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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 1, 2023·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise

Carolina Hurricanes 2, Vegas Golden Knights 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 63% of the time.

VGK winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

VGK forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Aho–Svechnikov–JarvisTeravainen–Necas–KotkaniemiStaal–Fast–MartinookStastny–Stepan–NoesenSkjei–PesceBurns–Slavinde Haan–Chatfield
Marchessault–Barbashev–Eichel6:150.00–0.181:440.07–0.032:200.14–0.001:320.00–0.006:070.21–0.064:260.00–0.041:010.00–0.04
Smith–Karlsson–Amadio2:470.08–0.183:110.09–0.454:460.02–0.322:530.02–0.343:540.17–0.254:020.00–0.35
Kessel–Stephenson–Carrier3:510.15–0.154:520.21–0.050:460.00–0.032:440.12–0.134:090.20–0.082:270.04–0.00
Kolesar–Howden–Cotter0:360.00–0.112:470.00–0.095:220.22–0.372:350.22–0.202:450.00–0.123:280.00–0.25
Kessel–Smith–Stephenson0:390.00–0.120:420.00–0.120:350.00–0.00
McNabb–Theodore2:140.22–0.036:500.28–0.423:250.14–0.003:570.20–0.277:260.53–0.405:150.14–0.214:300.18–0.11
Martinez–Pietrangelo11:140.15–0.401:150.00–0.061:400.00–0.001:250.02–0.075:270.01–0.256:440.16–0.173:110.00–0.03
Hague–Whitecloud2:130.00–0.194:210.35–0.185:300.02–0.361:590.00–0.064:370.57–0.095:080.00–0.274:380.00–0.43
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndHowden FCotter FKolesar FMarchessault FKessel FStephenson FCarrier FBarbashev FEichel FSmith FAmadio FKarlsson FWhitecloud DHague DMartinez DPietrangelo DMcNabb DTheodore DHill GStaal FMartinook FFast FAho FJarvis FSvechnikov FTeravainen FKotkaniemi FNecas FStastny FStepan FNoesen FBurns DSlavin DPesce DSkjei DChatfield Dde Haan DAndersen G
VGKCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Brent BurnsCAR2922:540:471:4612
Brady SkjeiCAR2822:120:481:5570
Brayden McNabbVGK2322:050:581:5918
Brett PesceCAR2821:420:471:3060
Jaccob SlavinCAR2821:270:461:3202
Alex PietrangeloVGK2521:190:512:1233
Shea TheodoreVGK2321:180:561:3726
Sebastian AhoCAR2121:021:001:5971
Andrei SvechnikovCAR2119:330:561:3881
Alec MartinezVGK2419:030:481:3832
Seth JarvisCAR1918:070:571:3160
Ivan BarbashevVGK2217:590:491:1617
Nicolas HagueVGK2417:530:451:2501
Martin NecasCAR1917:520:562:5231
Reilly SmithVGK2017:440:531:1921
Jack EichelVGK2217:250:481:1625
William KarlssonVGK1917:250:551:2112
Zach WhitecloudVGK2416:360:421:2201
Teuvo TeravainenCAR1916:210:521:3030
Michael AmadioVGK1816:130:541:1422
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR2016:120:491:3030
Jonathan MarchessaultVGK2216:110:441:1516
Calvin de HaanCAR2015:560:481:5421
Jalen ChatfieldCAR2015:510:481:5211
Chandler StephensonVGK2015:480:471:3525
Jordan StaalCAR2115:400:451:3862
Phil KesselVGK1814:480:491:3735
Jordan MartinookCAR1914:420:461:5852
William CarrierVGK2113:340:391:0035
Jesper FastCAR1813:290:451:3551
Keegan KolesarVGK1712:020:421:0302
Brett HowdenVGK1511:280:461:0602
Paul CotterVGK1411:090:481:1502
Derek StepanCAR139:070:421:0520
Paul StastnyCAR129:050:451:0620
Stefan NoesenCAR148:500:381:0220