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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 18, 2023·Carter-Finley Stadium, RaleighOutdoor game

Washington Capitals 1, Carolina Hurricanes 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 86% of the time.

CAR winsWSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Backstrom–Johansson–ShearyOshie–Mantha–StromeKuznetsov–Wilson–MilanoEller–Hathaway–Aube-KubelOshie–Kuznetsov–ManthaBackstrom–Wilson–MilanoWilson–Milano–StromeOrlov–JensenGustafsson–van RiemsdykIrwin–Fehérváryvan Riemsdyk–FehérváryOrlov–FehérváryIrwin–GustafssonGustafsson–FehérváryJensen–IrwinOrlov–GustafssonOrlov–van RiemsdykJensen–van Riemsdyk
Aho–Svechnikov–Jarvis7:050.48–0.002:320.40–0.070:490.10–0.001:090.13–0.016:290.65–0.032:020.33–0.001:540.00–0.071:060.00–0.111:130.00–0.001:130.13–0.050:400.00–0.03
Staal–Fast–Martinook1:290.01–0.006:110.06–0.121:490.05–0.020:460.01–0.101:410.06–0.003:060.00–0.090:550.00–0.031:160.01–0.001:120.05–0.000:460.01–0.000:490.00–0.01
Teravainen–Necas–Kotkaniemi3:020.03–0.182:570.14–0.060:390.00–0.091:310.28–0.003:090.03–0.051:340.16–0.150:550.01–0.001:020.00–0.130:370.05–0.00
Stastny–Stepan–Noesen6:150.06–0.281:400.02–0.052:060.03–0.111:210.02–0.130:400.00–0.00
Skjei–Pesce2:360.03–0.001:510.36–0.014:250.16–0.030:310.00–0.002:080.14–0.020:460.01–0.104:530.61–0.032:410.21–0.000:510.00–0.031:510.01–0.001:100.00–0.111:170.13–0.000:320.11–0.000:500.00–0.030:490.00–0.01
Burns–Slavin6:310.18–0.181:390.00–0.002:280.00–0.161:490.01–0.154:130.07–0.044:580.11–0.231:050.01–0.001:230.00–0.131:080.00–0.000:420.00–0.00
de Haan–Chatfield0:430.10–0.004:010.17–0.080:410.36–0.004:260.05–0.130:450.00–0.011:590.48–0.013:280.03–0.002:470.15–0.210:580.00–0.010:470.00–0.001:210.00–0.010:530.01–0.00
de Haan–Slavin0:410.04–0.070:350.10–0.000:500.00–0.070:350.10–0.00
Skjei–Slavin0:410.00–0.020:360.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndAho FJarvis FSvechnikov FStaal FMartinook FFast FKotkaniemi FNecas FTeravainen FStepan FNoesen FStastny FBurns DSlavin DSkjei DPesce DChatfield Dde Haan DAndersen GBackstrom FSheary FJohansson FMilano FWilson FKuznetsov FOshie FStrome FMantha FEller FHathaway FAube-Kubel FJensen DOrlov DGustafsson Dvan Riemsdyk DIrwin DFehérváry DKuemper G
CARWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Dmitry OrlovWSH2723:100:512:0026
Brady SkjeiCAR2722:420:502:1553
Trevor van RiemsdykWSH2822:400:491:14610
Sebastian AhoCAR2522:140:531:2144
Andrei SvechnikovCAR2521:250:511:3733
Erik GustafssonWSH2621:170:491:3864
Brent BurnsCAR2620:450:482:0162
Nick JensenWSH2520:380:501:5719
Jaccob SlavinCAR2420:320:511:3943
Seth JarvisCAR2319:330:512:0541
Brett PesceCAR2418:480:471:2633
Martin FehérváryWSH2618:240:421:45110
T.J. OshieWSH1917:560:572:0045
Nicklas BackstromWSH2017:290:521:5741
Marcus JohanssonWSH2017:060:511:2142
Jordan StaalCAR2616:430:391:2364
Evgeny KuznetsovWSH2516:000:381:1646
Conor ShearyWSH2015:380:471:2433
Calvin de HaanCAR2115:370:451:3662
Dylan StromeWSH1715:290:551:5734
Martin NecasCAR1915:030:481:2470
Teuvo TeravainenCAR1914:290:461:2480
Jesper FastCAR2414:270:361:0763
Jordan MartinookCAR2214:260:391:2563
Jalen ChatfieldCAR2014:250:431:3682
Tom WilsonWSH2214:200:391:2834
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR1914:130:451:2460
Anthony ManthaWSH1714:090:502:0024
Lars EllerWSH1913:430:431:37112
Sonny MilanoWSH1912:460:401:1315
Stefan NoesenCAR1811:370:391:1693
Garnet HathawayWSH1911:280:360:59110
Paul StastnyCAR1810:440:361:2292
Matt IrwinWSH1610:230:391:1307
Nicolas Aube-KubelWSH159:520:391:3026
Derek StepanCAR168:170:311:0662