Sat, Feb 11, 2023·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Dallas Stars 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 51% of the time.
40%
9%
8%
42%
DAL winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 25:33 | 0.11 | 37.7% | +49.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 22:09 | 0.35 | 49.7% | +3.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:09 | 0.10 | 58.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:13 | 0.33 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 19:53 | 1.13 | 41.6% | +25.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:29 | 0.32 | 59.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:19 | 0.06 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:36 | 0.02 | 58.9% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 5 | 17:35 | 0.61 | 56.7% | +75.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 17:29 | 0.11 | 56.8% | +72.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:15 | 0.00 | 27.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:21 | 0.05 | 62.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:33 | 0.06 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:18 | 0.15 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:53 | 0.04 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:21 | 0.02 | 86.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:14 | 0.21 | 71.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:43 | 0.00 | 30.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 28 | 1 | .966 | 3.59 | +2.6 | 59:57 |
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 24:22 | 0.41 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:27 | 0.17 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 20:01 | 0.20 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 19:17 | 0.49 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:09 | 0.00 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:57 | 0.01 | 57.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:45 | 0.24 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 18:30 | 0.46 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:22 | 0.04 | 42.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:17 | 0.59 | 56.6% | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:10 | 0.43 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:11 | 0.00 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:48 | 0.03 | 75.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:35 | 0.17 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:23 | 0.03 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:28 | 0.10 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:18 | 0.17 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:17 | 0.07 | 20.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 2.96 | +1.0 | 59:43 |