Sun, Feb 26, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Washington Capitals 4, Buffalo Sabres 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 77% of the time.
71%
17%
BUF winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24:44 | 0.14 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 24:42 | 0.01 | 43.5% | +37.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 22:29 | 0.02 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 22:06 | 0.02 | 38.4% | +2.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 16:05 | 0.07 | 29.5% | +2.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 7 | 16:03 | 0.53 | 28.1% | +2.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:02 | 0.09 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:58 | 0.04 | 30.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15:33 | 0.19 | 40.4% | +37.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 15:27 | 0.35 | 48.9% | +37.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:03 | 0.43 | 48.1% | +6.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:34 | 0.08 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 14:21 | 0.01 | 24.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:33 | 0.06 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:01 | 0.25 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:33 | 0.32 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:33 | 0.00 | 35.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 11:13 | 0.04 | 29.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 19 | 14 | 5 | .737 | 2.24 | −2.8 | 30:07 | |
| – | 18 | 16 | 2 | .889 | 2.22 | +0.2 | 29:53 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 27:43 | 0.62 | 66.0% | +7.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:40 | 0.00 | 62.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 22:10 | 0.10 | 62.6% | +20.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:38 | 0.49 | 59.7% | +20.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 19:41 | 0.63 | 61.2% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:56 | 0.00 | 35.3% | +18.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:24 | 0.11 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 8 | 15:41 | 1.45 | 72.4% | +31.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:18 | 0.09 | 42.2% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:02 | 0.00 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 14:36 | 0.00 | 74.0% | +21.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 14:22 | 0.27 | 73.9% | +10.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 13:44 | 0.00 | 65.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:36 | 0.17 | 48.9% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 13:22 | 0.00 | 60.9% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:42 | 0.00 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 12:12 | 0.44 | 52.5% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 9:59 | 0.09 | 64.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 26 | 4 | .867 | 2.63 | −1.4 | 60:00 |