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Ice Lab

Wed, Feb 1, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Carolina Hurricanes 5, Buffalo Sabres 1

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

5

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 68% of the time.

BUF winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:44Shot by Okposo, saved by Raanta
  3. P1 0:55Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Luukkonen
  4. P1 0:57Shot by Necas, saved by Luukkonen
  5. P1 1:22Shot by Pesce, saved by Luukkonen
  6. P1 1:23Thompson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Power · CAR Skjei, Pesce, Necas, Kotkaniemi, Svechnikov

  7. P1 1:28Shot by Teravainen, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  8. P1 2:09Shot by Skjei, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  9. P1 2:35Goal by Aho (Teravainen, Svechnikov)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Jost, Samuelsson, Lyubushkin, Cozens · CAR Noesen, Skjei, Teravainen, Aho, Svechnikov

  10. P1 3:19Shot by Olofsson, saved by Raanta
  11. P1 3:47Shot by Dahlin, saved by Raanta
  12. P1 4:10Shot by Chatfield, saved by Luukkonen
  13. P1 6:33Shot by Teravainen, saved by Luukkonen
  14. P1 7:21Shot by Stastny, saved by Luukkonen
  15. P1 7:28Shot by Coghlan, saved by Luukkonen
  16. P1 8:29Shot by Aho, saved by Luukkonen
  17. P1 8:34Shot by Jarvis, saved by Luukkonen
  18. P1 10:05Goal by Noesen (Necas, Kotkaniemi)+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin · CAR Noesen, Skjei, Pesce, Necas, Kotkaniemi

  19. P1 11:48Shot by Jarvis, saved by Luukkonen
  20. P1 12:47Goal by Burns (Kotkaniemi, Chatfield)+10 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Bryson, Lyubushkin, Peterka · CAR Burns, Chatfield, Necas, Kotkaniemi, Svechnikov

  21. P1 14:37Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Raanta
  22. P1 14:45Goal by Tuch (Jokiharju)+9 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Power · CAR Skjei, Pesce, Necas, Kotkaniemi, Svechnikov

  23. P1 14:59Shot by Power, saved by Raanta
  24. P1 16:33Shot by Teravainen, saved by Luukkonen
  25. P1 17:56Shot by Tuch, saved by Raanta
  26. P1 18:37Shot by Stepan, saved by Luukkonen
  27. P1 19:42Shot by Quinn, saved by Raanta
  28. P1 19:49Shot by Cozens, saved by Raanta
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 1:50Shot by Pesce, saved by Luukkonen
  32. P2 2:23Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Luukkonen
  33. P2 2:56Shot by Jarvis, saved by Luukkonen
  34. P2 3:36Shot by Stepan, saved by Luukkonen
  35. P2 4:12Shot by Okposo, saved by Raanta
  36. P2 4:28Shot by Girgensons, saved by Raanta
  37. P2 5:04Shot by Martinook, saved by Luukkonen
  38. P2 5:34Shot by Fast, saved by Luukkonen
  39. P2 6:57Jost: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Olofsson, Jost, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Lyubushkin · CAR de Haan, Aho, Coghlan, Necas, Jarvis

  40. P2 8:03Shot by Necas, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  41. P2 11:23Shot by Okposo, saved by Raanta
  42. P2 12:26Shot by Stepan, saved by Luukkonen
  43. P2 13:04Shot by Skjei, saved by Luukkonen
  44. P2 13:09Shot by Burns, saved by Luukkonen
  45. P2 13:19Shot by Martinook, saved by Luukkonen
  46. P2 13:28Shot by Thompson, saved by Raanta
  47. P2 14:13Shot by Skinner, saved by Raanta6v5
  48. P2 14:14Chatfield: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Bryson, Dahlin, Krebs · CAR Burns, Staal, Fast, Martinook, Chatfield

  49. P2 15:35Shot by Skinner, saved by Raanta5v4
  50. P2 18:58Shot by de Haan, saved by Luukkonen
  51. P2 19:32Shot by Olofsson, saved by Raanta
  52. P2 19:38Shot by Olofsson, saved by Raanta
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:20Shot by Girgensons, saved by Raanta
  56. P3 0:46Burns: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Olofsson, Bryson, Dahlin, Krebs · CAR Burns, Staal, Fast, Martinook, Chatfield

  57. P3 1:15Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Raanta5v4
  58. P3 2:18Shot by Quinn, saved by Raanta5v4
  59. P3 3:38Shot by Girgensons, saved by Raanta
  60. P3 4:16Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Raanta
  61. P3 5:15Shot by Quinn, saved by Raanta
  62. P3 5:22Shot by Power, saved by Raanta
  63. P3 6:05Shot by Staal, saved by Luukkonen
  64. P3 10:30Goal by Stepan (Noesen, Chatfield)+4 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Jost, Jokiharju, Quinn, Peterka, Power · CAR Burns, Stastny, Stepan, Noesen, Chatfield

  65. P3 11:04Shot by Krebs, saved by Raanta
  66. P3 11:10Shot by Cozens, saved by Raanta
  67. P3 11:29Shot by Tuch, saved by Raanta
  68. P3 11:31Skjei: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Cozens · CAR Staal, Fast, Skjei, Martinook, Pesce

  69. P3 12:59Shot by Okposo, saved by Raanta5v4
  70. P3 14:20Shot by Tuch, saved by Raanta
  71. P3 15:01Shot by Stastny, saved by Luukkonen
  72. P3 15:33Shot by Necas, saved by Luukkonen
  73. P3 17:19Shot by Olofsson, saved by Raanta
  74. P3 17:42Chatfield: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Power · CAR Burns, Stastny, Stepan, Noesen, Chatfield

  75. P3 18:19Goal by Martinook (Staal)6v40 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Power · CAR Staal, Skjei, Martinook, Pesce

  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. P3 0:00Final