Sat, Feb 11, 2023·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Dallas Stars 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 51% of the time.
40%
9%
8%
42%
DAL winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
DAL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Stamkos–Kucherov–Point | Perry–Namestnikov–Colton | Killorn–Cirelli–Hagel | Killorn–Stamkos–Cirelli | Kucherov–Point–Hagel | Maroon–Bellemare–Colton | Killorn–Point–Hagel | Killorn–Maroon–Bellemare | Maroon–Kucherov–Bellemare | Perry–Kucherov–Colton | Bogosian–Hedman | Hedman–Foote | Cernak–Sergachev | Cole–Perbix | Hedman–Sergachev | Cole–Cernak | Bogosian–Sergachev | Cole–Bogosian | Sergachev–Perbix | Sergachev–Foote | Hedman–Perbix | Hedman–Cernak | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benn–Dellandrea–Johnston | 0:440.02–0.00 | 1:530.12–0.21 | 1:550.30–0.17 | 0:390.03–0.04 | 1:210.05–0.05 | 0:510.09–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.02 | 0:370.00–0.02 | 2:550.35–0.07 | 1:190.02–0.04 | 0:380.09–0.00 | 2:140.10–0.09 | 0:320.00–0.19 | 1:130.00–0.17 | 1:060.05–0.00 | ||||||
| Pavelski–Hintz–Robertson | 4:080.38–0.19 | 1:060.21–0.28 | 3:000.00–0.34 | 0:310.05–0.08 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 3:390.24–0.46 | 0:310.18–0.00 | 1:020.05–0.23 | 1:050.00–0.02 | 1:410.28–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.19 | |||||||||||
| Seguin–Faksa–Marchment | 2:180.10–0.09 | 3:370.01–0.06 | 0:470.01–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:360.06–0.00 | 1:090.05–0.00 | 2:420.07–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:590.07–0.03 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.03 | 0:340.02–0.00 | |||||||||
| Glendening–Gurianov–Studenic | 0:490.11–0.04 | 0:400.01–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.01 | 0:590.02–0.00 | 1:000.11–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.23 | 1:120.01–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.15 | 0:380.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Glendening–Gurianov–Marchment | 0:460.13–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Hakanpää–Lindell | 1:510.24–0.00 | 1:300.02–0.05 | 2:280.21–0.28 | 2:430.03–0.19 | 0:580.00–0.06 | 1:210.15–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.07 | 3:410.16–0.07 | 2:100.00–0.25 | 2:030.12–0.28 | 2:020.24–0.00 | 1:540.13–0.21 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.03 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.04 | ||||
| Miller–Heiskanen | 5:520.50–0.17 | 1:380.30–0.17 | 1:130.00–0.24 | 1:470.10–0.08 | 0:350.00–0.02 | 1:520.43–0.00 | 2:010.09–0.12 | 2:460.20–0.13 | 0:560.05–0.08 | 1:100.00–0.21 | 1:470.28–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.21 | 0:430.00–0.10 | 0:340.02–0.00 | 0:550.05–0.00 | |||||||
| Suter–Lundkvist | 4:120.12–0.03 | 0:520.01–0.01 | 0:360.00–0.05 | 0:550.02–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.03 | 1:160.16–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.00 | 3:550.12–0.12 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:440.02–0.00 | 0:450.01–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Suter–Hakanpää | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Suter–Heiskanen | 0:310.00–0.06 | 0:410.00–0.19 | 0:400.00–0.19 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Miller–Lundkvist | 0:550.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
DALTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Victor HedmanTBL | 29 | 25:33 | 0:53 | 1:46 | 5 | 2 |
 Miro HeiskanenDAL | 28 | 24:22 | 0:52 | 2:00 | 7 | 4 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 25 | 22:09 | 0:53 | 1:33 | 7 | 1 |
 Mikhail SergachevTBL | 26 | 22:09 | 0:51 | 1:41 | 6 | 3 |
 Jani HakanpääDAL | 24 | 20:27 | 0:51 | 2:46 | 1 | 3 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 21 | 20:13 | 0:58 | 1:26 | 7 | 2 |
 Jason RobertsonDAL | 23 | 20:01 | 0:52 | 1:28 | 3 | 3 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 27 | 19:53 | 0:44 | 1:41 | 5 | 6 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 24 | 19:29 | 0:49 | 1:26 | 6 | 2 |
 Ian ColeTBL | 26 | 19:19 | 0:45 | 1:17 | 1 | 4 |
 Joe PavelskiDAL | 23 | 19:17 | 0:50 | 1:20 | 4 | 3 |
 Esa LindellDAL | 25 | 19:09 | 0:46 | 2:21 | 1 | 2 |
 Colin MillerDAL | 20 | 18:57 | 0:57 | 2:44 | 5 | 4 |
 Tyler SeguinDAL | 23 | 18:45 | 0:49 | 1:25 | 4 | 6 |
 Roope HintzDAL | 24 | 18:30 | 0:46 | 1:22 | 2 | 4 |
 Ryan SuterDAL | 21 | 18:22 | 0:52 | 1:39 | 2 | 4 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 25 | 17:36 | 0:42 | 1:09 | 1 | 6 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 25 | 17:35 | 0:42 | 1:22 | 2 | 7 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 23 | 17:29 | 0:46 | 1:37 | 3 | 3 |
 Jamie BennDAL | 24 | 17:17 | 0:43 | 1:08 | 6 | 0 |
 Wyatt JohnstonDAL | 22 | 16:10 | 0:44 | 1:06 | 5 | 1 |
 Radek FaksaDAL | 19 | 15:11 | 0:48 | 1:47 | 4 | 5 |
 Mason MarchmentDAL | 21 | 14:48 | 0:42 | 1:15 | 3 | 5 |
 Nils LundkvistDAL | 20 | 14:35 | 0:44 | 1:57 | 1 | 2 |
 Zach BogosianTBL | 16 | 14:15 | 0:53 | 2:09 | 1 | 1 |
 Ross ColtonTBL | 18 | 13:21 | 0:45 | 1:20 | 1 | 2 |
 Ty DellandreaDAL | 18 | 12:23 | 0:41 | 0:53 | 4 | 0 |
 Nick PerbixTBL | 16 | 11:33 | 0:43 | 1:08 | 3 | 4 |
 Corey PerryTBL | 16 | 11:18 | 0:42 | 1:13 | 2 | 2 |
 Vladislav NamestnikovTBL | 16 | 10:53 | 0:41 | 1:03 | 3 | 2 |
 Luke GlendeningDAL | 15 | 10:28 | 0:42 | 1:35 | 1 | 1 |
 Cal FooteTBL | 12 | 9:21 | 0:47 | 1:20 | 1 | 1 |
 Denis GurianovDAL | 14 | 9:18 | 0:40 | 0:47 | 0 | 1 |
 Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL | 14 | 9:14 | 0:40 | 1:13 | 1 | 1 |
 Patrick MaroonTBL | 13 | 8:43 | 0:40 | 1:21 | 2 | 0 |
 Marián StudenicDAL | 13 | 8:17 | 0:38 | 1:09 | 0 | 1 |