Sun, Feb 26, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Washington Capitals 4, Buffalo Sabres 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 77% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:37Shot by Power, saved by Kuemper
- P1 1:11Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 2:45Shot by Okposo, saved by Kuemper
- P1 3:26Shot by Power, saved by Kuemper
- P1 3:34Shot by Aube-Kubel, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 3:53Shot by Hinostroza, saved by Kuemper
- P1 5:28Shot by Olofsson, saved by Kuemper
- P1 7:43Shot by Aube-Kubel, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 8:27Shot by Sheary, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 9:13Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 10:40Goal by Cozens (Mittelstadt, Lyubushkin)+18 pts WP
On ice: BUF Hinostroza, Mittelstadt, Bryson, Lyubushkin, Cozens · WSH Oshie, Irwin, McIlrath, Milano, Strome
- P1 12:13Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 12:25Shot by Girgensons, saved by Kuemper
- P1 14:08Shot by Cozens, saved by Kuemper
- P1 14:45Goal by Strome (Jensen, Oshie)+19 pts WP
On ice: BUF Olofsson, Jokiharju, Samuelsson, Krebs, Peterka · WSH Oshie, Jensen, Milano, Strome, Fehérváry
- P1 15:08Shot by Girgensons, saved by Kuemper
- P1 15:43Shot by Backstrom, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 16:35Goal by Thompson, unassisted+19 pts WP
On ice: BUF Skinner, Clague, Thompson, Samuelsson, Quinn · WSH Kuznetsov, Wilson, Gustafsson, Sheary, Fehérváry
- P1 16:47Shot by Jensen, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 16:50Goal by Oshie (Strome, Jensen)+19 pts WP
On ice: BUF Hinostroza, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Cozens, Power · WSH Oshie, Jensen, Milano, Strome, Fehérváry
- P1 17:10Shot by Aube-Kubel, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 0:56Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Kuemper
- P2 1:35Shot by Cozens, saved by Kuemper
- P2 1:59Shot by Power, saved by Kuemper
- P2 5:02Shot by Strome, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 5:49Goal by Skinner (Samuelsson, Quinn)+20 pts WP
On ice: BUF Skinner, Thompson, Jokiharju, Samuelsson, Quinn · WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Jensen, Kuznetsov, Fehérváry
- P2 6:11Shot by Hinostroza, saved by Kuemper
- P2 6:30Shot by Cozens, saved by Kuemper
- P2 8:36Goal by Girgensons (Okposo, Jost)+14 pts WP
On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Clague, Jost, Samuelsson · WSH Eller, Dowd, Irwin, McIlrath, Aube-Kubel
- P2 9:20Shot by Thompson, saved by Kuemper
- P2 10:07Goal by Hinostroza (Power, Cozens)+7 pts WP
On ice: BUF Hinostroza, Mittelstadt, Bryson, Cozens, Power · WSH Ovechkin, Kuznetsov, Wilson, Gustafsson, van Riemsdyk
- P2 11:10Shot by Jost, saved by Lindgren
- P2 11:45Shot by Clague, saved by Lindgren
- P2 12:49Goal by Cozens (Quinn)+3 pts WP
On ice: BUF Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Cozens, Quinn, Power · WSH Ovechkin, Dowd, Irwin, McIlrath, Wilson
- P2 13:27Shot by Cozens, saved by Lindgren
- P2 14:28Shot by Jost, saved by Lindgren
- P2 15:20Shot by Milano, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 15:37Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 15:49Goal by Ovechkin (Gustafsson, Kuznetsov)+3 pts WP
On ice: BUF Skinner, Thompson, Samuelsson, Lyubushkin, Quinn · WSH Ovechkin, Kuznetsov, Wilson, Gustafsson, van Riemsdyk
- P2 16:32Aube-Kubel: Cross checking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Skinner, Thompson, Jokiharju, Quinn, Power · WSH Eller, Jensen, Dowd, Aube-Kubel, Fehérváry
- P2 16:32Aube-Kubel: Fighting (5 min)5v4
On ice: BUF Skinner, Thompson, Jokiharju, Quinn, Power · WSH Eller, Jensen, Dowd, Aube-Kubel, Fehérváry
- P2 16:32Quinn: Fighting (5 min)5v3
On ice: BUF Skinner, Thompson, Jokiharju, Quinn, Power · WSH Eller, Jensen, Dowd, Aube-Kubel, Fehérváry
- P2 16:54Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Luukkonen5v4
- P2 17:59Shot by Thompson, saved by Lindgren5v4
- P2 18:00Cozens: Roughing (2 min)5v4
On ice: BUF Skinner, Olofsson, Thompson, Cozens, Power · WSH Eller, Irwin, Sheary, Fehérváry
- P2 18:00Cozens: Roughing (2 min)4v4
On ice: BUF Skinner, Olofsson, Thompson, Cozens, Power · WSH Eller, Irwin, Sheary, Fehérváry
- P2 18:00Fehérváry: Roughing (2 min)3v4
On ice: BUF Skinner, Olofsson, Thompson, Cozens, Power · WSH Eller, Irwin, Sheary, Fehérváry
- P2 18:40Goal by Milano, unassisted4v5+6 pts WP
On ice: BUF Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Lyubushkin, Krebs · WSH Jensen, Wilson, van Riemsdyk, Milano, Strome
- P2 18:58Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 19:28Shot by Thompson, saved by Lindgren
- P2 19:42Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 19:56Shot by Skinner, saved by Lindgren
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:24Shot by Power, saved by Lindgren
- P3 0:26Shot by Power, saved by Lindgren
- P3 3:45Shot by Fehérváry, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 4:14Shot by Fehérváry, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 4:20Shot by Smith, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 5:19Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 5:57Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 6:10Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Lindgren
- P3 7:09Jensen: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Skinner, Thompson, Jokiharju, Quinn, Power · WSH Oshie, Jensen, Kuznetsov, Milano, Fehérváry
- P3 7:14Shot by Cozens, saved by Lindgren5v4
- P3 8:21Shot by Fehérváry, saved by Luukkonen5v4
- P3 9:39Shot by Girgensons, saved by Lindgren
- P3 10:49Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 11:07Shot by Thompson, saved by Lindgren
- P3 11:17Shot by Irwin, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 11:52Goal by Cozens (Hinostroza, Mittelstadt)+3 pts WP
On ice: BUF Hinostroza, Mittelstadt, Bryson, Samuelsson, Cozens · WSH Backstrom, Smith, Gustafsson, Sheary, van Riemsdyk
- P3 13:05Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 14:02Dowd: Cross checking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Olofsson, Samuelsson, Lyubushkin, Krebs, Peterka · WSH Eller, Dowd, Irwin, McIlrath, Aube-Kubel
- P3 14:03Shot by Thompson, saved by Lindgren5v4
- P3 14:40Shot by Skinner, saved by Lindgren5v4
- P3 19:01Shot by Thompson, saved by Lindgren
- P3 19:26Shot by Eller, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 19:26Jokiharju: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Hinostroza, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Bryson, Cozens · WSH Eller, Dowd, Irwin, McIlrath, Aube-Kubel
- P3 19:58Shot by Oshie, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P3 0:00Period end4v5
- P3 0:00Final