Tue, Feb 14, 2023·Capital One Arena, Washington
Carolina Hurricanes 3, Washington Capitals 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 65% of the time.
57%
28%
WSH winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:13 | 0.05 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:02 | 0.04 | 38.9% | +20.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:05 | 0.01 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:45 | 0.12 | 52.3% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 18:20 | 0.34 | 77.5% | +20.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:49 | 0.04 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:44 | 0.20 | 79.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:37 | 0.15 | 56.2% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:44 | 0.35 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:09 | 0.16 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:04 | 0.33 | 53.8% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:38 | 0.07 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:30 | 0.11 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:13 | 0.56 | 79.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:54 | 0.05 | 40.3% | +19.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 8:56 | 0.21 | 20.0% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 8:14 | 0.07 | 20.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 8:03 | 0.09 | 21.3% | +40.5 |
| W | 36 | 34 | 2 | .944 | 3.88 | +1.9 | 60:00 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 23:49 | 0.02 | 34.0% | +18.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 22:50 | 0.05 | 69.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:45 | 0.19 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:27 | 0.28 | 69.7% | +21.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:22 | 0.00 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:57 | 0.02 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 18:00 | 0.39 | 67.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:57 | 0.56 | 50.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:21 | 0.76 | 68.2% | +18.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:19 | 0.19 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:59 | 0.02 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:19 | 0.00 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 13:36 | 0.22 | 62.2% | +39.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13:08 | 0.50 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:44 | 0.09 | 42.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:29 | 0.00 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 10:25 | 0.04 | 24.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9:55 | 0.55 | 40.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 27 | 3 | .900 | 2.93 | −0.1 | 58:07 |