Thu, Mar 2, 2023·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 59% of the time.
50%
9%
8%
32%
TBL winsPIT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PIT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Crosby–Rakell–Guentzel | Malkin–Zucker–Rust | Carter–Granlund–Heinen | Archibald–Caggiula–O'Connor | Granlund–Archibald–O'Connor | Malkin–Rakell–Guentzel | Carter–Zucker–Rust | Malkin–Zucker–Archibald | Petry–Pettersson | Joseph–Rutta | Letang–Dumoulin | Petry–Joseph | Dumoulin–Rutta | Petry–Dumoulin | Pettersson–Joseph | Pettersson–Rutta | Dumoulin–Pettersson | Letang–Pettersson | Letang–Joseph | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Killorn–Stamkos–Cirelli | 9:370.18–0.56 | 2:440.11–0.16 | 1:130.00–0.07 | 2:170.07–0.01 | 0:480.00–0.11 | 0:380.04–0.00 | 1:490.01–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.23 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Kucherov–Point–Hagel | 4:420.51–0.09 | 1:060.00–0.01 | 1:340.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.06 | 0:350.05–0.00 | 1:310.18–0.00 | 2:250.13–0.09 | 1:360.21–0.01 | 1:360.06–0.00 | 0:360.04–0.06 | 1:130.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Paul–Colton–Jeannot | 0:540.00–0.00 | 5:240.05–0.15 | 2:000.00–0.01 | 1:570.01–0.00 | 1:030.01–0.00 | 1:200.00–0.13 | 0:380.14–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Perry–Maroon–Bellemare | 2:430.00–0.15 | 0:480.05–0.00 | 0:310.03–0.01 | 0:360.02–0.00 | 1:490.00–0.20 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:530.05–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Stamkos–Kucherov–Point | 0:550.05–0.00 | 0:530.05–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Killorn–Cirelli–Hagel | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Sergachev–Perbix | 3:130.34–0.00 | 2:170.03–0.03 | 1:440.19–0.00 | 2:040.05–0.00 | 0:460.05–0.00 | 2:030.10–0.02 | 1:560.05–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 1:320.21–0.01 | 1:480.11–0.00 | 1:210.05–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:380.04–0.06 | 1:020.14–0.00 | |||||
| Hedman–Cernak | 6:000.19–0.60 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:550.11–0.15 | 0:550.05–0.00 | 1:490.01–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.23 | |||||||||||||
| Cole–Raddysh | 1:450.16–0.09 | 2:240.00–0.13 | 1:020.00–0.01 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 2:120.08–0.09 | 2:100.00–0.13 | 0:350.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Cole–Hedman | 3:310.02–0.13 | 0:400.01–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.03 | 2:500.02–0.01 | 0:350.00–0.10 | |||||||||||||
| Hedman–Perbix | 1:410.00–0.00 | 0:490.01–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 0:560.01–0.00 | 0:320.06–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Raddysh–Sergachev | 1:010.14–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.15 | 1:300.14–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.15 | |||||||||||||||
| Hedman–Raddysh | 0:390.00–0.05 | 0:430.02–0.11 | |||||||||||||||||
| Cole–Cernak | 0:300.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLPITFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jeff PetryPIT | 27 | 25:43 | 0:57 | 2:40 | 3 | 4 |
 Mikhail SergachevTBL | 32 | 24:14 | 0:45 | 2:21 | 6 | 5 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 30 | 23:26 | 0:47 | 2:10 | 4 | 3 |
 Ian ColeTBL | 25 | 23:18 | 0:56 | 2:43 | 3 | 7 |
 Rickard RakellPIT | 23 | 22:52 | 1:00 | 2:38 | 7 | 0 |
 Jake GuentzelPIT | 23 | 22:28 | 0:59 | 2:41 | 7 | 0 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 28 | 22:26 | 0:48 | 1:55 | 2 | 7 |
 Evgeni MalkinPIT | 21 | 21:43 | 1:02 | 3:16 | 5 | 0 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 23 | 21:24 | 0:56 | 2:25 | 5 | 3 |
 Sidney CrosbyPIT | 22 | 20:47 | 0:57 | 2:22 | 7 | 0 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 24 | 20:28 | 0:51 | 2:25 | 5 | 3 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 23 | 19:58 | 0:52 | 2:22 | 4 | 3 |
 Marcus PetterssonPIT | 26 | 19:53 | 0:46 | 1:07 | 0 | 3 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 25 | 19:03 | 0:46 | 1:21 | 5 | 5 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 27 | 18:59 | 0:42 | 1:27 | 3 | 4 |
 Brian DumoulinPIT | 26 | 18:53 | 0:44 | 1:30 | 1 | 3 |
 Nick PerbixTBL | 25 | 17:59 | 0:43 | 1:39 | 4 | 3 |
 Pierre-Olivier JosephPIT | 23 | 17:29 | 0:46 | 1:25 | 3 | 3 |
 Jeff CarterPIT | 24 | 16:23 | 0:41 | 1:12 | 1 | 9 |
 Mikael GranlundPIT | 23 | 16:16 | 0:42 | 1:22 | 3 | 7 |
 Jason ZuckerPIT | 21 | 16:05 | 0:46 | 1:12 | 2 | 0 |
 Jan RuttaPIT | 22 | 15:51 | 0:43 | 1:23 | 2 | 4 |
 Bryan RustPIT | 23 | 15:43 | 0:41 | 1:17 | 2 | 1 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 22 | 14:30 | 0:40 | 2:12 | 4 | 4 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 16 | 13:31 | 0:51 | 2:19 | 0 | 6 |
 Kris LetangPIT | 16 | 12:37 | 0:47 | 1:31 | 3 | 1 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 19 | 11:38 | 0:37 | 1:08 | 4 | 1 |
 Danton HeinenPIT | 17 | 11:24 | 0:40 | 0:57 | 1 | 4 |
 Josh ArchibaldPIT | 16 | 11:11 | 0:42 | 1:22 | 2 | 3 |
 Tanner JeannotTBL | 18 | 10:50 | 0:36 | 0:56 | 5 | 2 |
 Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL | 15 | 10:31 | 0:42 | 1:35 | 2 | 3 |
 Corey PerryTBL | 13 | 9:17 | 0:43 | 1:22 | 2 | 0 |
 Drew O'ConnorPIT | 13 | 8:51 | 0:41 | 1:03 | 2 | 3 |
 Ross ColtonTBL | 15 | 8:16 | 0:33 | 0:55 | 5 | 2 |
 Patrick MaroonTBL | 10 | 6:51 | 0:41 | 1:34 | 1 | 0 |
 Drake CaggiulaPIT | 5 | 4:01 | 0:48 | 1:09 | 0 | 0 |