:32 | 1 | 4 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 21 | 15:08 | 0:43 | 1:53 | 4 | 3 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 19 | 14:52 | 0:47 | 1:19 | 5 | 2 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 20 | 14:16 | 0:43 | 1:14 | 7 | 2 |
 Eetu LuostarinenFLA | 20 | 14:00 | 0:42 | 1:15 | 1 | 2 |
 Ilya LyubushkinBUF | 19 | 13:08 | 0:41 | 1:48 | 0 | 5 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 17 | 12:50 | 0:45 | 2:31 | 3 | 3 |
 Josh MahuraFLA | 19 | 12:41 | 0:40 | 1:20 | 2 | 1 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 19 | 12:12 | 0:39 | 1:32 | 1 | 5 |
 Eric StaalFLA | 17 | 11:39 | 0:41 | 1:38 | 5 | 3 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 16 | 11:03 | 0:41 | 1:23 | 2 | 3 |
 Grigori DenisenkoFLA | 15 | 10:49 | 0:43 | 1:32 | 1 | 0 |
 Nick CousinsFLA | 14 | 10:33 | 0:45 | 1:18 | 1 | 0 |
 Givani SmithFLA | 14 | 8:52 | 0:38 | 0:58 | 6 | 2 |
 Ryan LombergFLA | 14 | 8:36 | 0:37 | 1:00 | 6 | 2 |
 Rasmus AsplundBUF | 11 | 7:27 | 0:41 | 1:10 | 0 | 2 |