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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 23, 2023·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Buffalo Sabres 6, Tampa Bay Lightning 5 (OT)

Away

Buffalo Sabres

6

Final

Overtime

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 84% of the time.

TBL winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:14Shot by Fleury, saved by Comrie
  3. P1 1:54Shot by Hedman, saved by Comrie
  4. P1 2:19Goal by Stamkos (Point, Kucherov)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Perbix · BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Jost, Samuelsson, Dahlin

  5. P1 3:15Shot by Hagel, saved by Comrie
  6. P1 3:59Shot by Bellemare, saved by Comrie
  7. P1 7:54Shot by Stamkos, saved by Comrie
  8. P1 10:27Shot by Paul, saved by Comrie
  9. P1 11:41Goal by Girgensons (Dahlin, Jost)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Perbix · BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Jost, Samuelsson, Dahlin

  10. P1 16:46Shot by Jost, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 18:10Shot by Cernak, saved by Comrie
  12. P1 18:47Shot by Hedman, saved by Comrie
  13. P1 0:00Period end
  14. P2 0:00Period start
  15. P2 0:24Hagel: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Cole, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin

  16. P2 0:34Shot by Thompson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  17. P2 1:41Shot by Olofsson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  18. P2 4:25Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P2 4:50Shot by Bellemare, saved by Comrie
  20. P2 6:00Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Vasilevskiy
  21. P2 6:26Shot by Sergachev, saved by Comrie
  22. P2 6:26Samuelsson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Point, Cirelli, Sergachev · BUF Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Krebs, Quinn

  23. P2 7:02Shot by Stamkos, saved by Comrie5v4
  24. P2 7:41Shot by Kucherov, saved by Comrie5v4
  25. P2 8:51Paul: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Cole, Paul, Cernak, Hagel · BUF Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Samuelsson, Dahlin

  26. P2 9:36Goal by Thompson (Skinner, Dahlin)4v5+20 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Cole, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Olofsson, Thompson, Dahlin

  27. P2 10:07Shot by Cozens, saved by Vasilevskiy
  28. P2 10:38Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Vasilevskiy
  29. P2 11:19Shot by Kucherov, saved by Comrie
  30. P2 11:28Shot by Cernak, saved by Comrie
  31. P2 12:15Shot by Bellemare, saved by Comrie
  32. P2 12:20Goal by Thompson (Skinner)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, Cole, Namestnikov, Bellemare, Cernak · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Lyubushkin

  33. P2 12:36Goal by Hedman (Maroon, Paul)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Hedman, Paul, Colton, Perbix · BUF Olofsson, Bryson, Lyubushkin, Cozens, Peterka

  34. P2 13:06Shot by Hedman, saved by Comrie
  35. P2 13:25Goal by Quinn (Krebs, Mittelstadt)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Cirelli, Sergachev · BUF Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Krebs, Quinn, Power

  36. P2 14:36Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Vasilevskiy
  37. P2 14:48Shot by Girgensons, saved by Vasilevskiy
  38. P2 16:45Shot by Colton, saved by Comrie
  39. P2 17:40Shot by Skinner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 18:45Shot by Dahlin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 0:00Period end
  42. P3 0:00Period start
  43. P3 0:06Shot by Kucherov, saved by Comrie
  44. P3 1:44Shot by Jost, saved by Vasilevskiy
  45. P3 2:31Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Comrie
  46. P3 2:35Shot by Perry, saved by Comrie
  47. P3 3:10Shot by Lyubushkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  48. P3 5:48Goal by Point (Hedman, Hagel)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Hedman, Point, Cernak, Hagel · BUF Olofsson, Bryson, Dahlin, Cozens, Peterka

  49. P3 6:10Shot by Hedman, saved by Comrie
  50. P3 6:18Goal by Thompson, unassisted+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Hagel · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin

  51. P3 7:25Shot by Peterka, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P3 7:48Shot by Maroon, saved by Comrie
  53. P3 8:33Goal by Cirelli (Cernak, Point)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Point, Cernak, Cirelli, Sergachev · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin

  54. P3 9:56Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Comrie
  55. P3 13:14Shot by Hedman, saved by Comrie
  56. P3 13:24Shot by Sergachev, saved by Comrie
  57. P3 13:36Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Vasilevskiy
  58. P3 13:45Mittelstadt: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Cole, Kucherov, Bellemare, Hagel, Perbix · BUF Olofsson, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Krebs, Peterka

  59. P3 14:54Goal by Colton (Stamkos, Point)5v4+39 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Point, Sergachev, Colton, Hagel · BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Jokiharju, Dahlin

  60. P3 16:08Shot by Fleury, saved by Comrie
  61. P3 16:57Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Vasilevskiy
  62. P3 17:35Shot by Hagel, saved by Comrie
  63. P3 17:37Shot by Point, saved by Comrie
  64. P3 17:39Shot by Kucherov, saved by Comrie
  65. P3 18:02Shot by Cozens, saved by Vasilevskiy
  66. P3 18:41Shot by Colton, saved by Comrie
  67. P3 19:47Shot by Hedman, saved by Comrie
  68. P3 19:52Jokiharju: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Paul, Sergachev, Hagel · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Jokiharju, Krebs, Power

  69. P3 19:58Shot by Colton, saved by Comrie5v4
  70. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  71. OT 0:00Period start
  72. OT 0:31Shot by Kucherov, saved by Comrie4v3
  73. OT 0:42Shot by Stamkos, saved by Comrie4v3
  74. OT 1:01Shot by Kucherov, saved by Comrie4v3
  75. OT 1:13Shot by Stamkos, saved by Comrie4v3
  76. OT 1:41Goal by Lyubushkin, unassisted4v3+52 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli · BUF Tuch, Dahlin, Lyubushkin

  77. OT 1:41Period end5v4
  78. OT 1:41Final