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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 13, 2023·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Calgary Flames 3, Ottawa Senators 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 61% of the time.

OTT winsCGY wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CGY's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Backlund–Coleman–MangiapaneKadri–Huberdeau–PelletierToffoli–Lindholm–DubeLewis–Lucic–RitchieTanev–HanifinWeegar–ZadorovStone–GilbertWeegar–HanifinTanev–ZadorovStone–ZadorovWeegar–Gilbert
Giroux–DeBrincat–Greig2:070.00–0.151:280.00–0.052:000.13–0.302:180.00–0.004:280.19–0.372:100.00–0.021:500.00–0.12
Batherson–Tkachuk–Stützle1:480.00–0.011:090.17–0.002:420.14–0.061:160.03–0.015:070.14–0.062:230.17–0.010:330.00–0.00
Motte–Joseph–Pinto2:050.06–0.220:570.00–0.000:500.00–0.092:050.06–0.131:080.00–0.27
Brassard–Watson–Kelly0:480.00–0.000:320.00–0.071:530.03–0.040:570.00–0.071:270.00–0.040:320.05–0.000:430.03–0.00
Joseph–Tkachuk–Stützle0:440.10–0.001:400.14–0.010:400.12–0.000:580.12–0.012:070.24–0.00
Motte–Batherson–Pinto1:050.00–0.010:340.00–0.000:310.00–0.001:490.00–0.01
Watson–Kelly–Pinto0:320.00–0.000:360.00–0.010:580.00–0.00
Giroux–DeBrincat–Pinto0:570.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
Motte–Joseph–Greig0:330.00–0.010:440.00–0.01
Chabot–Zaitsev3:570.09–0.013:000.19–0.081:580.00–0.013:510.13–0.054:170.14–0.051:260.00–0.00
Brannstrom–Zub3:490.14–0.120:400.08–0.001:590.00–0.053:090.20–0.022:590.00–0.153:050.19–0.06
Holden–Hamonic2:120.00–0.172:090.14–0.001:560.05–0.301:020.00–0.003:550.05–0.302:420.14–0.091:180.00–0.12
Hamonic–Chabot1:150.00–0.041:110.06–0.070:560.06–0.070:390.00–0.041:180.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Chabot–Zub0:540.10–0.000:370.00–0.000:320.07–0.011:220.27–0.00
Holden–Zaitsev1:260.06–0.091:010.00–0.230:430.00–0.00
Holden–Zub1:270.03–0.010:440.00–0.010:400.03–0.00
Zaitsev–Brannstrom1:080.00–0.040:360.00–0.000:340.00–0.04
Chabot–Brannstrom0:360.00–0.000:420.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndTkachuk FStützle FJoseph FDeBrincat FGreig FGiroux FBatherson FPinto FMotte FBrassard FKelly FWatson FZaitsev DChabot DHolden DHamonic DZub DBrannstrom DSogaard GHuberdeau FPelletier FKadri FLindholm FDube FToffoli FMangiapane FBacklund FColeman FLewis FLucic FRitchie FZadorov DWeegar DTanev DHanifin DStone DGilbert DMarkstrom G
OTTCGYFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Thomas ChabotOTT2727:391:012:1853
Noah HanifinCGY3526:590:461:4819
Chris TanevCGY3323:180:422:2519
Tim StützleOTT2923:050:481:4753
MacKenzie WeegarCGY3421:460:381:0960
Nikita ZadorovCGY3521:290:371:1671
Brady TkachukOTT2620:340:471:2542
Elias LindholmCGY2720:080:452:0636
Claude GirouxOTT2719:500:441:2254
Drake BathersonOTT2419:340:491:4033
Nikita ZaitsevOTT2419:150:481:3615
Erik BrannstromOTT2519:040:461:3643
Alex DeBrincatOTT2318:260:481:1943
Artem ZubOTT2318:160:481:3215
Mikael BacklundCGY2318:050:471:2443
Nazem KadriCGY2318:030:472:0031
Andrew MangiapaneCGY2217:380:481:3651
Jonathan HuberdeauCGY2116:440:481:4330
Nick HoldenOTT2216:160:441:1823
Travis HamonicOTT2315:510:411:1922
Blake ColemanCGY2215:500:431:1621
Shane PintoOTT2315:260:401:4335
Tyler ToffoliCGY2215:110:411:3222
Ridly GreigOTT1914:520:471:2051
Jakob PelletierCGY1913:380:431:4520
Dillon DubeCGY1812:430:421:3523
Michael StoneCGY2112:240:351:4111
Tyler MotteOTT1712:110:431:4111
Mathieu JosephOTT1611:350:431:4012
Trevor LewisCGY1711:170:400:5801
Milan LucicCGY1410:270:451:0100
Dennis GilbertCGY1810:210:351:0310
Brett RitchieCGY1310:080:471:1100
Parker KellyOTT148:540:381:1203
Austin WatsonOTT138:370:401:0603
Derick BrassardOTT127:380:381:1822