Thu, Feb 23, 2023·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Buffalo Sabres 6, Tampa Bay Lightning 5 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 84% of the time.
79%
11%
TBL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 27:03 | 0.04 | 39.8% | +38.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 25:04 | 0.05 | 39.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 24:31 | 0.10 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21:54 | 0.08 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 19:03 | 0.00 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:45 | 0.18 | 49.4% | +18.4 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 17:16 | 0.62 | 29.1% | +51.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 16:46 | 0.07 | 28.9% | +36.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:25 | 0.03 | 52.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:21 | 0.10 | 44.4% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:07 | 0.44 | 33.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:25 | 0.12 | 45.4% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:16 | 0.11 | 53.1% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:04 | 0.06 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:57 | 0.08 | 24.8% | +15.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:26 | 0.01 | 23.9% | +52.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:12 | 0.00 | 5.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 10:11 | 0.21 | 26.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 41 | 36 | 5 | .878 | 4.76 | −0.2 | 61:41 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 | 26:03 | 0.44 | 60.8% | +30.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 25:48 | 0.06 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 21:36 | 0.47 | 67.5% | +85.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 6 | 20:27 | 0.77 | 67.0% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:34 | 0.08 | 72.6% | +14.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 5 | 19:22 | 0.89 | 58.9% | +56.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:54 | 0.34 | 52.7% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:36 | 0.15 | 61.0% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:51 | 0.03 | 70.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:46 | 0.00 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:15 | 0.00 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:02 | 0.43 | 81.8% | +15.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 13:15 | 0.33 | 81.1% | +38.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:13 | 0.08 | 79.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:48 | 0.12 | 58.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:15 | 0.26 | 81.1% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 10:43 | 0.20 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:31 | 0.13 | 51.4% | 0.0 |
| O | 23 | 17 | 6 | .739 | 2.29 | −3.7 | 61:41 |