Wed, Feb 1, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Carolina Hurricanes 5, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 68% of the time.
23%
8%
61%
BUF winsCAR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Staal–Fast–Martinook | Teravainen–Aho–Jarvis | Necas–Kotkaniemi–Svechnikov | Stastny–Stepan–Noesen | Burns–Chatfield | Skjei–Pesce | de Haan–Coghlan | Pesce–Chatfield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Okposo–Girgensons–Krebs | 3:390.17–0.01 | 2:590.12–0.00 | 1:290.06–0.00 | 0:540.07–0.00 | 6:020.35–0.00 | 2:180.00–0.01 | 1:020.06–0.00 | |
| Skinner–Tuch–Thompson | 2:490.04–0.23 | 3:200.09–0.21 | 1:380.03–0.04 | 4:210.10–0.42 | 0:570.00–0.15 | 0:340.00–0.00 | ||
| Olofsson–Jost–Mittelstadt | 1:530.12–0.05 | 2:320.00–0.25 | 2:090.00–0.14 | 0:570.00–0.16 | 0:460.00–0.01 | 4:290.12–0.22 | 0:540.00–0.05 | |
| Cozens–Quinn–Peterka | 1:460.08–0.00 | 1:210.03–0.17 | 0:460.00–0.04 | 3:110.18–0.19 | 0:360.00–0.02 | 0:500.08–0.00 | ||
| Skinner–Tuch–Cozens | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 1:030.33–0.13 | |||||
| Krebs–Quinn–Peterka | 0:410.05–0.00 | 0:430.05–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | |||||
| Olofsson–Mittelstadt–Krebs | 1:120.11–0.00 | 1:350.11–0.00 | ||||||
| Tuch–Olofsson–Mittelstadt | 0:480.03–0.02 | 0:300.07–0.00 | ||||||
| Jost–Quinn–Peterka | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.12 | 0:350.00–0.12 | 0:360.00–0.00 | ||||
| Jokiharju–Power | 3:040.19–0.22 | 2:250.00–0.16 | 2:390.09–0.21 | 1:340.00–0.12 | 4:300.19–0.33 | 3:160.16–0.26 | 2:310.00–0.12 | |
| Samuelsson–Dahlin | 1:560.00–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.17 | 1:420.18–0.00 | 2:210.13–0.15 | 2:300.00–0.19 | 1:210.06–0.02 | ||
| Samuelsson–Lyubushkin | 1:100.00–0.07 | 2:370.00–0.09 | 1:290.00–0.16 | 1:250.00–0.01 | 2:580.00–0.16 | |||
| Dahlin–Power | 2:030.08–0.06 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:580.02–0.00 | 0:560.02–0.00 | 2:220.15–0.01 | 1:150.00–0.05 | ||
| Bryson–Dahlin | 2:160.17–0.00 | 2:220.17–0.08 | 3:430.35–0.08 | 1:060.08–0.00 | ||||
| Bryson–Lyubushkin | 1:150.01–0.01 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.15 | 0:520.00–0.14 | 0:560.00–0.15 | 1:450.01–0.01 | 0:490.00–0.14 | |
| Jokiharju–Dahlin | 1:020.39–0.00 | 0:490.03–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 1:160.03–0.00 | 1:210.27–0.13 | 1:020.15–0.00 | ||
| Jokiharju–Bryson | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:430.09–0.03 | 0:340.00–0.00 | |||||
| Lyubushkin–Power | 0:340.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Bryson–Power | 0:320.05–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:350.05–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 29 | 26:51 | 0:56 | 1:54 | 6 | 0 |
 Brent BurnsCAR | 28 | 23:30 | 0:50 | 1:24 | 3 | 5 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 28 | 22:45 | 0:49 | 1:42 | 9 | 5 |
 Jalen ChatfieldCAR | 27 | 22:09 | 0:49 | 1:49 | 2 | 4 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 27 | 20:19 | 0:45 | 1:24 | 4 | 4 |
 Brett PesceCAR | 23 | 19:57 | 0:52 | 2:04 | 3 | 7 |
 Brady SkjeiCAR | 25 | 19:43 | 0:47 | 2:01 | 3 | 7 |
 Jordan MartinookCAR | 20 | 19:23 | 0:58 | 1:44 | 2 | 4 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 19 | 19:16 | 1:01 | 2:33 | 8 | 1 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 21 | 18:54 | 0:54 | 1:40 | 5 | 4 |
 Jordan StaalCAR | 20 | 18:41 | 0:56 | 1:42 | 2 | 4 |
 Calvin de HaanCAR | 20 | 18:30 | 0:56 | 1:41 | 0 | 1 |
 Jesper FastCAR | 21 | 17:42 | 0:51 | 1:23 | 2 | 2 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 21 | 17:35 | 0:50 | 1:22 | 3 | 4 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 19 | 17:23 | 0:55 | 1:46 | 4 | 2 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 18 | 17:16 | 0:58 | 1:37 | 9 | 1 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 19 | 16:41 | 0:53 | 1:22 | 3 | 4 |
 Sebastian AhoCAR | 18 | 15:55 | 0:53 | 1:21 | 4 | 1 |
 Teuvo TeravainenCAR | 18 | 15:21 | 0:51 | 1:16 | 3 | 1 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 20 | 14:53 | 0:45 | 1:20 | 2 | 4 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 17 | 14:39 | 0:52 | 1:41 | 1 | 0 |
 Seth JarvisCAR | 15 | 14:17 | 0:57 | 2:05 | 3 | 0 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 21 | 14:08 | 0:40 | 1:16 | 2 | 1 |
 Martin NecasCAR | 17 | 14:04 | 0:50 | 1:31 | 0 | 2 |
 Ilya LyubushkinBUF | 19 | 14:01 | 0:44 | 1:12 | 0 | 4 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 16 | 13:55 | 0:52 | 1:41 | 1 | 0 |
 Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR | 16 | 13:52 | 0:52 | 1:20 | 1 | 2 |
 Dylan CoghlanCAR | 15 | 13:46 | 0:55 | 1:28 | 0 | 1 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 19 | 13:21 | 0:42 | 1:12 | 4 | 2 |
 Andrei SvechnikovCAR | 15 | 13:20 | 0:53 | 1:49 | 1 | 2 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 16 | 12:34 | 0:47 | 1:13 | 4 | 3 |
 Tyson JostBUF | 15 | 12:22 | 0:49 | 1:26 | 1 | 5 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 11 | 11:16 | 1:01 | 2:36 | 2 | 1 |
 Paul StastnyCAR | 13 | 11:10 | 0:52 | 1:12 | 1 | 0 |
 Stefan NoesenCAR | 12 | 10:28 | 0:52 | 2:24 | 1 | 1 |
 Derek StepanCAR | 12 | 10:12 | 0:51 | 1:12 | 0 | 0 |