Sun, Feb 26, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Washington Capitals 4, Buffalo Sabres 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 77% of the time.
71%
17%
BUF winsWSH wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Ovechkin–Kuznetsov–Wilson | Oshie–Milano–Strome | Backstrom–Smith–Sheary | Eller–Dowd–Aube-Kubel | Ovechkin–Oshie–Kuznetsov | Backstrom–Sheary–Aube-Kubel | Milano–Aube-Kubel–Strome | Jensen–Fehérváry | Gustafsson–van Riemsdyk | Irwin–McIlrath | Jensen–Gustafsson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skinner–Thompson–Quinn | 1:410.00–0.25 | 4:320.10–0.31 | 0:310.03–0.00 | 2:360.00–0.09 | 5:590.62–0.31 | 3:540.00–0.34 | |||||
| Okposo–Girgensons–Jost | 2:580.21–0.21 | 3:000.10–0.15 | 1:270.05–0.17 | 1:430.20–0.00 | 5:520.47–0.46 | 3:430.05–0.11 | 0:560.20–0.06 | ||||
| Hinostroza–Mittelstadt–Cozens | 4:400.81–0.14 | 2:160.17–0.10 | 0:340.11–0.00 | 2:250.00–0.22 | 2:260.00–0.18 | 5:360.78–0.14 | 1:560.31–0.15 | ||||
| Olofsson–Krebs–Peterka | 5:510.14–0.02 | 1:390.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.03 | 2:490.00–0.16 | 1:110.11–0.00 | 4:560.02–0.01 | |||||
| Skinner–Hinostroza–Thompson | 0:520.27–0.00 | 0:520.12–0.06 | 0:500.27–0.00 | 0:410.12–0.00 | |||||||
| Skinner–Olofsson–Thompson | 0:570.00–0.05 | 0:330.00–0.05 | |||||||||
| Jokiharju–Power | 4:120.31–0.20 | 3:570.32–0.21 | 1:190.00–0.00 | 3:180.07–0.17 | 1:030.00–0.03 | 7:510.79–0.40 | 3:290.10–0.09 | 3:360.30–0.00 | |||
| Clague–Samuelsson | 2:000.27–0.01 | 2:270.18–0.23 | 2:050.00–0.10 | 0:500.13–0.00 | 5:090.19–0.35 | 3:040.27–0.09 | 0:470.20–0.00 | ||||
| Samuelsson–Lyubushkin | 2:250.21–0.24 | 1:090.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.08 | 1:400.00–0.00 | 2:240.04–0.24 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:560.17–0.08 | |||
| Bryson–Lyubushkin | 1:000.17–0.00 | 2:220.00–0.08 | 2:020.00–0.08 | 1:190.00–0.00 | 2:110.00–0.08 | 1:460.17–0.09 | |||||
| Lyubushkin–Power | 1:030.00–0.05 | 0:500.00–0.23 | 1:340.14–0.04 | 1:270.00–0.28 | 1:200.11–0.00 | 0:520.02–0.04 | |||||
| Bryson–Samuelsson | 0:470.00–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 0:360.11–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 1:370.11–0.00 | ||||||
| Jokiharju–Bryson | 0:570.08–0.06 | 0:570.00–0.06 | 1:140.05–0.00 | 0:450.03–0.12 | |||||||
| Jokiharju–Samuelsson | 0:300.08–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.12 | 0:390.00–0.11 | 0:550.34–0.12 | 1:270.08–0.11 | ||||||
| Bryson–Power | 1:160.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Owen PowerBUF | 28 | 27:43 | 0:59 | 2:47 | 4 | 1 |
 Martin FehérváryWSH | 24 | 24:44 | 1:02 | 2:26 | 1 | 2 |
 Nick JensenWSH | 26 | 24:42 | 0:57 | 1:39 | 2 | 3 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 31 | 23:40 | 0:46 | 1:23 | 2 | 1 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykWSH | 27 | 22:29 | 0:50 | 1:26 | 7 | 7 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 28 | 22:10 | 0:48 | 1:22 | 1 | 4 |
 Erik GustafssonWSH | 24 | 22:06 | 0:55 | 1:32 | 6 | 3 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 21 | 20:38 | 0:59 | 2:04 | 5 | 1 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 22 | 19:41 | 0:54 | 1:45 | 6 | 2 |
 Ilya LyubushkinBUF | 25 | 17:56 | 0:43 | 1:12 | 2 | 4 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 18 | 16:24 | 0:55 | 2:04 | 4 | 1 |
 Evgeny KuznetsovWSH | 23 | 16:05 | 0:42 | 1:20 | 4 | 1 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 21 | 16:03 | 0:46 | 1:20 | 3 | 1 |
 Conor ShearyWSH | 19 | 16:02 | 0:51 | 1:30 | 1 | 3 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 23 | 15:58 | 0:42 | 1:09 | 3 | 3 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 20 | 15:41 | 0:47 | 1:28 | 6 | 2 |
 T.J. OshieWSH | 20 | 15:33 | 0:47 | 1:20 | 2 | 0 |
 Dylan StromeWSH | 20 | 15:27 | 0:46 | 1:18 | 3 | 0 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 18 | 15:18 | 0:51 | 1:25 | 2 | 1 |
 Sonny MilanoWSH | 20 | 15:03 | 0:45 | 1:22 | 2 | 0 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 17 | 15:02 | 0:53 | 1:22 | 2 | 2 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 19 | 14:36 | 0:46 | 1:14 | 3 | 2 |
 Nicklas BackstromWSH | 18 | 14:34 | 0:49 | 1:26 | 4 | 2 |
 Vinnie HinostrozaBUF | 19 | 14:22 | 0:45 | 1:12 | 3 | 2 |
 Matt IrwinWSH | 23 | 14:21 | 0:37 | 1:29 | 0 | 1 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 20 | 13:44 | 0:41 | 1:30 | 3 | 1 |
 Tyson JostBUF | 16 | 13:36 | 0:51 | 1:06 | 1 | 0 |
 Lars EllerWSH | 20 | 13:33 | 0:41 | 1:21 | 0 | 6 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 18 | 13:22 | 0:45 | 1:21 | 4 | 1 |
 Nicolas Aube-KubelWSH | 16 | 13:01 | 0:49 | 1:46 | 1 | 6 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 16 | 12:42 | 0:48 | 1:28 | 2 | 1 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 17 | 12:12 | 0:43 | 1:02 | 1 | 1 |
 Craig SmithWSH | 14 | 11:33 | 0:50 | 1:38 | 3 | 2 |
 Nic DowdWSH | 19 | 11:33 | 0:36 | 1:14 | 0 | 7 |
 Dylan McIlrathWSH | 19 | 11:13 | 0:35 | 1:11 | 1 | 1 |
 Kale ClagueBUF | 17 | 9:59 | 0:35 | 1:01 | 2 | 2 |