Wed, Mar 1, 2023·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Carolina Hurricanes 2, Vegas Golden Knights 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 63% of the time.
53%
10%
9%
28%
VGK winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:54 | 0.02 | 58.5% | +30.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:12 | 0.11 | 39.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:42 | 0.10 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:27 | 0.02 | 58.2% | +30.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 21:02 | 0.20 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:33 | 0.08 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:07 | 0.24 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:52 | 0.44 | 44.2% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:21 | 0.15 | 48.0% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:12 | 0.05 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:56 | 0.05 | 79.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:51 | 0.07 | 71.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:40 | 0.08 | 65.9% | +30.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:42 | 0.20 | 65.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:29 | 0.20 | 74.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 9:07 | 0.11 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:05 | 0.00 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:50 | 0.14 | 49.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 20 | 17 | 3 | .850 | 1.95 | −1.0 | 57:58 |
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:05 | 0.01 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:19 | 0.39 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 21:18 | 0.09 | 58.4% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:03 | 0.01 | 20.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:59 | 0.06 | 61.4% | +22.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:53 | 0.05 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:44 | 0.31 | 28.0% | +35.4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 17:25 | 0.31 | 70.9% | +43.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 17:25 | 0.83 | 37.3% | +35.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:36 | 0.00 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:13 | 0.09 | 44.1% | +35.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:11 | 0.08 | 38.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:48 | 0.16 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 14:48 | 0.14 | 67.8% | +22.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:34 | 0.20 | 79.6% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:02 | 0.22 | 26.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:28 | 0.00 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:09 | 0.00 | 23.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 24 | 2 | .923 | 2.27 | +0.3 | 60:00 |