Thu, Mar 2, 2023·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 59% of the time.
50%
9%
8%
32%
TBL winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jeff PetryD · #26 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 25:43 | 0.34 | 37.3% | +41.4 |
 Rickard RakellRW · #67 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 22:52 | 0.17 | 71.1% | +52.0 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22:28 | 0.39 | 70.2% | 0.0 |
 Evgeni MalkinC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:43 | 0.05 | 12.7% | 0.0 |
 Sidney CrosbyC · #87 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:47 | 0.20 | 71.1% | +20.1 |
 Marcus PetterssonD · #28 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19:53 | 0.02 | 45.8% | +78.2 |
 Brian DumoulinD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:53 | 0.01 | 49.9% | 0.0 |
 Pierre-Olivier JosephD · #73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 17:29 | 0.10 | 63.8% | 0.0 |
 Jeff CarterC · #77 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 16:23 | 0.18 | 91.8% | +47.5 |
 Mikael GranlundC · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:16 | 0.00 | 57.6% | 0.0 |
 Jason ZuckerLW · #16 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 16:05 | 0.47 | 34.9% | +78.2 |
 Jan RuttaD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:51 | 0.05 | 59.1% | 0.0 |
 Bryan RustRW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:43 | 0.06 | 36.8% | 0.0 |
 Kris LetangD · #58 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:37 | 0.00 | 58.8% | +31.8 |
 Danton HeinenLW · #43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 11:24 | 0.23 | 67.7% | +21.3 |
 Josh ArchibaldRW · #15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:11 | 0.00 | 32.3% | +31.8 |
 Drew O'ConnorLW · #10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:51 | 0.15 | 38.4% | +31.8 |
 Drake CaggiulaLW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:01 | 0.00 | 43.9% | 0.0 |
 Tristan Jarry#35 | W | 31 | 27 | 4 | .871 | 2.91 | −1.1 | 62:13 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Mikhail SergachevD · #98 | 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 24:14 | 0.22 | 70.8% | +37.8 |
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 23:26 | 0.12 | 28.3% | +40.5 |
 Ian ColeD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 23:18 | 0.11 | 25.6% | 0.0 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:26 | 0.08 | 33.7% | 0.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 21:24 | 0.64 | 74.9% | +28.4 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 1 | 20:28 | 0.12 | 72.2% | +60.4 |
 Steven StamkosC · #91 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 19:58 | 0.45 | 42.6% | +68.9 |
 Alex KillornLW · #17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 19:03 | 0.21 | 33.0% | +19.9 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:59 | 0.33 | 69.4% | 0.0 |
 Nick PerbixD · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:59 | 0.04 | 89.0% | 0.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:30 | 0.00 | 46.3% | 0.0 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:31 | 0.03 | 31.9% | 0.0 |
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 11:38 | 0.05 | 37.8% | 0.0 |
 Tanner JeannotLW · #84 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 10:50 | 0.00 | 39.2% | +17.9 |
 Pierre-Edouard BellemareLW · #41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:31 | 0.00 | 21.4% | 0.0 |
 Corey PerryRW · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 9:17 | 0.29 | 23.6% | 0.0 |
 Ross ColtonC · #79 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8:16 | 0.17 | 55.7% | +17.9 |
 Patrick MaroonLW · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:51 | 0.05 | 29.1% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | O | 32 | 27 | 5 | .844 | 2.41 | −2.6 | 62:13 |