Wed, Feb 1, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Carolina Hurricanes 5, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 68% of the time.
23%
8%
61%
BUF winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 23:30 | 0.16 | 58.4% | +9.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 22:09 | 0.00 | 57.3% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:57 | 0.04 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:43 | 0.04 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:23 | 0.86 | 30.4% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:41 | 0.42 | 29.6% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:30 | 0.01 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:42 | 0.12 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:55 | 0.16 | 80.7% | +12.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:21 | 0.41 | 82.5% | +12.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:17 | 0.32 | 77.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:04 | 0.20 | 64.4% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 13:52 | 0.00 | 47.2% | +24.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:46 | 0.03 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:20 | 0.40 | 52.3% | +12.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 11:10 | 0.13 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 10:28 | 0.16 | 67.7% | +18.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 10:12 | 0.22 | 49.7% | +3.7 |
| W | 30 | 29 | 1 | .967 | 2.56 | +1.6 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 26:51 | 0.08 | 67.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:45 | 0.01 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:19 | 0.03 | 46.4% | +9.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 19:16 | 0.53 | 35.7% | +9.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:54 | 0.10 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:35 | 0.11 | 80.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:23 | 0.23 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:16 | 0.22 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:41 | 0.29 | 60.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:53 | 0.00 | 17.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:39 | 0.54 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:08 | 0.00 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:01 | 0.00 | 11.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:55 | 0.00 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:21 | 0.21 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:34 | 0.19 | 98.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:22 | 0.00 | 18.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:16 | 0.03 | 13.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 33 | 29 | 4 | .879 | 2.62 | −1.4 | 58:39 |