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Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 16, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Florida Panthers 4, Buffalo Sabres 1

Away

Florida Panthers

4

Final

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Buffalo Sabres

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 65% of the time.

BUF winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:26Shot by Lundell, saved by Luukkonen
  3. P1 0:48Shot by Forsling, saved by Luukkonen
  4. P1 2:00Shot by Lyubushkin, saved by Bobrovsky
  5. P1 2:43Shot by Ekblad, saved by Luukkonen
  6. P1 2:46Shot by Lomberg, saved by Luukkonen
  7. P1 2:51Shot by Gudas, saved by Luukkonen
  8. P1 2:55Shot by Lundell, saved by Luukkonen
  9. P1 4:00Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Luukkonen
  10. P1 4:01Goal by Montour (Tkachuk)+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Power · FLA Staal, Verhaeghe, Bennett, Montour, Tkachuk

  11. P1 4:37Shot by Denisenko, saved by Luukkonen
  12. P1 5:10Shot by Smith, saved by Luukkonen
  13. P1 6:54Shot by Skinner, saved by Bobrovsky
  14. P1 7:51Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Luukkonen
  15. P1 8:06Shot by Bennett, saved by Luukkonen
  16. P1 8:18Shot by Asplund, saved by Bobrovsky
  17. P1 8:43Shot by Okposo, saved by Bobrovsky
  18. P1 10:38Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Luukkonen
  19. P1 11:43Shot by Okposo, saved by Bobrovsky
  20. P1 12:51Shot by Thompson, saved by Bobrovsky
  21. P1 13:41Shot by Peterka, saved by Bobrovsky
  22. P1 14:44Shot by Girgensons, saved by Bobrovsky
  23. P1 17:33Shot by Lomberg, saved by Luukkonen
  24. P1 0:00Cozens: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Jokiharju, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power · FLA Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Bennett, Forsling, Tkachuk

  25. P1 0:00Tkachuk: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Jokiharju, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power · FLA Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Bennett, Forsling, Tkachuk

  26. P1 0:00Cozens: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: BUF Jokiharju, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power · FLA Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Bennett, Forsling, Tkachuk

  27. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:45Shot by Barkov, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  30. P2 2:06Shot by Gudas, saved by Luukkonen
  31. P2 2:43Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Luukkonen
  32. P2 3:08Shot by Bennett, saved by Luukkonen
  33. P2 3:35Shot by Montour, saved by Luukkonen
  34. P2 3:40Tuch: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Power · FLA Cousins, Barkov, Reinhart, Montour, Forsling

  35. P2 5:05Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  36. P2 6:09Shot by Cozens, saved by Bobrovsky
  37. P2 8:04Goal by Bennett (Tkachuk, Verhaeghe)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Jost, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Power · FLA Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Bennett, Forsling, Tkachuk

  38. P2 8:40Shot by Tuch, saved by Bobrovsky
  39. P2 8:45Shot by Skinner, saved by Bobrovsky
  40. P2 8:58Shot by Lundell, saved by Luukkonen
  41. P2 9:07Shot by Mahura, saved by Luukkonen
  42. P2 9:21Shot by Gudas, saved by Luukkonen
  43. P2 9:39Shot by Okposo, saved by Bobrovsky
  44. P2 10:05Shot by Okposo, saved by Bobrovsky
  45. P2 12:53Cousins: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Skinner, Bryson, Lyubushkin, Cozens, Quinn · FLA Staal, Gudas, Cousins, Ekblad, Denisenko

  46. P2 16:19Shot by Reinhart, saved by Luukkonen
  47. P2 17:08Shot by Reinhart, saved by Luukkonen
  48. P2 17:29Shot by Reinhart, saved by Luukkonen
  49. P2 17:39Shot by Tuch, saved by Bobrovsky
  50. P2 18:29Shot by Tuch, saved by Bobrovsky
  51. P2 18:42Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Luukkonen
  52. P2 18:45Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Luukkonen
  53. P2 19:11Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Bobrovsky
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:34Goal by Lundell (Reinhart, Barkov)+6 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Dahlin · FLA Barkov, Ekblad, Reinhart, Forsling, Lundell

  57. P3 3:19Luostarinen: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Thompson, Samuelsson, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power · FLA Barkov, Ekblad, Reinhart, Forsling, Lundell

  58. P3 4:55Shot by Thompson, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  59. P3 5:29Shot by Dahlin, saved by Bobrovsky
  60. P3 5:48Shot by Okposo, saved by Bobrovsky
  61. P3 7:31Quinn: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Samuelsson, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power · FLA Gudas, Cousins, Mahura, Luostarinen, Denisenko

  62. P3 8:15Shot by Asplund, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  63. P3 8:17Shot by Asplund, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  64. P3 9:25Shot by Forsling, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  65. P3 10:43Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Bobrovsky
  66. P3 11:00Shot by Jost, saved by Bobrovsky
  67. P3 11:22Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Bobrovsky
  68. P3 11:27Goal by Tuch, unassisted+3 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Tuch, Jost, Jokiharju, Dahlin · FLA Barkov, Ekblad, Reinhart, Forsling, Lundell

  69. P3 12:03Shot by Cozens, saved by Bobrovsky
  70. P3 13:58Shot by Cousins, saved by Luukkonen
  71. P3 15:20Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Bobrovsky
  72. P3 17:39Shot by Gudas, saved by Luukkonen
  73. P3 17:59Shot by Skinner, saved by Bobrovsky
  74. P3 18:22Goal by Verhaeghe (Tkachuk, Forsling)6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Cozens, Quinn, Power · FLA Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Bennett, Forsling, Tkachuk

  75. P3 19:16Lomberg: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Bryson, Lyubushkin, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka · FLA Staal, Gudas, Lomberg, Mahura, Smith

  76. P3 19:39Shot by Peterka, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  77. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  78. P3 0:00Final