Mon, Mar 6, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Edmonton Oilers 3, Buffalo Sabres 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 50% of the time.
41%
8%
43%
BUF winsEDM wins
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 22:43 | 0.00 | 52.1% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:03 | 0.08 | 52.5% | +29.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 21:16 | 0.03 | 51.5% | +26.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:42 | 0.22 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 19:58 | 0.23 | 45.7% | +43.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:40 | 0.29 | 52.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:39 | 0.27 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 17:36 | 0.70 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:45 | 0.11 | 42.7% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:10 | 0.16 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:34 | 0.00 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:16 | 0.11 | 68.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 14:52 | 0.57 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:26 | 0.20 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:15 | 0.08 | 53.3% | +29.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 11:10 | 0.34 | 75.4% | +26.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:16 | 0.09 | 71.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 9:56 | 0.36 | 73.3% | +26.7 |
| W | 39 | 37 | 2 | .949 | 3.82 | +1.8 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 25:47 | 0.00 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 23:38 | 0.11 | 73.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:15 | 0.11 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 20:33 | 0.50 | 60.4% | +12.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 7 | 19:07 | 1.01 | 64.0% | +12.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 18:40 | 0.67 | 46.1% | +27.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:23 | 0.04 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:02 | 0.31 | 71.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 15:57 | 0.22 | 43.6% | +27.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 15:02 | 0.28 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:20 | 0.00 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 14:04 | 0.15 | 17.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 13:59 | 0.04 | 46.8% | +27.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:49 | 0.00 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:44 | 0.00 | 22.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:07 | 0.09 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 12:07 | 0.18 | 24.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:06 | 0.10 | 28.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 37 | 34 | 3 | .919 | 3.85 | +0.8 | 58:20 |